NBA Live (05/23/13)

By John Ewing

A look at highlights from the most recent game from each of the NBA Conference Final series utilizing Live ScoreCaster.

 

Live ScoreCaster allows you to view current scores and play-by-play as well as live, updating projections from 50,000 simulations of the remaining time in each NBA game. Live ScoreCaster is totally free and available at PredictionMachine.com and for download on iTunes

It's been an exciting and dramatic last two days in the NBA Playoffs. Here are some highlights from the Live projections throughout each game. Click each matchup to view Live ScoreCaster chart output that tells the story of that game.

Heat vs. Pacers

  • Heat defeat Pacers 103-102 in OT on LeBron’s last second layup.
  • LeBron’s the 1st player in NBA postseason history with a triple-double and a game winner at the buzzer.
  • With 0:02 left in OT and trailing by 1 point, the Heat were 50.3% likely to win.
  • The projected winner changed 28 times throughout regulation and OT; the Heat were never greater than 83.5% likely to win.

GameChanger

With 4:26 left in overtime and the game tied at 92-92, David West misses two free throws. The Heat became 53.1% likely to win the game after the misses. West was 4 of 8 from the charity stripe. Had West converted the free throws (76.8% regular season) the Pacers become 56.8% likely to win the game, projected final score 100-99.

With Miami leading the series 1-0 the Heat are 89.5% likely to win series.

Spurs vs. Grizzlies

  • Spurs escape Game 2 in OT winning 93-89.
  • Memphis was never favored to win at any point in the game. Prior to their 15-2 run to force OT, Memphis was just 1.5% likely to win.
  • Only 16 teams in NBA history have comeback from 0-2 deficits. Memphis accomplished the feat earlier in this year's playoffs defeating the Clippers after going down 2-0. The Spurs also blew a 2-0 lead to the Thunder in last year’s Western Conference Finals.

GameChanger

With 1:32 left in overtime and Memphis down 89-87, Tim Duncan blocks Marc Gasol. The block was Duncan’s fourth of the game (500th postseason, 1st all-time) and on the ensuing play Duncan scored to give San Antonio a 91-87 lead, Spurs became 81.4% likely to win the game. Had Gasol’s shot not been blocked and had Memphis scored on that possession, the Grizzlies would have had a 47.1% chance of winning.

San Antonio takes a 2-0 lead in the series and are 88.4% likely to advance to NBA Finals.