Highest Scoring Fantasy Player? (07/14/15)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
Bold Predictions – an interesting player or team prediction for the 2015 NFL season.



Each day, over the next two weeks (July 13th - 24th), we will reveal an interesting player or team prediction for the 2015 NFL season. The first five articles of the series will have a fantasy focus while the next five will be bold predictions for the upcoming season.

Previous article: Hill leads NFL in rushing

Prediction: Andrew Luck is the highest scoring player in fantasy

Last year, we predicted Luck would be a breakout player, a player we projected to finish in the top five at his position but was not being drafted like a superstar. Last August, Luck was being picked in the fourth round or later. Those that took our fantasy advice and drafted Luck were not disappointed.

Luck had a career-high in completions (380), attempts (616), completion percentage (61.7), passing yards (4,761) and passing touchdowns (40). Luck also got you fantasy points with his legs rushing for 273 yards and three touchdowns.

ESPN has Aaron Rodgers ranked as the top fantasy quarterback heading into 2015 but here is why Luck will best the reigning NFL MVP at his position and finish as the top scoring player in fantasy.

Luck is durable, he hasn't missed a game in three seasons and he isn't projected to miss any time this fall. Health is a skill, one of many that Luck possesses.

The Colts wanted to add balance to their offense, so they signed Frank Gore as an upgrade at running back. An improved rushing attack is a compliment, not an impediment, to the passing game. As a team, Indy is projected to rush for 1,783.5 yards, up from 1,612 yards the Colts totaled last year when Trent Richardson was their leading rusher. Luck is projected to attempt 612 passes, the most in the NFL and it would be the third time in four years that the Pro Bowler has topped 600 passing attempts.

In addition to Gore, Indy gave Luck more another receiving threats by adding Andre Johnson and first round pick Phillip Dorsett. The pair join T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief, Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen in one of the most formidable receiving groups in football.

Moreover, Luck is one of the most consistent fantasy players. He had 13 games of 20 or more fantasy points last season and eight where he may nearly have won the week for you by himself scoring 30 or more fantasy points.

The durability, the additional offensive weapons and the consistency from week to week will help make Luck the highest scoring player in fantasy.

Luck is projected to throw for 4,829.5 passing yards (1st in the NFL), 39.1 touchdowns (1st in the NFL) and rush for 253.1 yards and 3.4 touchdowns.

Luck is projected to score 443.2 total fantasy points. Rodgers, the second highest scoring player in fantasy, totals 410.4 points.

Top 5 Fantasy Quarterbacks

Player Passing Yards Pass TDs Rushing Yards Rush TDs
Andrew Luck 4,831.4 39.2 253.4 3.4
Aaron Rodgers 4,222.7 37.3 254.4 2.1
Cam Newton 4,016.6 28.0 544.1 4.0
Drew Brees 4,442.5 35.5 75.7 1.1
Ben Roethlisberger 4,559.7 34.6 85.7 0.8