CFP GameChangers (01/12/16)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
College Football Playoff - GameChangers



To highlight the Live ScoreCaster, we will take our in-game technology, Live ScoreCaster, to the next level to review the game-changing plays from the College Football National Championship and what the game would have looked like if the plays had turned out differently.

Click the header for each game to view the Game Breakdown for each matchup.

Alabama vs. Clemson



The Crimson Tide won the College Football Playoff by holding off Clemson 45-40 on Monday night. The championship is Alabama's fourth title in seven seasons. The Tide became just the second team in the college football poll era to accomplish the feat. Nick Saban has now won five national championships, four with Alabama. Saban won his latest title by being aggressive.

With 10:34 to play, Alabama had just tied the game 24-24 with an Adam Griffith field goal. Saban decided to get tricky and called for an onside kick.




After a successful recovery, Bama scored two plays later on a 51-yard pass from Jake Coker to O.J. Howard. Combined, the two plays increased the Tide's expected win probability by 29 percent and made Saban and crew 95 percent likely to win.

Had the onside kick failed and Clemson recovers, the Tigers become 51 percent likely to win with possession and a short field. Instead of talking about Saban's bold call, we would be celebrating Dabo Swinney and Deshaun Watson.

For additional GameChanging notes from this game click here.