Popular Prop Bets (01/30/15)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
The public's five most popular Super Bowl prop bets – are they ‘sharp' or ‘square' wagers? Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.

The public loves betting props. With hundreds of proposition bets ranging from what song will Katy Perry sing first at halftime to the number of receiving yards for Julian Edelman, Super Sunday is a gambler's paradise.

Most of the money will come in on the positive side of the bet, as the public likes to back teams and players to succeed.

With that in mind, here are the five most popular Super Bowl XLIX prop bets.

Rob Gronkowski Receiving Yards
  • Over/Under: 74.5

The Patriots tight end loves playing Mortal Kombat X, kittens and catching passes from Tom Brady. Gronk caught 82 passes for 1,124 yards this season. The public is all about the OVER with 75% of the money coming in on Gronkowski to have more than 74.5 yards.

This line isn't off by much from our projected boxscore but it's still a square wager as we would lean on the under.

Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards
  • Over/Under: 92.5

This line has moved from 89.5 to 92.5 with 80% of the wagers coming in on the over. We agree with the public as Lynch is projected to rush for over 100 yards. There hasn't been a 100 yard rusher in the Super Bowl since the Colts and Bears squared off in 2007 when Dustin Rhodes rushed for 113 yards and Thomas Jones rushed for 112 yards.

Coin toss
  • Heads or Tails

This is one of the most popular Super Bowl bets because it is fast and it takes place before kickoff. Nearly 60% of bettors think the toss will come up heads. In the history of the Super Bowl there have been 24 heads and 24 tails, good luck!

National Anthem
  • Over/Under: 2 minutes 1 second

Idina Menzel sang the National Anthem at the MLB All-Star Game last summer. Guess how long it took her? 2 minutes and 1 second. The public is nearly evenly split on this bet but 52% of gamblers think Menzel will come in under the posted time.

We are fading their action and like the over.

Will Marshawn Lynch grab his crotch after scoring a TD in the game?
  • Yes: 4/1
  • No: 1/6

Marshawn Lynch likes to grab his crotch after he scores touchdowns. The NFL fined Lynch $20,000 for that gesture in the NFC Championship Game. The league has also said it will penalize the Seahawks 15 yards if the running back touches himself inappropriately again during the Super Bowl.

Bettors are throwing money on Yes with 70% of the action hoping to get 4/1 on their wagers. Lynch isn't known to conform to NFL policy, your guess is as good as ours on this one.

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