Week 1 Lines (04/23/15)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
Point spreads for every Week 1 game of the 2015 NFL season. Odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

The NFL released the 2015 schedule on Tuesday and shortly after the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook posted Week 1 lines. Here's everything you need to know in April about games that will be played in September.

The defending champion Patriots opened as the biggest favorites. New England will host Pittsburgh in the season opener as a six point favorite. In the Tom Brady era, the Pats as home favorites of less than a touchdown are 38-19-4 (67%) against-the-spread.

There are seven home underdogs in Week 1, the most since 2010. All-time, home dogs of three or more points in Week 1 are 74-55-3 (57%) against-the-spread.

The highest over/under is 53.5 when the Eagles visit the Falcons in Game 1 of the Monday Night doubleheader. There are five games with totals of 50 or more points.

A lot will change (draft/trades/injuries) before kickoff in Week 1. However, don't expect the lines to change much. Last year, from when the lines were posted to kickoff of the first game, only two lines moved more than three points.

Additional Notes:
  • The Seahawks, 11/2 favorites to win the Super Bowl, are 3.5 point favorites over St. Louis.
  • Green Bay has won nine of its last ten games against Chicago, the Packers are four point road favorites against the Bears.
  • Oakland is favored to lose. The Raiders have been dogs in 21 straight games.
  • Detroit is the only playoff team from last year to not be favored against a non-playoff team. Pittsburgh and Baltimore are also underdogs but they play New England and Denver.

Week 1 NFL Lines

Date Home Away Total
Thursday, Sept. 10 New England (-6) Pittsburgh 53
Sunday, Sept. 13 Chicago Green Bay (-4) 50
Houston (-1.5) Kansas City 43
New York Jets (-1) Cleveland 41
Buffalo Indianapolis (-3) 48
Washington Miami (-2.5) 44.5
Jacksonville Carolina (-4) 43.5
St. Louis Seattle (-3.5) 44
Arizona (-2.5) New Orleans 48
San Diego (-2.5) Detroit 46.5
Tampa Bay (-3) Tennessee 42.5
Oakland Cincinnati (-3) 44.5
Denver (-4) Baltimore 53
Dallas (-5.5) New York Giants 50
Monday, Sept 14 Atlanta Philadelphia (-1.5) 53.5
San Francisco (-3.5) Minnesota 42