MAAC Tourney (03/06/15)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
Championship Week – which teams will win automatic bids to the NCAA Tournament? We simulated each conference tournament to find out.

Conference tournaments are the unofficial start of March Madness. Over the next two weeks, single-elimination tournaments will be played with automatic bids to the NCAA Tournament at stake.

We have simulated each conference tournament using our Bracket Simulator to predict which teams will punch their ticket to the Big Dance. The Bracket Simulator is a free tool that gives you the power to simulate the postseason for any sport. Create your own bracket now!

When: March 5-9

Where: Albany, N.Y.

The automatic bid goes to: Iona (27.3%)

The Gaels are the favorite and the tournament's top seed. Iona has two players, A.J. English and David Laury, competing for the MAAC Player of the Year. If Iona wins, it will be the Gaels third NCAA Tournament appearance in four years.

And if they lose: Rider (17.5%)

Many are writing the Broncs off after losing big man Matt Lopez last week to an ACL injury. Lopez was leading the team in scoring and rebounding.

Bid Thief:

Manhattan: the Jaspers are the defending MAAC Tournament Champions, Manhattan hasn't been to back-to-back Big Dances since the 2003-04 seasons.

Odds to win the MAAC Conference Tournament (based on 50,000 simulations of the conference tournament)

Seed Team Semifinals Title Game Champ.
1 Iona 71.6 44.2 27.3
8 Siena 28.5 9.6 3.3
4 Monmouth 47.9 21.0 10.7
5 Canisius 52.1 25.2 12.4
3 Manhattan 73.3 35.4 17.1
11 Marist 26.8 8.1 2.5
2 Rider 57.9 35.0 17.5
7 St. Peter's 42.2 21.5 9.2