Bessire: RB Ranks and Projections

Last Updated: 1/18/2015 8:58 PM ET
Projections for every ranked running back are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2013 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done (also includes 2012 rankings and projections). See biographical and statistical data on each RB prospect here.



Again this year, we have included an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player. This score is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. A score of seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start adequately and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star.

As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top five running backs had scores of: Gio Bernard (8.7), Eddie Lacy (7.4), Kenjon Barner (7.4), Montee Ball (7.1) and Joseph Randle (7.1).

RB 2014 Projected NFL Rookie Rush Stats

Rank Player Rushes Rush Yds YPC Rec. Rec. Yds TDs Score
1 Carlos Hyde 222 1,053 4.7 25 194 9 8.0
2 Jeremy Hill 222 1,036 4.7 27 221 10 8.0
3 James White 220 999 4.5 38 287 9 7.9
4 Lache Seastrunk 201 1,007 4.9 15 95 8 7.5
5 Ka'Deem Carey 283 1,105 3.9 33 236 10 7.3
6 Antonio Andrews 246 990 4.0 42 341 8 7.3
7 Dri Archer 168 776 4.6 36 302 10 7.3
8 Tre Mason 247 1,035 4.2 21 206 10 7.2
9 De'Anthony Thomas 181 811 4.5 36 297 10 7.2
10 Trey Millard 142 569 4.0 27 200 8 7.1
11 Charles Sims 221 891 4.0 48 389 9 7.1
12 Bishop Sankey 262 1,034 3.9 33 262 9 7.1
13 Marion Grice 222 849 3.8 53 406 12 6.9
14 Jerick McKinnon 225 868 3.9 17 129 9 6.5
15 Terrance West 270 1,008 3.7 28 202 12 6.5
16 Andre Williams 272 1,098 4.0 15 81 8 6.5
17 David Fluellen 228 922 4.0 39 266 7 6.5
18 Isaiah Crowell 210 904 4.3 20 135 9 6.1
19 Devonta Freeman 197 798 4.1 28 240 9 5.8
20 Storm Johnson 214 818 3.8 33 240 9 5.6
21 Kapri Bibbs 242 916 3.8 19 123 12 5.6
22 Tyler Gaffney 248 920 3.7 23 156 10 5.6
23 Rajion Neal 222 847 3.8 33 222 8 5.6
24 Zac Bauman 256 877 3.4 45 298 6 5.6
25 Lorenzo Taliaferro 225 846 3.8 27 164 10 5.5
26 James Wilder 164 743 4.5 17 127 8 5.5
27 Timothy Flanders 228 843 3.7 20 146 8 5.2
28 Damien Williams 202 732 3.6 25 200 7 4.8
29 LaDarius Perkins 206 689 3.3 35 288 6 4.5
30 Adam Muema 237 787 3.3 26 159 8 4.5
31 Ben Malena 180 647 3.6 28 211 8 4.4
32 Silas Redd 205 726 3.5 27 172 5 4.3
33 Michael Dyer 174 675 3.9 17 100 5 4.2
34 Brendan Bigelow 175 595 3.4 36 239 4 3.8
35 Beau Blankenship 215 666 24 136 5 3.4