Conference Odds (08/19/15)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
2015 College Football conference championship odds. Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.



The odds to win the conference championships in college football are available. Its no surprise that teams like Ohio State, Alabama and USC are favorites to win their respective conferences. The bookmakers have their favorites but what do the numbers say?

Using our 2015 College Football Preview, we look for teams that the oddsmakers are undervaluing to win the conference championships.

AAC

Memphis, UCF and Cincinnati tied for the league championship last season but the Bearcats are the favorites to capture the American Athletic title this year. Cincy returns 15 starters including quarterback Gunner Kiel, who threw for 31 touchdowns. The addition of Navy allows the conference to have a league championship game. It is still unlikely that the winner would earn a spot in the second College Football Playoff.

Team Odds
Cincinnati +200
Memphis +220
Houston +450
Central Florida +650
Navy +800
Temple +900
East Carolina +1000
South Florida +6600
Tulsa +10000
SMU +20000
Tulane +20000
Uconn +20000

ACC

Clemson has Heisman hopeful Deshaun Watson at quarterback and the Tigers are the favorites to win the conference championship but other teams including Florida State, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech and Louisville are all less than +1000 to win the title. One team that could surprise is Miami at +1200. We project the Hurricanes to win the Coastal division, in the championship game anything could happen.

Team Odds
Clemson +200
Florida State +250
Georgia Tech +500
Virginia Tech +900
Louisville +900
Miami Florida +1200
North Carolina +1200
Pittsburgh +1200
NC State +2000
Duke +5000
Boston College +20000
Virginia +20000
Syracuse +20000
Wake Forest +20000

Big 10

Everyone expects big things from the reigning champions. The Buckeyes are huge favorites to win the conference and Ohio State is of two teams in college football that aren't plus money to win their league. Urban Meyers teams is projected to wax Wisconsin in the Big Ten finale by two touchdowns. The Buckeyes make it back to the College Football Playoff but can they repeat?

Team Odds
Ohio State -300
Michigan State +700
Wisconsin +800
Nebraska +1000
Michigan +1600
Penn State +2500
Iowa +2500
Minnesota +2800
Northwestern +5000
Maryland +10000
Illinois +10000
Indiana +10000
Purdue +30000
Rutgers +30000

Big 12

TCU and Baylor open the season in the top-5 of our Power Rankings. Each is expected to compete the conference title but can the Big 12 overcome not having a conference title game? After last year's snub, we project the Big 12 to get a team in the playoff, though it might not be the best team from the conference.

Team Odds
TCU +160
Baylor +250
Oklahoma +500
Oklahoma State +700
Texas +1000
Kansas State +1200
West Virginia +2000
Texas Tech +2000
Iowa State +3300
Kansas +30000

Conference USA

The C-USA is top heavy. Marshall, Louisiana Tech and Western Kentucky are all less than 3-to-1 to win the conference. In the most likely title game we project the Thundering Herd to narrowly defeat LaTech 27-25. If you are looking for a dark horse title contender try Middle Tennessee State at +1000. Blue Raiders are projected to finish second in the East division and are the third highest rated team from the league in our Power Rankings.

Team Odds
Marshall +125
Louisiana Tech +260
Western Kentucky +275
Rice +800
Middle Tennessee State +1000
UTEP +3300
Florida Atlantic +4000
Florida International +5000
Southern Miss +5000
Old Dominion +10000
North Texas +10000
UTSA +30000
Charlotte +30000

Mid-American

For the last five years, Northern Illinois has dominated the MAC. In that span the Huskies are 57-13 and a crazy 41-4 against the league. That run ends this year. NIU, Toledo and Western Michigan are all +300 to win the conference but it's the Rockets that are going to emerge victorious.

Team Odds
Northern Illinois +300
Toledo +300
Western Michigan +300
Bowling Green +400
Akron +1000
Ball State +1200
Ohio +1200
Umass +2000
Kent State +3300
Buffalo +5000
Central Michigan +7500
Miami Ohio +30000
Eastern Michigan +30000

Mountain West

Earlier we mentioned Ohio State as one of two teams to not be plus-money to win their conference. The other, Boise State. The Broncos are big favorites to win the Mountain West and for good reason. In the most likely title game, Boise State defeats San Diego State (the oddsmakers second pick to win the conference) 32-19, it's not really that close.

Team Odds
Boise State -300
San Diego State +700
Utah State +900
Colorado State +1200
Air Force +1600
Fresno State +1600
San Jose State +2000
Hawaii +3300
Nevada +3300
Wyoming +3300
New Mexico +10000
UNLV +30000

Pac-12

The Trojans are the best team in the conference, the Ducks aren't far behind and USC vs. Oregon for the Pac-12 title would be a fun game to watch. Don't sleep on UCLA. The Golden Bears, after consecutive 10-win seasons, are a team that could win the Pac-12 title and crash the College Football Playoff.

Team Odds
USC +200
Oregon +240
Stanford +350
UCLA +350
Arizona State +900
Arizona +2000
Utah +3300
California +4000
Colorado +20000
Washington +20000
Washington State +20000
Oregon State +20000

SEC

Eight of the conferences 14 teams rank inside our top-25. Bama is the favorite to take the league but Auburn is projected to win the Iron Bowl (at home) and thus advance to the SEC title game. A win in the championship game over Georgia puts Auburn the playoff.

Team Odds
Alabama +210
Auburn +275
Georgia +500
Ole Miss +1000
Arkansas +1000
LSU +1000
Tennessee +1200
Texas A&M +1600
Missouri +2000
Florida +3300
South Carolina +3300
Mississippi State +4000
Kentucky +10000
Vanderbilt +50000