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    NFL Picks - 9/25/2016

    Last Updated: 9/21/2016
    If you are getting a different line than our projection, simply access the Play Analyzer, which allows you to see picks at current consensus lines or input your own against-the-spread and over/under lines. Sign up for weekly Play Analyzer email alerts on Sunday mornings here. Also, to know who we project to be OUT of each game, check out our injuries information. And, Halftime Pick analysis is available (when games get to halftime) here. The Play Value ($) assumes a "normal" $50 play.

    AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
    Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc
    469 1:00 PM CLE Lock of the Week @ MIA 10 -7.0 58.8 $67
    461 1:00 PM DEN Upset Watch @ CIN 3.5 0.3 58.6 $65
    487 8:30 PM CHI @ DAL 7 -4.0 58.6 $65
    485 4:25 PM SD Upset Watch @ IND 3 1.4 58.4 $63
    463 1:00 PM OAK Upset Watch @ TEN 1.5 1.6 56.5 $43
    475 1:00 PM MIN @ CAR 7 -5.1 55.3 $31
    479 4:05 PM LA @ TB 5 -3.1 55.2 $30
    465 1:00 PM ARI @ BUF -4 5.8 54.5 $22
    472 1:00 PM @NYG WAS -4 5.4 53.5 $12
    481 4:25 PM PIT @ PHI -3.5 4.7 53.1 $8
    478 4:05 PM @SEA SF -9.5 10.5 53.0 $7
    484 4:25 PM @KC NYJ -3 4.1 52.7 $3
    467 1:00 PM BAL @ JAC 0 1.1 52.6 $2
    473 1:00 PM DET @ GB 7.5 -7.2 50.9 $0


    STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
    478 4:05 PM @ SEA SF 27.5 17.1 76.3
    470 1:00 PM @ MIA CLE 25.1 18.1 68.0
    474 1:00 PM @ GB DET 29.6 22.4 67.0
    465 1:00 PM ARI @ BUF 26.6 20.8 63.3
    476 1:00 PM @ CAR MIN 23.8 18.7 63.0
    472 1:00 PM @ NYG WAS 28.2 22.9 62.8
    488 8:30 PM @ DAL CHI 22.4 18.3 61.5
    481 4:25 PM PIT @ PHI 26.2 21.5 61.1
    484 4:25 PM @ KC NYJ 23.7 19.6 60.3
    480 4:05 PM @ TB LA 22.2 19.1 58.7
    463 1:00 PM OAK @ TEN 25.4 23.8 53.0
    467 1:00 PM BAL @ JAC 21.3 20.2 52.6
    485 4:25 PM SD @ IND 28.4 27.0 52.0
    461 1:00 PM DEN @ CIN 19.2 18.9 50.4


    OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $ Calc
    468 1:00 PM BAL @ JAC 47 41.6 Under 58.9 $68
    472 1:00 PM WAS @ NYG 46 51.1 Over 58.0 $59
    478 4:05 PM SF @ SEA 40 44.6 Over 57.9 $58
    488 8:30 PM CHI @ DAL 44.5 40.7 Under 56.7 $45
    474 1:00 PM DET @ GB 48 52.0 Over 55.9 $37
    462 1:00 PM DEN @ CIN 41 38.0 Under 55.5 $33
    486 4:25 PM SD @ IND 52 55.5 Over 54.7 $24
    464 1:00 PM OAK @ TEN 47 49.3 Over 53.6 $13
    482 4:25 PM PIT @ PHI 46 47.7 Over 52.9 $5
    470 1:00 PM CLE @ MIA 42 43.2 Over 52.1 $0
    480 4:05 PM LA @ TB 42 41.3 Under 51.4 $0
    484 4:25 PM NYJ @ KC 42.5 43.3 Over 51.3 $0
    476 1:00 PM MIN @ CAR 43 42.4 Under 51.0 $0
    466 1:00 PM ARI @ BUF 47 47.4 Over 50.6 $0

    ADDITIONAL GAME INFORMATION
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Boxscore Breakdown Broadcast Analyze Live
    462 1:00 PM DEN @ CIN Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
    464 1:00 PM OAK @ TEN Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
    466 1:00 PM ARI @ BUF Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
    468 1:00 PM BAL @ JAC Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
    470 1:00 PM CLE @ MIA Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
    472 1:00 PM WAS @ NYG Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
    474 1:00 PM DET @ GB Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
    476 1:00 PM MIN @ CAR Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
    478 4:05 PM SF @ SEA Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
    480 4:05 PM LA @ TB Boxscore Breakdown FOX Analyze Live
    482 4:25 PM PIT @ PHI Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
    484 4:25 PM NYJ @ KC Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
    486 4:25 PM SD @ IND Boxscore Breakdown CBS Analyze Live
    488 8:30 PM CHI @ DAL Boxscore Breakdown NBC Analyze Live

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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