MLB Picks - 9/13/2012

Last Updated: 8/19/2014 10:04 PM ET
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Money-line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) ML Pick Opponent SU% Proj. SU% Needed ML Calc Play More
958 3:35 PM@LAA Oak 63.8 60.0 -150 Calc --> [UTEOLP/235/227/-1.5/7.5/3/False/-150/130/105/-125/155/-175/Play] More
962 7:10 PM@Bos NYY 47.5 42.6 135 Calc --> [UTEOLP/234/226/1.5/9.5/3/False/135/-145/-115/-105/-120/100/Play] More
952 8:05 PM@Hou Upset Watch Phi 50.1 45.5 120 Calc --> [UTEOLP/246/242/1.5/8/3/False/120/-135/-105/-115/-145/125/Play] More
953 10:10 PMStL @LAD 49.5 45.5 120 Calc --> [UTEOLP/248/243/-1.5/7.5/3/False/-130/120/-110/-110/170/-200/Play] More
966 8:10 PM@CWS Det 46.2 44.4 125 Calc --> [UTEOLP/230/228/1.5/7.5/3/False/125/-140/100/-120/-140/120/Play] More
959 7:07 PMSea @Tor 58.7 58.3 -140 Calc --> [UTEOLP/236/238/1.5/7.5/3/False/130/-140/-115/-105/-130/110/Play] More
963 8:05 PMCle @Tex 33.5 33.3 200 Calc --> [UTEOLP/229/237/-1.5/10/3/False/-230/200/-110/-110/-115/-105/Play] More
955 12:35 PMTB @Bal 47.7 47.6 110 Calc --> [UTEOLP/254/225/-1.5/8/3/False/-115/110/-120/100/175/-210/Play] More
968 8:10 PM@Min KC 50.8 51.2 -105 Calc --> [UTEOLP/231/233/-1.5/9/3/False/-105/-105/-105/-115/185/-215/Play] More


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Matchup O/U Total Pick Pick% Proj. Pick% Need Odds Calc Play
959 7:07 PMSEA @ TOR 7.5 8.8 Over 56.9 53.5 -115 Calc --> [UTEOLP/236/238/1.5/7.5/3/False/130/-140/-115/-105/-130/110/Play]
951 8:05 PMPHI @ HOU 8 8.6 Over 53.6 51.2 -105 Calc --> [UTEOLP/246/242/1.5/8/3/False/120/-135/-105/-115/-145/125/Play]
953 10:10 PMSTL @ LAD 7.5 8.3 Over 54.7 52.4 -110 Calc --> [UTEOLP/248/243/-1.5/7.5/3/False/-130/120/-110/-110/170/-200/Play]
955 12:35 PMTB @ BAL 8 9.2 Over 56.3 54.5 -120 Calc --> [UTEOLP/254/225/-1.5/8/3/False/-115/110/-120/100/175/-210/Play]
965 8:10 PMDET @ CWS 7.5 7.8 Over 51.7 50.0 100 Calc --> [UTEOLP/230/228/1.5/7.5/3/False/125/-140/100/-120/-140/120/Play]
957 3:35 PMOAK @ LAA 7.5 7.3 Over 48.7 48.8 105 Calc --> [UTEOLP/235/227/-1.5/7.5/3/False/-150/130/105/-125/155/-175/Play]
962 7:10 PMNYY @ BOS 9.5 9.5 Under 49.9 51.2 -105 Calc --> [UTEOLP/234/226/1.5/9.5/3/False/135/-145/-115/-105/-120/100/Play]
963 8:05 PMCLE @ TEX 10 10.5 Over 52.2 52.4 -110 Calc --> [UTEOLP/229/237/-1.5/10/3/False/-230/200/-110/-110/-115/-105/Play]
968 8:10 PMKC @ MIN 9 8.5 Under 52.3 53.5 -115 Calc --> [UTEOLP/231/233/-1.5/9/3/False/-105/-105/-105/-115/185/-215/Play]


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Runs For Runs Against Win% Play
964 8:05 PM@ Tex Cle 6.0 4.5 66.5 [UTEOLP/229/237/-1.5/10/3/False/-230/200/-110/-110/-115/-105/Play]
958 3:35 PM@ LAA Oak 4.2 3.1 63.8 [UTEOLP/235/227/-1.5/7.5/3/False/-150/130/105/-125/155/-175/Play]
959 7:07 PMSea @ Tor 4.8 4.1 58.7 [UTEOLP/236/238/1.5/7.5/3/False/130/-140/-115/-105/-130/110/Play]
965 8:10 PMDet @ CWS 4.0 3.7 53.8 [UTEOLP/230/228/1.5/7.5/3/False/125/-140/100/-120/-140/120/Play]
961 7:10 PMNYY @ Bos 4.8 4.6 52.5 [UTEOLP/234/226/1.5/9.5/3/False/135/-145/-115/-105/-120/100/Play]
956 12:35 PM@ Bal TB 4.7 4.5 52.3 [UTEOLP/254/225/-1.5/8/3/False/-115/110/-120/100/175/-210/Play]
968 8:10 PM@ Min KC 4.3 4.2 50.8 [UTEOLP/231/233/-1.5/9/3/False/-105/-105/-105/-115/185/-215/Play]
954 10:10 PM@ LAD StL 4.2 4.1 50.5 [UTEOLP/248/243/-1.5/7.5/3/False/-130/120/-110/-110/170/-200/Play]
952 8:05 PM@ Hou Upset Watch Phi 4.3 4.3 50.1 [UTEOLP/246/242/1.5/8/3/False/120/-135/-105/-115/-145/125/Play]


Run-Line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot RL Pick Opp. RL Margin RL% Proj. RL% Need Odds Calc Play
958 @LAA OAK -1.5 1.2 46.1 39.2 155 Calc --> [UTEOLP/235/227/-1.5/7.5/3/False/-150/130/105/-125/155/-175/Play]
962 @BOS NYY 1.5 -0.2 58.4 54.5 -120 Calc --> [UTEOLP/234/226/1.5/9.5/3/False/135/-145/-115/-105/-120/100/Play]
952 @HOU PHI 1.5 0.0 61.5 59.2 -145 Calc --> [UTEOLP/246/242/1.5/8/3/False/120/-135/-105/-115/-145/125/Play]
953 STL @LAD 1.5 0.0 67.8 66.7 -200 Calc --> [UTEOLP/248/243/-1.5/7.5/3/False/-130/120/-110/-110/170/-200/Play]
963 CLE @TEX 1.5 -1.4 52.4 51.2 -105 Calc --> [UTEOLP/229/237/-1.5/10/3/False/-230/200/-110/-110/-115/-105/Play]
966 @CWS DET 1.5 -0.3 57.8 58.3 -140 Calc --> [UTEOLP/230/228/1.5/7.5/3/False/125/-140/100/-120/-140/120/Play]
955 TB @BAL 1.5 -0.2 65.9 67.7 -210 Calc --> [UTEOLP/254/225/-1.5/8/3/False/-115/110/-120/100/175/-210/Play]
959 SEA @TOR -1.5 0.7 47.5 47.6 110 Calc --> [UTEOLP/236/238/1.5/7.5/3/False/130/-140/-115/-105/-130/110/Play]
967 KC @MIN 1.5 0.0 67.0 68.3 -215 Calc --> [UTEOLP/231/233/-1.5/9/3/False/-105/-105/-105/-115/185/-215/Play]

In the picks above, Margin, Runs For, Runs Against and Total Runs are averages from 50,000 games played. The RL% is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted run line. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. With Money-Line plays, any game for which neither team wins enough to justify value is ignored. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on “Calc” and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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