NFL Picks - 10/15/2017

Last Updated: 10/17/2017 11:08 AM ET
If you are getting a different line than our projection, simply access the Play Analyzer, which allows you to see picks at current consensus lines or input your own against-the-spread and over/under lines. Sign up for weekly Play Analyzer email alerts on Sunday mornings here. Also, to know who we project to be OUT of each game, check out our injuries information. The Play Value ($) assumes a "normal" $50 play.

Full analysis for each Week 6 game can be found in our NFL Week 6: In-Depth Analysis article.

With Derek Carr expected to start for the Raiders and a line now posted by multiple sportsbooks, we have added OAK/LAC to the picks page.


AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc
260 1:00 PM @MIN Upset Watch Lock of the Week GB 3 0.8 57.9 $58
251 1:00 PM CLE @ HOU 10 -7.3 57.5 $54
254 1:00 PM @NYJ NE 9.5 -7.2 56.3 $41
261 1:00 PM CHI @ BAL 6.5 -4.4 56.2 $40
271 4:25 PM LAC @ OAK 4 -1.6 55.6 $34
256 1:00 PM @ATL MIA -11.5 13.1 54.9 $26
265 4:05 PM LA @ JAC 2.5 -0.6 54.6 $23
268 4:05 PM @ARI TB 2 -0.1 54.3 $20
269 4:25 PM PIT @ KC 4.5 -2.8 54.2 $19
257 1:00 PM DET @ NO 6 -4.3 54.2 $19
273 8:30 PM NYG @ DEN 11.5 -10.4 53.7 $14
264 1:00 PM @WAS SF -10 11.1 53.5 $12


STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
256 1:00 PM @ ATL MIA 28.6 15.6 81.9
274 8:30 PM @ DEN NYG 24.2 13.9 78.5
264 1:00 PM @ WAS SF 30.7 19.6 77.0
252 1:00 PM @ HOU CLE 26.8 19.5 68.6
253 1:00 PM NE @ NYJ 29.6 22.4 67.4
262 1:00 PM @ BAL CHI 20.2 15.8 62.2
258 1:00 PM @ NO DET 27.4 23.1 60.6
270 4:25 PM @ KC PIT 24.8 21.9 57.2
272 4:25 PM @ OAK LAC 26.2 24.5 54.6
266 4:05 PM @ JAC LA 21.4 20.7 52.1
260 1:00 PM @ MIN GB 22.9 22.1 51.2
267 4:05 PM TB @ ARI 23.2 23.1 50.3


OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $ Calc
254 1:00 PM NE @ NYJ 47.5 52.0 Over 56.7 $45
262 1:00 PM CHI @ BAL 39.5 36.0 Under 56.6 $44
264 1:00 PM SF @ WAS 46.5 50.3 Over 56.0 $38
256 1:00 PM MIA @ ATL 46.5 44.2 Under 53.7 $14
260 1:00 PM GB @ MIN 46.5 45.0 Under 52.5 $1
258 1:00 PM DET @ NO 49.5 50.4 Over 51.4 $0
268 4:05 PM TB @ ARI 45.5 46.3 Over 51.2 $0
270 4:25 PM PIT @ KC 46 46.7 Over 51.2 $0
274 8:30 PM NYG @ DEN 38.5 38.1 Under 50.8 $0
266 4:05 PM LA @ JAC 42.5 42.1 Under 50.8 $0
272 4:25 PM LAC @ OAK 50.5 50.7 Over 50.3 $0
252 1:00 PM CLE @ HOU 46.5 46.3 Under 50.2 $0

ADDITIONAL GAME INFORMATION
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Boxscore Breakdown Broadcast Analyze Live
252 1:00 PM CLE @ HOU Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
254 1:00 PM NE @ NYJ Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
256 1:00 PM MIA @ ATL Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
258 1:00 PM DET @ NO Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
260 1:00 PM GB @ MIN Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
262 1:00 PM CHI @ BAL Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
264 1:00 PM SF @ WAS Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
266 4:05 PM LA @ JAC Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
268 4:05 PM TB @ ARI Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
270 4:25 PM PIT @ KC Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
272 4:25 PM LAC @ OAK Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
274 8:30 PM NYG @ DEN Boxscore Breakdown NBC Analyze Live

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).