Bracket Odds (Sweet 16)

Last Updated: 3/27/2017 12:42 PM ET

The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats, to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a remaining Sweet 16 team is to make it to any level of the NCAA tournament. The rest of the tournament is played individually, with the team that wins the game in that instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

Bracket Odds (based on 2017 NCAA Tournament played 50,000 times):

Region Seed Team Elite 8 Final 4 Title Game Champ.
East 8 Wisconsin 38.7% 21.3% 7.1% 2.5%
East 4 Florida 61.3% 39.9% 17.7% 8.0%
East 3 Baylor 67.4% 29.3% 10.1% 3.7%
East 7 South Carolina 32.6% 9.5% 2.1% 0.5%
West 1 Gonzaga 45.1% 27.4% 17.5% 9.1%
West 4 W. Va. 54.9% 36.1% 24.7% 13.8%
West 11 Xavier 17.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
West 2 Arizona 82.9% 34.4% 20.4% 9.4%
Midwest 1 Kansas 54.5% 31.4% 15.3% 8.1%
Midwest 4 Purdue 45.5% 24.7% 10.7% 5.3%
Midwest 3 Oregon 36.6% 12.2% 3.7% 1.3%
Midwest 7 Michigan 63.4% 31.7% 14.8% 7.5%
South 1 UNC 78.6% 43.6% 25.8% 15.2%
South 4 Butler 21.4% 5.6% 1.7% 0.5%
South 3 UCLA 39.9% 17.9% 8.6% 4.0%
South 2 Kentucky 60.1% 32.9% 19.3% 11.1%