Updated Super Bowl Odds (07/01/13)
In the wake of the Aaron Hernandez saga and with NFL training camps kicking off in less than a month, it is time for a Super Bowl futures update. Lines courtesy of Bovada.lv.
There has been a shift in the league's perceived power structure since we first posted Super Bowl XLVIII odds. Of the 32 NFL teams, 20 have seen their odds change. Only four teams have seen their odds improve.
The San Francisco 49ers (6/1) and the Denver Broncos (13/2) remain the favorites to win the Super Bowl. The Jacksonville Jaguars continue to bring up the rear with the worst odds at 200/1.
Below we look at a few teams with the greatest change in their odds, both good and bad.
Moving on up
St. Louis Rams
Odds Shift: 60/1 to 40/1
The Rams seem to be making all the right moves. St. Louis signed Jake Long in free agency to sure up their offensive line. The Rams also crushed the draft giving Sam Bradford needed weapons in Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey.
Bookmakers' take (per Bovada.lv): 49ers, even as favorites at 6/1 odds, have taken twice as much money as Seattle and ten times as much as St. Louis.
Odds Shift: 9/1 to 8/1
Seattle is no longer a surprise team and with that comes lofty expectation. The Seahawks offseason moves reflect this; the additions of Percy Harvin and Cliff Avril will improve both sides of the ball. Seattle was a top-10 team in both points scored and points allowed last season.
Bookmakers' take: The noted additions by Seattle have lowered their odds but so to has injuries to the 49ers, like Michael Crabtree.
New England Patriots
Odds Shift: 8/1 to 17/2
New England had two of the best tight ends in the NFL last season but Hernandez is now gone and Rob Gronkowski has had three arm surgeries and a back surgery over the last year. Wes Welker left in free agency and the cupboard that was once full on offense is looking a little thin.
Bookmakers' take: Bovada.lv was already high on Patriots at 8/1, Hernandez being out hurt but Gronkowski's status is the primary driver.
Odds Shift: 25/1 to 33/1
Question marks hover over this team. What will the team look like with a new head coach, their first since 2004? Will the defense remain stout without captain Brian Urlacher? Can the offensive line keep Jay Cutler upright?
Bookmakers' take: As of this morning the line is back down to 28/1, there has been a lot of money recently on the Bears.
Where is the money going?
The 49ers have taken more money then any other team. The rest of the top five backed teams include: Denver, Seattle, Atlanta, and Green Bay. The teams taking the fewest bets: Jets, Bills, Jaguars, Titans, and Raiders.
Updated odds for all NFL teams, lives courtesy of Bovada.lv.
|Team||Odds After Draft||Current Odds|
|San Francisco 49ers||6/1||6/1|
|New England Patriots||8/1||17/2|
|Green Bay Packers||12/1||12/1|
|New Orleans Saints||18/1||18/1|
|New York Giants||20/1||22/1|
|St. Louis Rams||60/1||40/1|
|San Diego Chargers||40/1||50/1|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||40/1||50/1|
|Kansas City Chiefs||50/1||50/1|
|New York Jets||75/1||100/1|