NFL Free Futures Picks (Original Publication)

Last Updated: 9/11/2017 11:00 AM ET

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We offer our NFL Futures value picks. These picks use consensus Super Bowl, Conference and Division win odds compared to our projected probabilities for each team to find valuable plays. Futures and Over/Under Season Win Total picks represent the best way to take advantage of technology that can accurately account for expected team performance well into the future.

The Play Value assumes a "normal" $50 play. This allows us (and you) to better account for the significant "juice" or "vig" that can be applied by books to consensus lines. If you are getting different odds and/or have a different normal play value, please click on "Calc" to review the play in the Play Value Calculator. Odds are displayed in their +/- format. For instance, +600 is the same as 6/1 odds.

Win Super Bowl Futures Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Team Projected % % Needed Odds $ Calc
New England Patriots 35.5 20.6 385 $94
Pittsburgh Steelers 8.9 7.4 1250 $8
Tennessee Titans 2.7 2.2 4500 $3
Arizona Cardinals 2.8 2.3 4200 $2
Seattle Seahawks 8.0 8.3 1100 $0
Green Bay Packers 6.2 8.9 1025 $0
Dallas Cowboys 6.1 8.3 1100 $0
Atlanta Falcons 6.0 6.7 1400 $0
Oakland Raiders 3.1 5.9 1600 $0
Carolina Panthers 2.7 3.0 3200 $0
Kansas City Chiefs 2.3 4.2 2300 $0
New York Giants 2.2 3.9 2450 $0
Denver Broncos 1.7 2.9 3400 $0
Minnesota Vikings 1.5 2.3 4200 $0
Houston Texans 1.5 3.2 3000 $0
Baltimore Ravens 1.5 2.4 4000 $0
Cincinnati Bengals 1.0 1.6 6000 $0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.0 2.4 4000 $0
New Orleans Saints 0.9 1.8 5500 $0
Philadelphia Eagles 0.9 2.0 5000 $0
Indianapolis Colts 0.9 2.3 4200 $0
Los Angeles Chargers 0.9 1.4 7000 $0
Washington Redskins 0.8 1.4 7000 $0
Miami Dolphins 0.4 1.8 5500 $0
Detroit Lions 0.2 1.6 6000 $0
Jacksonville Jaguars 0.2 1.0 10000 $0


Conference Futures Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Team Conference Projected % % Needed Odds $ Calc
New England Patriots AFC 51.0 32.8 205 $135
Seattle Seahawks NFC 19.2 16.1 520 $18
Arizona Cardinals NFC 7.6 5.6 1675 $10
Tennessee Titans AFC 5.4 5.0 1900 $2
Atlanta Falcons NFC 14.3 14.0 615 $2
Pittsburgh Steelers AFC 15.3 15.2 560 $1
Carolina Panthers NFC 7.2 7.1 1300 $0
Green Bay Packers NFC 14.6 16.8 495 $0
Dallas Cowboys NFC 14.6 15.4 550 $0
Oakland Raiders AFC 6.3 11.4 775 $0
New York Giants NFC 5.8 8.5 1080 $0
Kansas City Chiefs AFC 4.5 7.7 1200 $0
Minnesota Vikings NFC 4.4 5.3 1775 $0
Denver Broncos AFC 3.4 6.3 1475 $0
Baltimore Ravens AFC 3.1 5.0 1900 $0
Houston Texans AFC 3.0 7.0 1325 $0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC 2.9 5.9 1600 $0
Philadelphia Eagles NFC 2.7 4.8 2000 $0
Washington Redskins NFC 2.7 3.5 2750 $0
New Orleans Saints NFC 2.7 4.2 2275 $0
Cincinnati Bengals AFC 2.2 3.8 2500 $0
Indianapolis Colts AFC 2.1 5.3 1775 $0
Los Angeles Chargers AFC 1.8 3.2 3000 $0
Detroit Lions NFC 0.8 4.0 2425 $0
Miami Dolphins AFC 0.8 4.2 2300 $0
Jacksonville Jaguars AFC 0.6 2.4 4100 $0
Buffalo Bills AFC 0.3 1.8 5500 $0
Chicago Bears NFC 0.2 1.4 7300 $0
Los Angeles Rams NFC 0.1 1.1 8600 $0
Cleveland Browns AFC 0.0 1.0 10000 $0
San Francisco 49ers NFC 0.0 0.8 13000 $0
New York Jets AFC 0.0 0.8 13000 $0


Division Futures Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Team Division Projected % % Needed Odds $ Calc
New England Patriots AFC East 94.6 90.0 -900 $230
Tennessee Titans AFC South 40.4 31.7 215 $63
Pittsburgh Steelers AFC North 62.5 58.3 -140 $50
Minnesota Vikings NFC North 28.5 21.5 365 $45
Atlanta Falcons NFC South 41.4 37.0 170 $35
Arizona Cardinals NFC West 28.4 23.8 320 $30
Dallas Cowboys NFC East 44.1 42.9 133 $10
Washington Redskins NFC East 15.8 14.8 575 $6
Carolina Panthers NFC South 29.3 28.6 250 $5
Chicago Bears NFC North 3.4 2.4 4000 $5
Los Angeles Chargers AFC West 16.4 16.4 510 $0
Seattle Seahawks NFC West 68.8 74.7 -295 $0
Green Bay Packers NFC North 59.6 69.7 -230 $0
Oakland Raiders AFC West 35.9 37.0 170 $0
Kansas City Chiefs AFC West 27.0 29.9 235 $0
New York Giants NFC East 24.3 28.2 255 $0
Houston Texans AFC South 23.9 31.3 220 $0
Indianapolis Colts AFC South 23.1 30.8 225 $0
Baltimore Ravens AFC North 20.7 24.1 315 $0
Denver Broncos AFC West 20.7 23.5 325 $0
Philadelphia Eagles NFC East 15.8 21.1 375 $0
Cincinnati Bengals AFC North 15.8 21.5 365 $0
New Orleans Saints NFC South 14.8 18.2 450 $0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC South 14.5 22.5 345 $0
Jacksonville Jaguars AFC South 12.6 12.7 685 $0
Detroit Lions NFC North 8.5 12.7 690 $0
Miami Dolphins AFC East 3.7 9.1 1000 $0
Los Angeles Rams NFC West 2.3 3.8 2500 $0
Buffalo Bills AFC East 1.6 4.8 2000 $0
Cleveland Browns AFC North 1.0 1.8 5600 $0
San Francisco 49ers NFC West 0.6 2.4 4000 $0
New York Jets AFC East 0.2 1.0 10000 $0

Against-the-spread picks in the NFL regular season have topped 56% ATS picking every game four times in seven years and have been profitable in all but one season on the site. Also, NFL Playoff picks are 50-25 (67% ATS) all-time on the site. For the NFL Preview, there are seven Over/Under Season Win Total picks that are highly recommended as "normal" or better and 23 such picks that are playable

In College Football, totals and the Lock of the Week have been consistently strong. Highlighted, "normal" or better (greater than 57% confidence to cover) over/under plays in college are 58% all-time and have been profitable in five of the previous seven years. Meanwhile, Locks of the Week, the strongest against-the-spread pick each week in college football are 69-40 (63% ATS) all-time.
For the College Football Preview, there are 51 Over/Under Season Win Total picks that are highly recommended as "normal" or better and 96 such picks that are playable. Last season, playable O/U Win Total picks in college went 28-19 (60% O/U) to turn a profit of +$899 for a normal $50 player using play value recommendations.

NFL Preview Pages:
Over/Under Win Total Picks
Futures Picks
Projected Scores (All 256 Regular Season Games)
In-Depth Team Analysis
NFL Team Rankings