NFL Week 7: In-Depth Analysis

By Rob Pizzola
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Picks for every NFL game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management, and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased for the week or season in the Shop or by individual game here.


10/16/2017 Highlight: Our college football streak of five consecutive "Lock of the Week" winners came to a disappointing end as UTSA gave up a 98-yard touchdown drive with just over a minute remaining to blow the cover at the wire. Regardless, our model isn't going to going to win every top play ever, and it was still a fantastic week overall. All playable sides went 18-10 (64.3%) ATS this week, while "normal" or better plays once again turned a profit at 4-3 (57.1%) ATS & O/U for the week. "Normal" or better plays are now a stellar 28-17 (62.2%) ATS & O/U on the season, generating $557 in profits for an average $50 bettor.

Week 6 in the NFL was one of the better weeks of the season for our simulation engine as well, with all playable sides and totals combining for a solid 11-6 (64.7%) ATS & O/U record. Our "Lock of the Week" cashed in with ease as the Vikings won outright as a dog over the Packers. Our engine now stands at 30-25 (54.5%) ATS on the season, while all "normal" or better plays are 8-6 (57.1%) ATS & O/U.

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