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Super Bowl Player vs. Player Props
Director of Research and Analytics, John Ewing, takes a look at 10 Player vs. Player Props from Bovada. All projected stats are averages from the 50,000 games played of Super Bowl XLVII. Follow John on Twitter @JohnEwing for more Prop bets and to let him know what other props you may like to see.
| Who will have more Passing Yards in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Joe Flacco | BAL | QB | -19.5 | -115 |
| Colin Kaepernick | SF | QB | 19.5 | -115 |
Joe Flacco has averaged 284 yards in three postseason games this year but those yards came against the Colts (21st pass defense), Patriots (29th pass defense) and a Denver defense that gave up 110 yards in the last minute of regulation and two overtimes. Projected yards: Flacco 215.7, Kaepernick 231.6.
Pick: Kaepernick +19.5
| Who will have more Completions in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Joe Flacco | BAL | QB | -3 | -115 |
| Colin Kaepernick | SF | QB | 3 | -115 |
In the five games that the Ravens lost this year and Joe Flacco played the entire game, Flacco averaged 36 passing attempts. In those same five games Flacco has completed on average 19 passes. In all of those games the Ravens were passing because they were behind, just like we project they will be on Sunday. Projected completions: Flacco 20.9, Kaepernick 17.2.
Pick: Flacco -3
| Who will have more Rushing Yards in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Ray Rice | BAL | RB | -17.5 | -115 |
| Colin Kaepernick | SF | QB | 17.5 | -115 |
If you throw out Kaepernick's 181-yard performance against the Packers, he has averaged 36 yards per game in his nine starts. In Ray Rice's last 9 full games, he has averaged 80.8 yards per game. Projected yards: Rice 64.2, Kaepernick 38.
Pick: Rice -17.5
| Who will have more Rushing Yards in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Frank Gore | SF | RB | -30.5 | -115 |
| Colin Kaepernick | SF | QB | 30.5 | -115 |
We project Gore to carry the ball 18.8 times; in games this season that Gore has carried the ball 18+ times he has averaged 82.8 yards. Expect a heavy dose of Gore. Projected yards: Gore 89.2, Kaepernick 38.
Pick: Gore -30.5
| Who will have more Rushing Yards in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Bernard Pierce | BAL | RB | -5.5 | -115 |
| LaMichael James | SF | RB | 5.5 | -115 |
This is a battle between two complimentary backs that have proven themselves as efficient rushers. While we do project Pierce to have more carries, 7.5 compared to 6, we project James to be more efficient with the advantage that the 49ers rush offense has over the Ravens rush defense. Projected yards: Pierce 33.8, James 30.4.
Pick: James + 5.5
| Who will have more Receiving Yards in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Michael Crabtree | SF | WR | -45.5 | -115 |
| Ray Rice | BAL | RB | 45.5 | -115 |
Michael Crabtree is Colin Kaepernick's favorite target; Crabtree has averaged 84.1 yards per game since Kaepernick became the starter. Rice's participation in the passing game has been inconsistent this season with the Ravens. Projected yards: Crabtree 77.3, Rice 25.9.
Pick: Crabtree -45.5
| Who will have more Receiving Yards in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Randy Moss | SF | WR | -4.5 | -115 |
| Ray Rice | BAL | RB | 4.5 | -115 |
In addition to claiming to be the G.O.A.T., Moss also stated his displeasure with his offensive role during Super Bowl Media Day. Moss has only averaged 3.5 targets in the last ten games. In those same ten games Moss is averaging 27 receiving yards. Projected yards: Moss 28.8, Rice 25.9.
Pick: Rice +4.5
| Who will have more Receiving Yards in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Vernon Davis | SF | TE | -17.5 | -115 |
| Ray Rice | BAL | RB | 17.5 | -115 |
Though Davis has been utilized as a run-blocker most of this season he did break out against the Falcons for 106 yards. If the Ravens play soft pass coverage on him expect Davis to have another nice receiving day. Projected yards: Davis 46.3, Rice 25.9.
Pick: Davis -17.5
| Who will have more Receptions in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Dennis Pitta | BAL | TE | Pick | -115 |
| Vernon Davis | SF | TE | Pick | -115 |
Davis has averaged 2.2 receptions in his last ten games and has only been over 2 receptions in three of those ten games. Pitta has averaged 3.4 receptions in his last ten games and is targeted at a much higher rate than Davis. Projected receptions: Pitta 4.1, Davis 3.2.
Pick: Pitta
| Who will have more Receptions in the game? | ||||
| Player | Team | Position | Spread | Odds |
| Anquan Boldin | BAL | WR | -2.5 | -115 |
| Randy Moss | SF | WR | 2.5 | -115 |
Boldin led the Ravens in both targets (112) and receptions (65) this season. In three postseason games Boldin is averaging 9 targets and 5 receptions. Projected receptions: Boldin 4.9, Moss 1.7.
Pick: Boldin -2.5
Just about every prop we could find can be evaluated from the information above and/or within the projected boxscore and/or using the Customizable Predictalator. However, if there are any other prop picks that you would like to see for the Super Bowl, please let us know by submitting a Support Contact. Thanks!