Wallace Impact Score (05/06/15)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
Does fast equal good? Mike Wallace's impact score.



“Without a doubt, I'm the fastest player in the NFL,” Mike Wallace told the Pioneer Press.

The Vikings receiver ran a 4.33 in the 40 at the 2009 NFL combine. The 28-year old Wallace told the paper that his personal best in the 40-yard dash was 4.21 seconds, which would be faster than the best time ever recorded at the combine by running back Chris Johnson (4.24).

Unless the NFL brings back its “NFL's Fastest Man” competition, last held at the 2007 Pro Bowl, Wallace's claim as the fastest player in the league will be hard to prove.

What we do know for sure is the impact score for Mike Wallace.

The impact score is a grade on a 0-10 scale based on a player's expected overall positive contribution at their current ages and relative to position. In the score, a seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position an eight or above can be expected to start and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who stars.

Does fast equal good? Wallace has an impact score of 7.9 out of 10 (outside the top 50 among receivers). He can be expected to start but it is unlikely he returns to form on his 2011 Pro Bowl season.

In two seasons in Miami, Wallace failed to have a season with 1,000-yards receiving. His last 1,000-yard season came in 2011 when he was with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The receiver has seen his average yards per catch decline from a peak in 2010 of 21.0 yards per catch to 12.9 yards per catch in 2014, 50th in the NFL.

Minnesota traded for Wallace before the draft hoping to give their young quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater, another weapon. Instead of getting a game-changing wideout, the Viking added another average pass catcher – regardless of how fast he proclaims himself to be.