NFL Week 11 Daily Fantasy Targets (11/18/16)
Matthew Stafford may be having his best career season. He's completing 67.3% of his passes for 7.5 yards per attempt while maintaining a 1.6% interception rate. He also has some quick threats at wide receiver. Golden Tate and Marvin Jones have been outstanding. The veteran Boldin plays as a hybrid receiver/tight end next to Ebron. Now that they are tied for the divisional lead, they'll have plenty of motivation.
This week they'll go up against the Jaguars defense. Despite how bad the team is, the Jaguars defense has been alright. Granted they are always on the field from poor offensive play, but they've only allowed five yards per play and 6.2 yards per passing attempt. However, they'll have a hard time matching up with the Lions receivers on the fast turf of Ford Field. Look for Stafford to throw it a ton against their secondary as they have been short at running back all season.
On the other side of the ball, Blake Bortles is our tournament play this week. Bortles is bad, there's no way around it. From a fantasy standpoint, he's been pretty good thanks to some garbage time play where he's a frequent thrower. This Lions secondary, though, could turn Bortles into a perfectly average quarterback.
So far, the Lions have allowed completions on 74.1% of pass attempts for worst in the league. On top of that, they are the seventh worst in yards per attempt. Allen Hurns and Allen Robinson should have fine days, as well, especially if the Jags fall behind in their typical fashion. Bortles isn't the best option, but not many players will take him this week.
Trusting Bill Belichick with running back workload is a terrifying experience in cash games. However, we all expect the Patriots to grow a lead against the Niners this week. Thus, Blount should get a ton of work, especially in the second half.
Blount has been pretty good this season from a fantasy angle. He's only rushed for 3.7 yards per attempt but he's getting a huge share of touches around the end zone as he's scored 12 touchdowns. He's scored a touchdown in every game but one. The Niners rank dead last in rushing. They've allowed 5.1 yards per rush attempt and 13 rushing touchdowns this season. This is a great matchup with what should be plenty of opportunity to add a couple scores.
One wouldn't normally expect to pair a running back with a quarterback in a DFS slate. However, this week may be one of the few opportunities where it makes sense in a tournament. Theo Riddick isn't a great “standard” running back. He is much more effective out of the backfield as a receiver. In fact, the Lions are using him as their primary back and rarely hand it to him.
Since taking over the primary spot due to other injuries, Riddick has only rushed it more than 11 once. He does get over six targets per game from Stafford and has caught four touchdown passes as opposed to rushing for only one. He's a risky play, but if he scores it'll also be in a pair with Stafford.
Golden Tate is a more reliable combination with Stafford this week. You can double-dip into stat categories by pairing the two together this week. Marvin Jones has rightfully received a lot of attention, but Tate is getting a ton of targets, as well. Just last week, Tate caught 11 balls on 12 targets for 79 yards and a touchdown against a tough Vikings defense.
In his last four games, Tate has been targeted no less than nine times catching an impressive 74.4% of those passes. Tate hasn't been getting a ton of looks in the red zone but the catches this week should be enough with Stafford to trust his output.
Tyreek Hill is likely unknown by most DFS players but that's not the only reason he's a great tournament play this week. Jeremy Maclin is the number one receiver for the Chiefs who is now doubtful after getting hurt early last week. Once Maclin left last week's game, Hill ended up getting 13 targets, catching 10 of those targets for 89 yards.
If Alex Smith and Andy Reid were more trustworthy and less conservative on offense, this could become a great cash game play; but they aren't. So grab Hill in some tournament lineups and hope he continues to get targets and maybe even break the plane of the goal line.
Martellus Bennett is nearly a must-own in DFS this week. With Rob Gronkowski likely out, he'll get the share of the looks at tight end. Even with Gronk playing a bit restricted last week after taking a big hit from Earl Thomas, Bennett caught seven passes on seven targets for 102 yards. On top of Gronk being out, the Patriots should have no issues entering the red zone against the Niners where Bennett typically thrives.
Vernon Davis is the biggest risk of tournament options we'll offer this week. Davis' output is almost completely reliant on the health and/or success of Jordan Reed, one of the best tight ends in the league. As Reed has been banged up the last few weeks, Davis has turned into a downfield threat for Kirk Cousins.
Davis has at least 50 receiving yards in all of his last four games and has caught every target thrown his way in the last three weeks. He will go up against an impressive Packers front seven, but his price tag, particularly on DraftKings, makes him desirable in a tournament format.