NFL Week 8 Daily Fantasy Targets (10/28/16)
The Predictalator has run every Week 8 2016 NFL game 50,000 times. This allows us to rank all players based on their expected fantasy football output in the upcoming game. For salary cap leagues, we have added $/FP to uncover players with the greatest value. Salary values represent the cost per projected fantasy point for default public leagues on DraftKings and FanDuel, two of the top websites that specialize in daily fantasy sports games.
Check out the Optimal Daily Fantasy Lineups for the week and build Customized Projections and Lineups. You can also use our Next Man Up Tool to remove certain players and resimulate the game to get updated projections.
Aaron Rodgers is high-priced but is well worth it as our highest point projection of Week 8. The Packers have lost James Starks and Eddie Lacy to injury that has led to a mass amount of passing from a play-calling perspective. Rodgers has thrown the ball 98 times in the last two games for over 600 yards. This week, he'll face an average defense inside the Georgia Dome in a high-paced game.
Winston's price tag is simply too cheap this week. The Buccaneers are another team that has a depleted running back core and will rely on Winston to consistently move the ball. They also go up against a Raiders defense that has been abysmal the last two years. They've allowed 8.4 yards per attempt (third worst in the league), 13 yards per completion (fifth worst), 302.1 yards per game (worst), and own a 3.4% sack rate (third worst).
C.J. Anderson is not playing this week for the Broncos. With Booker's salary being near minimum, he'll be a must-own in a cash game. We don't expect the game plan to change too much with Anderson out as Booker was beginning to carry a lot of the workload in the last few weeks. He'll almost certainly hit value and will be owned by a large percentage of players.
Montgomery is still listed as a wide receiver on FanDuel, but he's still worth the play and mention in a tournament format. It is hard to project what role he'll fill from a week-by-week basis but we still expect him to get a ton of touches. With Lacy and Starks out, Montgomery will fill in the backfield along with in the slot. He got 9 carries last week for 60 yards along with 13 targets as a wideout. With a small price tag, he's worth the shot in a tournament.
Mike Evans is a worthwhile play to go along with Jameis Winston. Even without stacking Winston, Evans is a fine play. Evans has been targeted 12.5 times per game through his first six games, almost two more targets per game ahead of the next highest receiver, T.Y. Hilton. He'll face that same Raiders defense mentioned above that can't stop any quarterback. The Bucs also have a depleted receiving core, making Evans even more desirable.
Edelman isn't the usual sneaky tournament play that one would typically target. However, Gronkowski has been stealing a lot of the spotlight while Edelman has been targeted quite a bit since Brady's return under the radar. He's gotten 27 targets in the last three weeks but his yardage and catch percentage is down a bit. We don't expect that to continue long term; thus, he's a bit underpriced and under-owned this week.
Jimmy Graham had a slow start to his Seahawks career as they figured out how to best use him. He's gotten nearly seven targets per game this year and is emerging as a threat each week. He's the third highest priced tight end this week but the $6,100 and $6,700 on DraftKings and FanDuel, respectively, is a bit low. He'll face a Saints defense, in their dome, that is atrocious. They will not be able to match up with his speed and size.
Fiedorowicz is a bit more of a wildcard at the tight end position than Graham. Over the last few weeks, though, the Texans have used him as their clear starting tight end. With a $2,800 price tag on DraftKings, he'll likely be overlooked by other top or even mid-level tight ends on the board. Over the last three games, Fiedorowicz has eight targets against the Vikings, seven targets against the Broncos, and seven targets against the Colts. The Lions defense isn't above average in nearly any category and Fiedorowicz should continue to get looks, especially in the red zone.