3 Up 3 Down (College Week 13)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
College Football Review – Week 13



A review of the week that was with a look at three college football teams that stood out for good reasons and three whose weekends did not turn out as successfully as anticipated.

Three Up

Ohio State Buckeyes
2015 Record: Straight-Up 11-1, Against-the-Spread 5-7

Ohio State ran over Michigan with a season high 369 rushing yards. The Buckeyes stomped the rival Wolverines 42-13. Ezekiel Elliott contributed 214 yards on the ground in the rout.

You might assume that with a win over Michigan and an 11-1 record, the defending champs would be shoe-ins for the College Football Playoff. However, The Buckeyes will not be playing in the Big Ten Championship next week. Last year the selection committee set a precedent, conference championships are key for inclusion in the playoff. It doesn't matter what you did last year and Ohio State might be watching the playoff from home.

Oklahoma Sooners
2015 Record: Straight-Up 11-1, Against-the-Spread 9-3

The Sooners are playoff bound, at least right now after a 58-23 rout of Oklahoma State.

Oklahoma scored 44 first half points, the most they have ever scored in a Bedlam half since 1970 (per ESPN Stats & Info). Three straight wins over ranked opponents to end the regular season has given the Sooners an outright Big 12 championship. It'll be hard to leave Bob Stoops' squad out of the College Football Playoff.

LSU Tigers
2015 Record: Straight-Up 8-3, Against-the-Spread 5-5-1

In a game that had no playoff implications, LSU beat Texas A&M 19-7. The game wasn't very interesting but the outcome was significant. In the week leading up to the contest it was reported that Les Miles was in serious jeopardy of losing his job even if it would cost the school $15 million to remove the winningest coach in program history.

Cooler heads prevailed, LSU's athletic director Joe Alleva said shortly after the game that Miles would remain the football coach. The team celebrated like they did when they won the 2007 national championship. Miles was carried off the field like a champion.

Three Down



Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2015 Record: Straight-Up 10-2, Against-the-Spread 8-4

The game looked to be over after Notre Dame went 15 plays and 88 yards for a touchdown that gave them a 36-35 lead with 30 seconds to play. Then Kevin Hogan (269 passing yards, four touchdowns) happened. The senior Cardinal quarterback quickly led Stanford down the field and Conrad Ukropina drilled a 45-yard field goal as time expired.

The loss has to be painful for the Irish but their win probability was only 63 percent before Stanford's last drive. Notre Dame was far from a lock to win, not that it is any consolation for those in South Bend. The loss drops Notre Dame to 10-2 on the season and ends any hope of a playoff run.

Baylor Bears
2015 Record: Straight-Up 9-2, Against-the-Spread 5-5-1

TCU defeated Baylor 28-21 in double overtime Friday night. TCU freshmen Julius Lewis and Ty Summers shutdown Baylor's fourth down attempt to win the game.

TCU and Mother Nature (the game was played in a monsoon) held Baylor to 21 points and 335 yards of total offense. The Bears were first in the FBS in scoring averaging (53.8 points) and total yards (644.1 yards) before the game.

For the Horned Frogs, the win could mean a New Year's Six bowl. For Baylor, the loss knocked the Bears out of contention for a third straight Big 12 title. It also means no College Football Playoff for the fans in Waco.

Navy Midshipmen
2015 Record: Straight-Up 9-2, Against-the-Spread 8-3

Greg Ward Jr. threw for 308 yards and three touchdowns, Keenan Reynolds rush for 84 yards and a score (his 83rd career touchdown) and Demarcus Ayers made one of the prettiest catches you've ever seen in a 52-31 rout of Navy.

Navy had no answer for Houston defensively. The Cougars were 16 of 19 on third down and two for two on fourth down. The loss eliminates the Midshipmen from the AAC title game, which means no New Year's Six bowl.