College Football Picks - Bowls

Last Updated: 8/19/2014 10:04 PM ET

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Bowl Notes: Please note these assumptions for bowl season. The information below reflects our expectations from 50,000 game simulations of equally motivated teams playing on truly neutral fields (save for San Diego State which is playing on its actual home field), with the injured/suspended players out as noted on the Injury Report and with the coaching staff expected to be in place as of the "Last Updated" date above. All other games will only be updated as significant injury/suspension or coaching changes are announced. With each normal+ ATS pick counting as a "Paul's Pick," each of those games will be broken down in the Paul's Pick section three days before the game. And remember that subscribers to the picks also gain access to thePlay Analyzer and Customizable Predictalator to evaluate any game (on a neutral field or with either team receiving home field advantage) at any line. The Play Analyzer's "consensus lines" feature does almost all of this work for you.

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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Date ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play Live
245 12/31/2012 LSU Top ATS Play of the Day CLEM -3.5 10.5 61.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3481/3407/3.5/58.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
221 12/27/2012 BAYLOR[PP] Upset Watch UCLA 1.5 8.5 60.8 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3484/3469/-1.5/78/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
240 12/31/2012 VANDY[PP] NCSU -6.5 12.7 60.1 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3413/3477/-6.5/52/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
202 12/15/2012 ARI[PP] NEVADA -9.5 17.3 59.7 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3445/3462/-9.5/75/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
255 1/1/2013 WISC[PP] STAN 7 -1.3 59.6 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3442/3468/-7/47.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
243 12/31/2012 IAST[PP] Upset Watch TULSA 1.5 4.3 58.4 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3425/3512/-1.5/51.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
233 12/29/2012 WVU[PP] SYR -4 10.4 58.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3423/3420/4/73.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
248 1/1/2013 OKST[PP] PURDUE -16.5 23.9 58.1 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3441/3431/-16.5/70/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
228 12/28/2012 TXTCH[PP] MINN -13 18.5 57.7 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3437/3491/-13/57/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
264 1/4/2013 OKLA[PP] Upset Watch TEXA&M 4.5 2.0 57.3 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3489/3430/4.5/71.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
218 12/27/2012 BGSU[PP] SJSU 7.5 -3.3 57.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3449/3454/7.5/47/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
205 12/20/2012 BYU[PP] @ SDSU -3 10.3 57.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3493/3498/3/49.5/1/False/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
269 1/7/2013 ALA ND -9 12.8 56.6 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3478/3509/9/42/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
211 12/22/2012 WASH BOISE 5.5 -1.6 56.5 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3470/3517/-5.5/46/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
231 12/29/2012 NAVY ARIST 14.5 -10.2 56.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3507/3463/-14.5/56/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
204 12/15/2012 UTAHST TOLEDO -10 14.0 55.9 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3460/3451/-10/58/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
258 1/1/2013 FLAST NIU -13.5 17.5 55.6 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3448/3409/-13.5/58.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
259 1/2/2013 LOU FLA 14.5 -11.3 55.3 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3505/3472/-14.5/45.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
254 1/1/2013 NEB UGA 10 -6.4 55.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3473/3429/10/57/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
252 1/1/2013 MICH SC 4 -1.1 54.8 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3475/3435/4/48/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
262 1/3/2013 KANST OREGON 9 -5.9 54.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3465/3427/9/76.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
213 12/24/2012 FRES SMU -11.5 14.1 53.9 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3495/3487/11.5/59.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
238 12/29/2012 MSU TCU 2.5 -0.1 53.8 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3490/3436/2.5/41.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
209 12/22/2012 ECU UL-LAF 5.5 -3.0 53.6 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3504/3450/-5.5/64/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
219 12/27/2012 CIN DUKE -7.5 9.3 52.8 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3503/3408/7.5/58/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
265 1/5/2013 PITT MISS 3.5 -1.9 52.6 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3418/3482/-3.5/52/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
229 12/29/2012 RICE Upset Watch AF 1 1.9 52.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3486/3492/-1/61/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
235 12/29/2012 TEX OREST 2 -0.4 52.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3488/3466/-2/56/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
226 12/28/2012 VATECH RUT -2 3.0 51.7 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3419/3422/-2/41.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
208 12/21/2012 BALLST UCF 8 -7.0 51.5 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3615/3453/8/61.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
224 12/28/2012 UL-MON OHIO -6.5 7.3 51.1 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3459/3508/-6.5/59/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
249 1/1/2013 MISSST NW -2 2.5 50.8 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3483/3438/2/51.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
242 12/31/2012 GATECH USC 10 -9.7 50.4 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3467/3410/10/64/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
215 12/26/2012 WESTKY CENTMI -6 6.2 50.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3628/3455/6/58.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
267 1/6/2013 KENTST ARKST 4 -3.9 50.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3457/3443/-4/61/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Date Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play Live
248 1/1/2013 OKST PURDUE 47.5 23.6 81.1 [UTEOLP/3441/3431/-16.5/70/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
228 12/28/2012 TXTCH MINN 37.6 19.0 77.1 [UTEOLP/3437/3491/-13/57/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
258 1/1/2013 FLAST NIU 35.5 18.0 76.4 [UTEOLP/3448/3409/-13.5/58.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
213 12/24/2012 FRES SMU 33.6 19.5 71.2 [UTEOLP/3495/3487/11.5/59.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
202 12/15/2012 ARI NEVADA 50.3 33.0 70.8 [UTEOLP/3445/3462/-9.5/75/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
269 1/7/2013 ALA ND 29.1 16.3 70.2 [UTEOLP/3478/3509/9/42/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
204 12/15/2012 UTAHST TOLEDO 38.6 24.7 70.0 [UTEOLP/3460/3451/-10/58/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
240 12/31/2012 VANDY NCSU 31.5 18.8 69.5 [UTEOLP/3413/3477/-6.5/52/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
260 1/2/2013 FLA LOU 27.3 15.9 69.0 [UTEOLP/3505/3472/-14.5/45.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
232 12/29/2012 ARIST NAVY 33.9 23.7 66.0 [UTEOLP/3507/3463/-14.5/56/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
245 12/31/2012 LSU CLEM 31.9 21.3 65.8 [UTEOLP/3481/3407/3.5/58.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
241 12/31/2012 USC GATECH 38.8 29.1 63.8 [UTEOLP/3467/3410/10/64/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
219 12/27/2012 CIN DUKE 34.3 24.9 63.7 [UTEOLP/3503/3408/7.5/58/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
233 12/29/2012 WVU SYR 44.5 34.1 63.0 [UTEOLP/3423/3420/4/73.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
224 12/28/2012 UL-MON OHIO 34.3 27.0 60.6 [UTEOLP/3459/3508/-6.5/59/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
207 12/21/2012 UCF BALLST 35.9 28.9 60.3 [UTEOLP/3615/3453/8/61.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
205 12/20/2012 BYU @ SDSU 27.8 17.5 59.8 [UTEOLP/3493/3498/3/49.5/1/False/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
253 1/1/2013 UGA NEB 36.4 30.0 59.8 [UTEOLP/3473/3429/10/57/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
215 12/26/2012 WESTKY CENTMI 31.2 25.1 59.6 [UTEOLP/3628/3455/6/58.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
221 12/27/2012 BAYLOR Upset Watch UCLA 48.6 40.1 59.3 [UTEOLP/3484/3469/-1.5/78/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
261 1/3/2013 OREGON KANST 37.4 31.4 58.3 [UTEOLP/3465/3427/9/76.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
243 12/31/2012 IAST Upset Watch TULSA 27.1 22.8 56.1 [UTEOLP/3425/3512/-1.5/51.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
217 12/27/2012 SJSU BGSU 23.0 19.7 56.1 [UTEOLP/3449/3454/7.5/47/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
268 1/6/2013 ARKST KENTST 31.2 27.3 55.8 [UTEOLP/3457/3443/-4/61/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
226 12/28/2012 VATECH RUT 20.5 17.5 55.1 [UTEOLP/3419/3422/-2/41.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
210 12/22/2012 UL-LAF ECU 33.5 30.5 54.6 [UTEOLP/3504/3450/-5.5/64/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
249 1/1/2013 MISSST NW 27.2 24.6 54.0 [UTEOLP/3483/3438/2/51.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
266 1/5/2013 MISS PITT 25.9 24.1 53.4 [UTEOLP/3418/3482/-3.5/52/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
212 12/22/2012 BOISE WASH 21.3 19.7 53.3 [UTEOLP/3470/3517/-5.5/46/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
256 1/1/2013 STAN WISC 24.1 22.8 53.2 [UTEOLP/3442/3468/-7/47.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
251 1/1/2013 SC MICH 22.3 21.3 52.2 [UTEOLP/3475/3435/4/48/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
229 12/29/2012 RICE Upset Watch AF 35.3 33.5 52.2 [UTEOLP/3486/3492/-1/61/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
264 1/4/2013 OKLA Upset Watch TEXA&M 39.6 37.6 51.9 [UTEOLP/3489/3430/4.5/71.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
236 12/29/2012 OREST TEX 32.5 32.1 50.8 [UTEOLP/3488/3466/-2/56/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
237 12/29/2012 TCU MSU 18.1 18.0 50.5 [UTEOLP/3490/3436/2.5/41.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Date Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play Live
254 1/1/2013 UGA vs. NEB 57 66.3 Over 61.6 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3473/3429/10/57/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
236 12/29/2012 TEX vs. OREST 56 64.6 Over 61.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3488/3466/-2/56/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
238 12/29/2012 TCU vs. MSU 41.5 36.1 Under 59.7 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3490/3436/2.5/41.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
222 12/27/2012 BAYLOR vs. UCLA 78 88.8 Over 59.5 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3484/3469/-1.5/78/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
230 12/29/2012 RICE vs. AF 61 68.8 Over 58.9 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3486/3492/-1/61/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
212 12/22/2012 WASH vs. BOISE 46 41.0 Under 58.5 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3470/3517/-5.5/46/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
214 12/24/2012 FRES vs. SMU 59.5 53.1 Under 58.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3495/3487/11.5/59.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
202 12/15/2012 NEVADA vs. ARI 75 83.2 Over 57.6 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3445/3462/-9.5/75/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
262 1/3/2013 OREGON vs. KANST 76.5 68.8 Under 57.5 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3465/3427/9/76.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
246 12/31/2012 LSU vs. CLEM 58.5 53.2 Under 57.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3481/3407/3.5/58.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
252 1/1/2013 SC vs. MICH 48 43.6 Under 57.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3475/3435/4/48/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
218 12/27/2012 SJSU vs. BGSU 47 42.7 Under 56.8 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3449/3454/7.5/47/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
204 12/15/2012 TOLEDO vs. UTAHST 58 63.3 Over 56.7 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3460/3451/-10/58/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
258 1/1/2013 NIU vs. FLAST 58.5 53.5 Under 56.6 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3448/3409/-13.5/58.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
226 12/28/2012 RUT vs. VATECH 41.5 38.1 Under 56.5 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3419/3422/-2/41.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
264 1/4/2013 TEXA&M vs. OKLA 71.5 77.2 Over 56.1 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3489/3430/4.5/71.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
270 1/7/2013 ALA vs. ND 42 45.4 Over 55.6 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3478/3509/9/42/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
234 12/29/2012 WVU vs. SYR 73.5 78.6 Over 55.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3423/3420/4/73.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
242 12/31/2012 USC vs. GATECH 64 67.9 Over 54.5 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3467/3410/10/64/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
208 12/21/2012 UCF vs. BALLST 61.5 64.7 Over 53.9 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3615/3453/8/61.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
260 1/2/2013 LOU vs. FLA 45.5 43.2 Under 53.8 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3505/3472/-14.5/45.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
206 12/20/2012 BYU @ SDSU 49.5 45.3 Under 53.8 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3493/3498/3/49.5/1/False/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
268 1/6/2013 KENTST vs. ARKST 61 58.5 Under 53.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3457/3443/-4/61/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
266 1/5/2013 PITT vs. MISS 52 50.0 Under 53.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3418/3482/-3.5/52/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
216 12/26/2012 WESTKY vs. CENTMI 58.5 56.3 Under 52.9 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3628/3455/6/58.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
224 12/28/2012 OHIO vs. UL-MON 59 61.3 Over 52.8 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3459/3508/-6.5/59/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
244 12/31/2012 IAST vs. TULSA 51.5 49.8 Under 52.4 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3425/3512/-1.5/51.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
240 12/31/2012 NCSU vs. VANDY 52 50.4 Under 52.3 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3413/3477/-6.5/52/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
232 12/29/2012 NAVY vs. ARIST 56 57.7 Over 52.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3507/3463/-14.5/56/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
220 12/27/2012 CIN vs. DUKE 58 59.2 Over 51.5 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3503/3408/7.5/58/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
248 1/1/2013 PURDUE vs. OKST 70 71.1 Over 51.2 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3441/3431/-16.5/70/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
256 1/1/2013 WISC vs. STAN 47.5 46.8 Under 51.1 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3442/3468/-7/47.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
228 12/28/2012 MINN vs. TXTCH 57 56.6 Under 50.5 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3437/3491/-13/57/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
250 1/1/2013 MISSST vs. NW 51.5 51.8 Over 50.4 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3483/3438/2/51.5/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  
210 12/22/2012 ECU vs. UL-LAF 64 64.0 Over 50.0 Calc --> [UTEOLP/3504/3450/-5.5/64/1/True/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/-110/Play]  

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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College Football Picks Pages:
All Bowl Games: Predictalator Picks
Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
Buy Picks [AddThis]