NFL Line Movement (10/17/14)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
Line movements for the NFL including prop bets for the Cowboys, Bengals and Seahawks. Lines courtesy of Bovada.lv.



Let's take a look at some of the more interesting line movements to see how the current lines got where they are today.

Plus fun prop bets for the NFL including the Cowboys, Bengals and Seahawks.

Cowboys vs. Giants


The Cowboys are 5-1. That is all you need to know about the line movement in this game. The Boys opened as 3 point favorites at home over the Giants. After a surprising win in Seattle, Dallas, the most public of public teams, is now a 6.5 point favorite.

Nearly 80 percent of the bets are on Dallas to cover. In the last 20 meetings between the Cowboys and Giants, the G-Men are 13-7 (67% ATS).

How many 100 yard or more Rushing games will DeMarco Murray record in the 2014 Regular Season?
  • Over/Under: 11

Murray is leading the NFL in rushing (785 yards) and joined Jim Brown as the only backs in NFL history to rush for at least 100 yards in the first six games of a season. The record for most 100 yard games in an NFL season is 14 by Barry Sanders in 1997.

Bengals vs. Colts


Indy is looking for its longest winning streak in the Andrew Luck era. The Bengals are looking to bounce back after tying the Panthers. The Colts opened as 2.5 points favorites. With 82 percent of the money coming in on Indianapolis to cover the line has moved to Andrew Luck -3 at home.

Will there be another tie in the 2014 Regular Season?
  • Yes: 15/1

There has been a tie in three consecutive seasons but there hasn't been two draws in the same season since 1997.

Seahawks vs. Rams


In the last 10 years, the Rams are just 5-16 straight-up against the Seahawks. St. Louis has lost seven in a row being outscored by 9.7 points on average. Seattle opened as a 6.5 point favorite. All of the money is on the Seahawks to cover, well almost all of it. Of the wagers taken, 94 percent are on the Seahawks as road favorites. Seattle is now a 7.5 point favorite in St. Louis.

Will the Seahawks lose another home game in the 2014 Regular Season?
  • Yes: -250
  • No: +175

Since Russell Wilson arrived in town, the Seahawks have only lost two games in Century Link Field, including the disappointing defeat to Dallas last week. Seattle has five home games remaining and will be favored to win in all of them.