Soccer Power Rankings (10/06/15)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
Soccer Power Rankings and Full Season Projections.



The weather is cooling just as futbol is heating up. With fall upon us we update the Power Rankings and full season projections for the top five European soccer leagues as well as the MLS

English Premier League

The Blues are on top again. Man City has a chance to extend its Premier League lead with four consecutive homes games. Manchester City is the favorite to win it all and by double-digit points.

Power Rankings

Rank Team
1 Manchester City
2 Arsenal FC
3 Manchester Utd
4 Southampton FC
5 West Ham Utd
6 Tottenham Hotspur
7 Chelsea FC
8 Crystal Palace
9 Everton FC
10 Leicester City
11 Liverpool FC
12 Swansea City
13 Stoke City
14 West Bromwich Albion
15 Aston Villa
16 Newcastle Utd
17 Sunderland AFC
18 Bournemouth AFC
19 Norwich City
20 Watford FC

Full Season Projections

Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
Manchester City 27.1 5.1 5.8 87.1
Arsenal FC 22.1 8.7 7.2 73.5
Manchester Utd 20.9 9.4 7.8 70.5
Southampton FC 19.8 10.2 8 67.4
West Ham Utd 19 11.7 7.3 64.3
Tottenham Hotspur 18.5 11.6 8 63.5
Chelsea FC 18.5 12.1 7.4 62.9
Crystal Palace 17.4 12.4 8.2 60.4
Everton FC 17.4 12.6 8.1 60.3
Leicester City 17.6 13.2 7.2 60
Liverpool FC 15.6 13.7 8.7 55.5
Swansea City 15.5 14.2 8.3 54.8
Stoke City 14.9 14.6 8.5 53.2
West Bromwich Albion 10.4 18.7 8.9 40.1
Aston Villa 10.4 19.1 8.5 39.7
Newcastle Utd 9.1 21 7.9 35.2
Sunderland AFC 8.7 21.7 7.6 33.7
Bournemouth AFC 7.6 24.7 5.7 28.5
Norwich City 7.3 25.3 5.4 27.3
Watford FC 6.8 24.7 6.5 26.9

Spanish Primera Division

Cristiano Ronaldo is about to set the club scoring record for Real Madrid. Los Blancos trail leaders Villarreal but by seasons end will finish on top.

Power Rankings

Rank Team
1 Real Madrid
2 FC Barcelona
3 Villarreal CF
4 Atletico Madrid
5 Celta de Vigo
6 Valencia CF
7 Sevilla FC
8 Deportivo La Coruna
9 Athletic Bilbao
10 Real Sociedad
11 Malaga CF
12 Getafe CF
13 SD Eibar
14 Espanyol de Barcelona
15 Levante UD
16 Rayo Vallecano
17 Sporting Gijon
18 Granada CF
19 Betis Sevilla
20 Las Palmas UD

Full Season Projections

Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
Real Madrid 30.4 2.9 4.7 95.9
FC Barcelona 26.8 5.1 6.1 86.5
Villarreal CF 25 5.9 7.1 82.1
Atletico Madrid 24.1 6.5 7.4 79.7
Celta de Vigo 18.9 10.8 8.3 65
Valencia CF 16.3 11.6 10.1 59
Sevilla FC 16.8 13.7 7.5 57.9
Deportivo La Coruna 15.6 13.8 8.6 55.4
Athletic Bilbao 15.6 14.6 7.9 54.7
Real Sociedad 14.8 13.9 9.3 53.7
Malaga CF 14.5 13.8 9.7 53.2
Getafe CF 13.8 14.7 9.5 50.9
Espanyol de Barcelona 13.3 16.9 7.9 47.8
SD Eibar 12.7 15.7 9.6 47.7
Levante UD 7.9 22.3 7.8 31.5
Sporting Gijon 8.3 23.9 5.9 30.8
Rayo Vallecano 7.6 22.4 8 30.8
Granada CF 7 22.9 8.1 29.1
Betis Sevilla 6.8 25.7 5.5 25.9
Las Palmas UD 6.6 25.7 5.7 25.5

Italian Serie A

Fiorentina remains on top and extended its lead with a win over Atalanta and a draw by Inter Milan. Defending champions Juventus only has two wins on the season but Juve is still projected as the most likely Serie A champion despite the slow start.

Power Rankings

Rank Team
1 Juventus Turin
2 SSC Napoli
3 AS Roma
4 AC Fiorentina
5 Lazio Roma
6 Inter Milan
7 AC Milan
8 Genoa FC
9 Sampdoria Genoa
10 Turin FC
11 US Palermo
12 US Sassuolo
13 FC Empoli
14 Hellas Verona
15 Udinese Calcio
16 Atalanta Bergamasca
17 AC Chievo Verona
18 Bologna FC
19 Carpi FC
20 Frosinone Calcio

Full Season Projections

Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
Juventus Turin 23.8 6.7 7.5 78.9
SSC Napoli 21 10.1 6.9 69.9
AS Roma 20.1 9.6 8.3 68.6
Lazio Roma 20.1 10.4 7.5 67.8
AC Fiorentina 20 10.4 7.6 67.6
Inter Milan 18.5 11.5 8 63.5
Genoa FC 17.5 12.5 8.1 60.6
AC Milan 17.5 12.4 8.1 60.6
Sampdoria Genoa 17.2 12.4 8.4 60
Turin FC 16.7 12.9 8.5 58.6
US Palermo 16.8 13.2 8 58.4
US Sassuolo 16.5 13.5 8 57.5
FC Empoli 13.5 16.1 8.4 48.9
Hellas Verona 12.6 17.4 7.9 45.7
Udinese Calcio 11.7 17.6 8.6 43.7
Atalanta Bergamasca 9.4 20.1 8.5 36.7
AC Chievo Verona 8.8 20.7 8.5 34.9
Bologna FC 7.2 24.5 6.3 27.9
Carpi FC 7 25.2 5.8 26.8
Frosinone Calcio 6.6 25.3 6.1 25.9

German Bundesliga

Bayern Munich equaled a league record with eight wins in eight matches. The Bavarians have opened a sizeable lead that is only going to expand. It won't even be close in the Bundesliga this season.

Power Rankings

Rank Team
1 Bayern Munich
2 Borussia Dortmund
3 VfL Wolfsburg
4 Bayer Leverkusen
5 FC Schalke 04
6 Eintracht Frankfurt
7 1899 Hoffenheim
8 Hertha BSC
9 Monchengladbach
10 1 FC Cologne
11 VfB Stuttgart
12 1 FSV Mainz 05
13 FC Augsburg
14 Werder Bremen
15 Hannover 96
16 Hamburger SV
17 FC Ingolstadt
18 SV Darmstadt 98

Full Season Projections

Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
Bayern Munich 30.3 1 2.6 93.5
Borussia Dortmund 18.6 9.4 6 61.8
VfL Wolfsburg 17.2 9.7 7.1 58.7
Bayer Leverkusen 16.9 9.9 7.2 57.9
Eintracht Frankfurt 16 11.7 6.3 54.3
FC Schalke 04 15.5 10.7 7.8 54.3
1899 Hoffenheim 15 12.3 6.7 51.7
Hertha BSC 14.6 12.2 7.2 51
Monchengladbach 14.4 12.6 7 50.2
1 FC Cologne 12.6 14.3 7.2 45
VfB Stuttgart 13 15.1 5.9 44.9
1 FSV Mainz 05 12.4 14.6 7 44.2
FC Augsburg 11 15.4 7.6 40.6
Werder Bremen 9.5 17.7 6.8 35.3
Hannover 96 9.4 18 6.6 34.8
Hamburger SV 7.7 18.8 7.6 30.7
FC Ingolstadt 7 20.5 6.5 27.5
SV Darmstadt 98 6.1 23.2 4.7 23

French La Ligue 1

Zlatan Ibrahimovic became Paris St Germain's all-time top scorer. PSG sits atop the league with 23 points through nine games. The French champions are once again the most likely champions.

Power Rankings

Rank Team
1 Paris St Germain
2 Olympique Lyon
3 OGC Nice
4 Stade Rennes
5 Olympique Marseille
6 Stade Reims
7 AS Saint Etienne
8 FC Lorient
9 AS Monaco
10 SC Bastia
11 SM Caen
12 FC Girondins Bordeaux
13 Lille OSC
14 FC Nantes
15 Toulouse FC
16 EA Guingamp
17 SCO Angers
18 Montpellier HSC
19 Gazelec Ajaccio
20 Troyes AC

Full Season Projections

Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
Paris St Germain 27.2 4 6.8 88.4
Olympique Lyon 23.3 6.6 8 77.9
OGC Nice 21.6 9.5 6.9 71.7
Stade Rennes 20.2 9.4 8.4 69
Olympique Marseille 20.1 9.8 8 68.3
Stade Reims 18.5 10.7 8.9 64.4
AS Saint Etienne 18.3 10.7 9 63.9
FC Lorient 18.3 12.3 7.4 62.3
AS Monaco 17.6 12.3 8.1 60.9
SC Bastia 15.2 14.3 8.5 54.1
SM Caen 15.0 14.5 8.5 53.5
FC Girondins Bordeaux 14.1 16.1 7.8 50.1
Lille OSC 11.2 15.5 11.3 44.9
FC Nantes 10.6 17.5 9.9 41.7
Toulouse FC 11.1 18.6 8.2 41.5
SCO Angers 11.3 19.3 7.4 41.3
EA Guingamp 11.0 18.8 8.1 41.1
Montpellier HSC 9.5 20.1 8.4 36.9
Gazelec Ajaccio 3.4 30 4.6 14.8
Troyes AC 3.3 30.6 4 13.9

Major League Soccer

All the power is in the West. Four of the top five teams are from the Western Conference. The Sounders are fifth out West but still project to as the top dogs in the MLS.

Power Rankings

Rank Team
1 Seattle Sounders
2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
3 LA Galaxy
4 Toronto FC
5 Sporting Kansas City
6 DC United
7 NY Red Bulls
8 San Jose Earthquakes
9 Houston Dynamo
10 Orlando City SC
11 New England Revolution
12 Columbus Crew
13 Portland Timbers
14 FC Dallas
15 Montreal Impact
16 Real Salt Lake
17 Colorado Rapids
18 New York City FC
19 Chicago Fire
20 Philadelphia Union

Full Season Projections

Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
Seattle Sounders 16.8 8.6 8.6 59
Toronto FC 16 10 6.9 54.9
LA Galaxy 15.3 10.4 8.3 54.2
DC United 15.2 10.5 8.3 53.9
Sporting Kansas City 15.3 11 7.7 53.6
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 15 9.5 8.5 53.5
NY Red Bulls 14.4 12 7.6 50.8
Houston Dynamo 13.6 12.4 8 48.8
Orlando City SC 13.5 12.8 7.7 48.2
New England Revolution 13.4 13 7.6 47.8
Columbus Crew 13.4 13.4 7.2 47.4
San Jose Earthquakes 12.6 12.3 9.1 46.9
Montreal Impact 12.2 14.6 7.2 43.8
Portland Timbers 11 13.9 9.1 42.1
FC Dallas 11.1 13.8 8.1 41.4
New York City FC 10.8 15.3 7.9 40.3
Chicago Fire 10.4 16.2 7.4 38.6
Real Salt Lake 9.7 15.2 9 38.1
Colorado Rapids 8.9 14.6 9.5 36.2
Philadelphia Union 9 18 7 34