Big South Tourney (03/05/15)

By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
Championship Week – which teams will win automatic bids to the NCAA tournament? We simulated each conference tournament to find out.

Conference tournaments are the unofficial start of March Madness. Over the next two weeks, single-elimination tournaments will be played with automatic bids to the NCAA Tournament at stake.

We have simulated each conference tournament using our Bracket Simulator to predict which teams will punch their ticket to the Big Dance. The Bracket Simulator is a free tool that gives you the power to simulate the postseason for any sport. Create your own bracket now!

When: March 4-8

Where: Conway, SC

The automatic bid goes to: Charleston Southern (20.0%)

The Buccaneers finished the regular season with an exciting 97-93 overtime win against second seed High Point. The victory acted as a tiebreaker to determine the tournament's top overall seed. Charleston Southern is led by Big South Player of the Year Saah Nimley who scored a conference best 21.5 points per game.

And if they lose: High Point (18.6%)

The Panthers are the highest rated team in the Big South Conference in our Power Rankings. High Point is No. 138 and Charleston Southern is No. 181. The Panthers may regret that overtime loss as their path to the championship is more difficult having to face third seed Coastal Carolina. Speaking of the Chanticleers…

Bid Thief:

Coastal Carolina: the defending Big South Champion has a punchers' chance of repeating in a conference tournament that is wide open.

Odds to win the Big South Conference Tournament (based on 50,000 simulations of the conference tournament)

Seed Team Semifinals Title Game Champ.
1 Charleston So. 71.0 35.9 20.0
9 Longwood 29.0 7.8 2.4
4 Radford 48.8 26.8 13.0
5 Winthrop 51.2 29.5 15.8
3 Co. Carolina 60.3 30.2 15.3
6 UNC - Ash 39.7 15.8 6.7
7 Gardner-Webb 40.4 18.8 8.2
2 High Point 59.6 35.2 18.6