MLB Picks - 5/4/2017

Last Updated: 5/5/2017 10:58 AM ET
If you are getting a different line than our projection or you are interested in parlays or other exotics that use different lines, we've got you covered. Simply access the Play Analyzer, which allows you to run the games again while being able to input your own book's lines.

Our MLB simulations are run with any lineups that are already confirmed at the time of these picks being posted, otherwise, they are run using our projected lineups for the day.

UPDATE: The Cubs/Phillies game has been re-simulated to adjust for major changes in Cubs lineup + weather conditions at Wrigley Field.
MONEY-LINE PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Rot Time (ET) ML Pick Opponent SU% Proj. SU% Needed ML $ Calc More
923 10:10 PM LAA @Sea 49.8 43.5 130 $56 More
916 1:10 PM @Det Cle 52.4 50.0 100 $24 More
905 2:20 PM Phi @ChC 39.4 36.4 175 $24 More
922 2:10 PM @Hou Tex 61.6 60.8 -155 $10 More
908 3:40 PM @SD Col 53.3 52.4 -110 $10 More
904 7:15 PM @StL Mil 60.4 60.0 -150 $5 More
917 7:10 PM Bal @Bos 47.0 46.5 115 $5 More
901 12:35 PM Pit @Cin 51.6 51.2 -105 $4 More
920 2:15 PM @KC CWS 56.6 56.5 -130 $1 More
926 7:10 PM @TB Mia 55.3 55.6 -125 $0 More
911 7:35 PM NYM @Atl 46.9 47.6 110 $0 More
910 1:05 PM @Was Ari 72.2 72.2 -260 $0 More
913 1:10 PM Oak @Min 48.1 48.8 105 $0 More


OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Rot Time (ET) Matchup O/U Total Pick Pick% Proj. Pick% Need Odds $ Calc
903 7:15 PM MIL @ STL 7.5 8.3 Over 55.3 48.8 105 $64
909 1:05 PM ARI @ WAS 8 9.3 Over 57.1 53.5 -115 $39
901 12:35 PM PIT @ CIN 8 8.9 Over 54.6 52.4 -110 $23
924 10:10 PM LAA @ SEA 8.5 8.0 Under 53.1 51.2 -105 $19
908 3:40 PM COL @ SD 8 7.4 Under 53.0 52.4 -110 $7
925 7:10 PM MIA @ TB 8 9.0 Over 55.1 54.5 -120 $6
915 1:10 PM CLE @ DET 7.5 8.0 Over 52.5 52.4 -110 $1
911 7:35 PM NYM @ ATL 8.5 8.6 Over 50.1 50.0 100 $1
917 7:10 PM BAL @ BOS 10 10.1 Over 50.7 51.2 -105 $0
922 2:10 PM TEX @ HOU 8.5 8.2 Under 51.6 53.5 -115 $0
919 2:15 PM CWS @ KC 7.5 7.6 Over 50.6 51.2 -105 $0
905 2:20 PM PHI @ CHC 6.5 7.3 Over 54.7 55.6 -125 $0
914 1:10 PM OAK @ MIN 9 8.4 Under 52.9 53.5 -115 $0


STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Runs For Runs Against Win%
910 1:05 PM @ Was Ari 5.6 3.7 72.2
922 2:10 PM @ Hou Tex 4.6 3.6 61.6
906 2:20 PM @ ChC Phi 4.1 3.2 60.6
904 7:15 PM @ StL Mil 4.6 3.8 60.4
920 2:15 PM @ KC CWS 4.1 3.5 56.6
926 7:10 PM @ TB Mia 4.8 4.3 55.3
908 3:40 PM @ SD Col 3.8 3.6 53.3
912 7:35 PM @ Atl NYM 4.4 4.1 53.1
918 7:10 PM @ Bos Bal 5.2 4.9 53.0
916 1:10 PM @ Det Cle 4.1 3.9 52.4
914 1:10 PM @ Min Oak 4.3 4.1 52.0
901 12:35 PM Pit @ Cin 4.5 4.4 51.6
924 10:10 PM @ Sea LAA 4.0 4.0 50.2


RUN-LINE PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Rot RL Pick Opp. RL Margin RL% Proj. RL% Need Odds $ Calc
923 LAA @SEA 1.5 0.0 67.9 62.3 -165 $75
917 BAL @BOS 1.5 -0.3 65.6 62.3 -165 $44
916 @DET CLE 1.5 0.2 63.5 60.8 -155 $35
904 @STL MIL -1.5 0.8 42.0 39.2 155 $23
922 @HOU TEX -1.5 1.0 43.6 42.6 135 $9
901 PIT @CIN -1.5 0.2 40.7 40.0 150 $6
926 @TB MIA -1.5 0.5 36.8 38.5 160 $0
912 @ATL NYM -1.5 0.3 35.3 36.4 175 $0
920 @KC CWS -1.5 0.6 38.8 39.2 155 $0
908 @SD COL -1.5 0.2 35.5 35.7 180 $0
905 PHI @CHC 1.5 -0.9 57.2 58.3 -140 $0
910 @WAS ARI -1.5 2.0 54.7 55.6 -125 $0
913 OAK @MIN 1.5 -0.1 66.2 66.7 -200 $0

ADDITIONAL GAME INFORMATION
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Breakdown Analyze
902 12:35 PM PIT @ CIN Breakdown Analyze
904 7:15 PM MIL @ STL Breakdown Analyze
906 2:20 PM PHI @ CHC Breakdown Analyze
908 3:40 PM COL @ SD Breakdown Analyze
910 1:05 PM ARI @ WAS Breakdown Analyze
912 7:35 PM NYM @ ATL Breakdown Analyze
914 1:10 PM OAK @ MIN Breakdown Analyze
916 1:10 PM CLE @ DET Breakdown Analyze
918 7:10 PM BAL @ BOS Breakdown Analyze
920 2:15 PM CWS @ KC Breakdown Analyze
922 2:10 PM TEX @ HOU Breakdown Analyze
924 10:10 PM LAA @ SEA Breakdown Analyze
926 7:10 PM MIA @ TB Breakdown Analyze