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    Bessire: Rookie Classes + UDFA

    by Paul Bessire, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 2/25/2016 7:35 PM ET
    Earlier this week, I utilized the NFL Draft Machine to rank draft classes by Overall Value, 2015 Wins Added and net gain in Power Rankings. That did not tell the whole story of the ways in which teams are improving and building with rookies this time of year.

    For instance, at that time, I noted that Houston, Indianapolis and Baltimore did not add any player through the draft who graded high enough to consider a projected starter for 2015. However, then Indianapolis signed undreafted free agent CB Donald Celiscar and Houston signed UDFAs Safety Kurtis Drummond and DE (also played TE in college) Lyden Trail to change those opinions. Now, only Baltimore failed to sign or draft a rookie worth starting (but that has more to do with our very strong positive grades for current players Marlon Brown, Brandon Williams and Crockett Gilmore than the drafted class).

    Below, we have updated our Rookie Class Rankings (read more about this analysis here) to include all drafted players, UDFAs and rookie camp invites (as Brian Carriveau noted, we think James Castleman has a chance to stick to Green Bay's roster). Some teams like Dallas with the signing of La'el Collins and Antwan Goodley and the New York Jets with Taiwan Jones, Wes Saxton and others improve significantly by this expanded analysis. There is also a change at the top. While neither team has a likely future starter among its UDFA signings, Cleveland did just enough with its non-drafted rookie pool to jump over New Orleans as the best draft

    Ranking Team New Rank Prev Rank Wins Added
    1 Cleveland Browns 27 28 1.37
    2 New Orleans Saints 21 22 0.69
    3 Oakland Raiders 28 30 1.66
    4 Jacksonville Jaguars 31 31 0.68
    5 St. Louis Rams 16 17 0.65
    6 Indianapolis Colts 4 4 0.18
    7 Cincinnati Bengals 14 20 0.95
    8 Washington Redskins 22 21 0.62
    9 New York Jets 17 26 1.19
    10 Minnesota Vikings 20 24 0.85
    11 Kansas City Chiefs 26 19 0.18
    12 Pittsburgh Steelers 7 7 0.18
    13 Tennessee Titans 30 29 0.78
    14 Atlanta Falcons 13 15 0.56
    15 Dallas Cowboys 9 10 0.27
    16 Miami Dolphins 5 5 0.24
    17 San Diego Chargers 24 25 0.59
    18 Houston Texans 25 23 0.36
    19 Denver Broncos 2 3 0.59
    20 Green Bay Packers 3 2 0.10
    21 Buffalo Bills 19 14 0.09
    22 Carolina Panthers 8 11 0.29
    23 Baltimore Ravens 11 9 N/A
    24 San Francisco 49ers 18 16 0.28
    25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 32 32 0.57
    26 Chicago Bears 29 27 0.20
    27 New England Patriots 6 6 0.10
    28 Philadelphia Eagles 12 12 0.25
    29 Detroit Lions 15 13 0.24
    30 Seattle Seahawks 1 1 0.05
    31 Arizona Cardinals 23 18 0.12
    32 New York Giants 10 8 0.14

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