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College Preview: Records and Bowls

(last updated on 8/1/2011)
Last Updated: 8/19/2014 10:04 PM ET

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The Predictalator has played every 2011 college football regular season and bowl game 50,000 times before it's actually played (Read more about How This Works). Based on that analysis, we present projected conference standings and bowl results (below).

Season Summary
Bowl matchups below reflect our best projection based on the results from our predicted season. Rankings noted next to each team are the teams' Power Rankings. The score is the result of playing that specific matchup 50,000 times.

Alabama wins its second championship in the last three seasons - and the SEC's sixth straight BCS title - by topping Oklahoma in the BCS Championship 56.5% of the time and by a score of 27.6 - 23.1. Despite losing ultra-efficient quarterback Greg McElroy and receiving threat Julio Jones, Alabama is stacked. The Crimson Tide appears to have the best offensive line, running back and defense in the nation. I may be able to play quarterback for that team and still make a run at an SEC title.

In other BCS Bowls, the inaugural Big Ten Championship game winner, Wisconsin falls to new Pac-12 champion Oregon in a Rose Bowl shootout 41-31. Boise State, led by Kellen Moore, carries the flag of the BCS non-AQ schools into the Sugar Bowl where the Broncos take out SEC runner-up South Carolina 27-25. ACC winner Florida State shuts down Big East champion West Virginia 23-14 in the Orange Bowl. And Big 12 runner-up Texas A&M spoils Brian Kelly and Notre Dame's return to a BCS game with a 31-26 victory. Perennial BCS Bowl contender LSU and offensive power house Oklahoma State may not make BCS Bowls despite being top ten teams (two teams from the SEC and Big 12 are already in), but the Tigers and Cowboys turn the Cotton Bowl into the next best matchup, one that LSU wins 37-30. Stumbling from last year's ranks, defending champion Auburn faces Houston in the Liberty Bowl, while TCU makes the Las Vegas Bowl against Cal. And finally, in an interesting re-match from last season's Sugar Bowl, Ohio State and Arkansas lose their starting quarterbacks, yet improve over the season to ultimately meet up in the Outback Bowl. Results for every bowl game are shown below the conference standings.

Projected Standings (based on 2011 FBS season played 50,000 times)

ACC
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 Florida State Seminoles 9.7 2.3
2 Virginia Tech Hokies 9.3 2.7
3 Miami (FL) Hurricanes 8.6 3.4
4 North Carolina State Wolfpack 7.3 4.7
5 Boston College Eagles 6.5 5.5
6 Maryland Terrapins 6.2 5.8
7 Clemson Tigers 6.1 4.9
8 North Carolina Tar Heels 5.9 6.1
9 Virginia Cavaliers 5.8 6.2
10 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 5.7 6.3
11 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 5.7 6.3
12 Duke Blue Devils 4.3 7.7


Big 12
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 Oklahoma Sooners 10.5 1.5
2 Texas A&M Aggies 9.8 2.2
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys 8.7 3.3
4 Texas Longhorns 7.2 4.8
5 Missouri Tigers 6.8 5.2
6 Baylor Bears 6.6 5.4
7 Texas Tech Red Raiders 5.3 6.7
8 Kansas State Wildcats 4.1 7.9
9 Iowa State Cyclones 3.6 8.4
10 Kansas Jayhawks 3.4 8.6


Big East
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 West Virginia Mountaineers 8.7 3.3
2 Pittsburgh Panthers 8.3 3.7
3 Cincinnati Bearcats 7.6 4.4
4 South Florida Bulls 7.2 4.8
5 Connecticut Huskies 6.6 5.4
6 Syracuse Orange 5.9 6.1
7 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 5.9 6.1
8 Louisville Cardinals 5.2 6.8


Big Ten
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 Wisconsin Badgers 9.7 2.3
2 Nebraska Cornhuskers 8.7 3.3
3 Ohio State Buckeyes 8.1 3.9
4 Northwestern Wildcats 8.1 3.9
5 Michigan Wolverines 7.8 4.2
6 Michigan State Spartans 7.7 4.3
7 Penn State Nittany Lions 7.6 4.4
8 Iowa Hawkeyes 6.7 5.3
9 Purdue Boilermakers 6.4 5.6
10 Illinois Fighting Illini 5.6 6.4
11 Minnesota Golden Gophers 4.3 7.7
12 Indiana Hoosiers 4.1 7.9


C-USA
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 Southern Miss Golden Eagles 8.5 3.5
2 Houston Cougars 8.5 3.5
3 Southern Methodist Mustangs 8.3 3.7
4 UCF Knights 7.7 4.3
5 Tulsa Golden Hurricane 6.5 5.5
6 Tulane Green Wave 6.2 6.8
7 UAB Blazers 4.9 7.1
8 East Carolina Pirates 4.8 7.2
9 Rice Owls 4.0 8.0
10 Marshall Thundering Herd 3.9 8.1
11 UTEP Miners 3.3 8.7
12 Memphis Tigers 2.9 9.1


Independents
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
N/A Notre Dame Fighting Irish 8.7 3.3
N/A Brigham Young Cougars 8.4 3.6
N/A Navy Midshipmen 5.7 6.3
N/A Army Black Knights 4.4 7.6


MAC
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 Northern Illinois Huskies 7.4 4.6
2 Temple Owls 6.9 5.1
3 Toledo Rockets 6.8 5.2
4 Miami (OH) RedHawks 6.8 5.2
5 Kent State Golden Flashes 6.5 5.5
6 Central Michigan Chippewas 6.3 5.7
7 Buffalo Bulls 6.0 6.0
8 Ohio Bobcats 5.1 6.9
9 Western Michigan Broncos 5.0 7.0
10 Bowling Green Falcons 4.3 7.7
11 Eastern Michigan Eagles 4.0 8.0
12 Ball State Cardinals 3.6 8.4
13 Akron Zips 3.4 8.6


Mountain West
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 Boise State Broncos 10.5 1.5
2 TCU Horned Frogs 8.6 3.4
3 Air Force Falcons 8.6 3.4
4 San Diego State Aztecs 8.5 3.5
5 Colorado State Rams 5.7 6.3
6 Wyoming Cowboys 5.3 6.7
7 New Mexico Lobos 3.1 8.9
8 UNLV Rebels 2.7 9.3


Pac 10
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 Oregon Ducks 10.2 1.8
2 Stanford Cardinal 9.7 2.3
3 Arizona State Sun Devils 8.3 3.7
4 USC Trojans 6.9 5.1
5 Utah Utes 6.5 5.5
6 California Golden Bears 6.1 5.9
7 Arizona Wildcats 5.9 6.1
8 Oregon State Beavers 5.7 6.3
9 Washington Huskies 5.3 6.7
10 Washington State Cougars 4.7 7.3
11 UCLA Bruins 4.3 7.7
12 Colorado Buffaloes 4.2 8.8


SEC
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 11.5 0.5
2 South Carolina Gamecocks 9.9 2.1
3 LSU Tigers 9.3 2.7
4 Arkansas Razorbacks 8.2 3.8
5 Mississippi State Bulldogs 7.9 4.1
6 Georgia Bulldogs 7.8 4.2
7 Kentucky Wildcats 6.8 5.2
8 Auburn Tigers 6.5 5.5
9 Tennessee Volunteers 6.1 5.9
10 Florida Gators 6.1 5.9
11 Vanderbilt Commodores 4.7 7.3
12 Mississippi Rebels 3.8 8.2


Sun-Belt
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 FIU Golden Panthers 6.9 5.1
2 Arkansas State Red Wolves 6.4 5.6
3 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 6.1 5.9
4 Troy Trojans 6.1 5.9
5 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 5.4 6.6
6 Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 4.9 7.1
7 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 3.5 8.5
8 North Texas Mean Green 3.5 8.5
9 Florida Atlantic Owls 2.9 9.1


WAC
Standing Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
1 Hawaii Warriors 8.3 4.7
2 Nevada Wolf Pack 6.8 5.2
3 Utah State Aggies 6.1 5.9
4 Fresno State Bulldogs 5.3 7.7
5 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 5.0 7.0
6 Idaho Vandals 4.7 7.3
7 San Jose State Spartans 4.1 7.9
8 New Mexico State Aggies 4.0 9.0


Bowl Results

Conference Championship Results

Date Conference Matchup Result
Dec. 2 MAC #77 Northern Illinois 29 - #82 Temple 26
Dec. 3 SEC #1 Alabama 24 - #7 South Carolina 14
Dec. 3 Big Ten #12 Wisconsin 23 - #16 Nebraska 21
Dec. 3 ACC #8 Florida State 23 - #19 Virginia Tech 20
Dec. 3 Pac-12 #3 Oregon 35 - #17 Arizona State 21
Dec. 3 C-USA #46 Houston 40 - #52 Southern Miss 37
Date Bowl Matchup Result
Dec. 17 New Orleans #50 Tulsa 40 - #84 FIU 26
Dec. 17 Famous Idaho Potato #59 Nevada 27 - #70 Toledo 23
Dec. 17 Gildan New Mexico #83 Utah State 29 - #87 Colorado State 27
Dec. 20 St. Petersburg #52 Southern Miss 23 - #64 Connecticut 18
Dec. 21 Poinsettia #35 San Diego State 36 - #91 Central Michigan 17
Dec. 22 Maaco Las Vegas #21 TCU 23 - #44 Cal 16
Dec. 24 Sheraton Hawaii #63 Hawaii 37 - #98 Tulane 23
Dec. 26 Independence #34 Air Force 28 - #53 Maryland 20
Dec. 27 Belk #42 Cincinnati 21 - #51 NC State 19
Dec. 27 Little Caesars #49 Iowa 31 - #77 Northern Illinois 24
Dec. 28 Bridgepoint Holiday #17 Arizona State 41 - #38 Baylor 33
Dec. 28 Military #62 Virginia 28 - #75 Navy 27
Dec. 29 Valero Alamo #9 Stanford 34 - #26 Texas 21
Dec. 29 Champs Sports #15 Miami (FL) 27 - #32 Pitt 21
Dec. 30 Insight #30 Northwestern 30 - #33 Missouri 29
Dec. 30 Music City #47 Tennessee 17 - #39 Boston College 16
Dec. 30 New Era Pinstripe #54 South Florida 19 - #57 Purdue 17
Dec. 30 Armed Forces #31 SMU 31 - #24 BYU 30
Dec. 31 Chick-fil-A #19 Virginia Tech 30 - #29 Georgia 20
Dec. 31 Kraft Fight Hunger #37 Florida 23 - #41 Arizona 21
Dec. 31 AutoZone Liberty #27 Auburn 41 - #46 Houston 37
Dec. 31 Hyundai Sun #40 Utah 22 - #36 Clemson 21
Dec. 31 Meineke Car Care #28 Michigan State 33 - #43 Oregon State 27
Jan. 2 Gator #25 Michigan 31 - #45 Kentucky 26
Jan. 2 Capital One #14 Mississippi State 25 - #16 Nebraska 23
Jan. 2 Outback #13 Arkansas 28 - #18 Ohio State 24
Jan. 2 TicketCity #23 Penn State 27 - #55 UCF 17
Jan. 6 ATT&T Cotton #5 LSU 37 - #10 Oklahoma State 30
Jan. 7 BBVA Compass #67 Syracuse 21 - #73 Miami (OH) 20
Jan. 8 GoDaddy.com #82 Temple 29 - #100 Arkansas State 24
Date BCS Bowl Matchup Result
Jan. 2 Rose #3 Oregon 41 - #12 Wisconsin 31
Jan. 3 Orange #8 Florida State 23 - #20 West Virginia 14
Jan. 3 Sugar #4 Boise State 27 - #7 South Carolina 25
Jan. 5 Fiesta #6 Texas A&M 31 - #11 Notre Dame 26
Jan. 9 BCS Championship #1 Alabama 28 - #2 Oklahoma 23

College Football Preview Pages:
Over/Under Win Total Picks
Projected Standings and Bowl Results
In-Depth Team Analysis
College Football Power Rankings
NEW for Football 2011
Play the Games
Buy Picks

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12/15/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of December 8th - 14th one could find that all Week 15 playable against-the-spread NFL picks went 8-4 (67% ATS), highlighted by the Lock of the Week, the Denver Broncos (-4 @ San Diego), covering by more than a touchdown.

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With bowls starting at the end of this week, it's important to note that highlighted, "normal" or better bowls picks for the 2013-14 season went 14-9 (61% ATS and O/U). Playable college football bowl totals are also 48-35 (58% O/U) since the site launched.

NFL and College Basketball halftime plays continue to provided great value. All normal or better against-the-spread plays in these sports combined to go 37-28 (57% ATS). And, lastly, "normal" or better NHL plays went 20-13 (61% ML, O/U and PL), the eighth week in the last nine that has been profitable for hockey.

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