Chasing 73 Wins (03/28/16)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
What's the chance the Warriors break Michael Jordan and the Bulls' 72 win record?



Update: After a surprising loss to Minnesota last night, Golden State will now need to win its final four games to surpass the 1995-96 Bulls. There is a 19.7 percent chance that the Warriors win out but the pressure is on in the chase for 73 wins.

The Warriors got their 66th victory, faster than any other team in NBA history, on Sunday defeating the lowly Sixers 117-105. Golden State continues its chase for 73 wins to break the 1995-96 Bulls' record for wins in a season.

The defending champions must go 7-2 the rest of the way to set a new record. The Dubs haven't had a nine game stretch this season where they didn't win at least seven games.

What are the Warriors' chances of surpassing Michael Jordan and the 1995-96 Bulls?

Golden State is projected to win 72.9 games. Stephen Curry and crew will play six of their final nine games at home where they have won a record 53 straight regular season games.

The Warriors have a 86.7 percent chance to win at least 72 games (tie the record) and a 64.4 percent chance to win at least 73 games and break the record.

Our simulations assume full motivation and effort for each team on Golden States' schedule down the stretch. However, San Antonio, who is a lock for the 2-seed in the West, is known to rest players. If Greg Popovich does sit his starters then the Warriors path to the 73 wins record becomes even more likely as the Spurs are the only team projected to beat Golden State over the final nine games of the season.