Impact of Dez Bryant (07/16/15)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
Dez Bryant just signed a new contract, what impact does the star receiver have on the Dallas Cowboys?



The Dallas Cowboys and Dez Bryant agreed to a new deal Wednesday. The two-time Pro Bowl receiver signed a five-year contract worth $70 million. Bryant had tweeted that if a new deal were not done he would skip training camp and possibly miss regular-season games.

In Bryant's five seasons with Dallas, the receiver has caught 381 passes for 5,424 yards and 56 touchdowns. No player in team history has more catches, yards or touchdowns than Bryant in the first five years of his career.

Clearly, Bryant has had an impact on the franchise and if Dallas had failed to sign their star receiver the 2015 season could have looked a lot different.

With Bryant playing a full season, Dallas is projected to have an average record of 8.9 wins and 7.1 losses. The Cowboys finish second in the NFC East but earn the first Wild Card spot.

Without Bryant, in the worst-case scenario the pass catcher skips the entire season, Dallas' would have a losing record (7.9 wins, 8.1 losses) and would miss the playoffs.

Even if Bryant were to only miss the first two games of the season, each game skipped would have cost the receiver $754,000, his absence would have been felt.

In Week 1, at home against the New York Giants, with Bryant, Dallas is projected to win 60 percent of the time. In Week 2, again with Bryant starting, Dallas has a 46 percent chance to win on the road in Philadelphia. If Bryant were to hold out, Dallas' win percent against the Giants in Week 1 drops to 55 percent and the Cowboys become longshots (38 percent) to beat the Eagles in Week 2.

Luckily, for America's Team, Bryant will be suited up on Sundays this fall and the possible doomsday scenarios were avoided.

Bryant is projected to lead the Cowboys back to the postseason with 100.6 receptions for 1,516.4 receiving yards and 13.6 touchdowns.

Impact of Dez Bryant

Games Missed Dallas' Record Make Playoffs?
2 Games 8.8-7.2 Yes
4 Games 8.6-7.4 Yes
Full Season 7.9-8.1 No