2012 Rankings and Projections

Projected 2012 statistics for every ranked prospect are below. Projections and rankings are also included on position-by-position stats and projections pages in the Archive. The players that are included are those we consider "draftable" based on appropriate eligibility, 2011 and career performance and NFL Draft Combine participation. Statistics for offensive linemen are limited and not reported here, but those players do appear in the Top 100, Positional Top 5 reports and Mock Draft.

Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com General Manager Paul Bessire's 2012 projected statistics and expected net impacts on teams, which assume every player is a 16 game starter for an average NFL team.

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

How Do We Do This?
To come up with statistical inputs for rookies, we run a very complex set of algorithms that factor college stats, previous utilization and strength of competition, combine measurables, role and expected utilization of the player's NFL team (in this case an average NFL team) and previous performance of similar rookies at that position in general. This allows us to predict both the player's projected ratio stats such as yards-per-carry, percentage of tackles made while on the field and passing completion percentage, as well as his forecasted usage for the upcoming NFL season. Then we can compare all rookies based on who we think will make the biggest positive impact in his first year. It's a system that we have applied to the previous three drafts and with great success. These projections have highlighted the likely success of Andy Dalton (#1 overall last year), A.J. Green, Von Miller, Aldon Smith, J.J. Watt, DeMarco Murray, Percy Harvin, Jerod Mayo, Louis Delmas, Sean Smith, Ryan Clady, Eric Berry, Sean Weatherspoon and even Super Bowl hero Tracy Porter, while suggesting that Blaine Gabbert, Christian Ponder, Delone Carter, Jonathan Baldwin, Glenn Dorsey, Vernon Gholston, Everette Brown and even Matt Ryan were/are overrated.

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

2012 NFL Quarterback Pass Projections

Rank Player Att Comp Comp% Yards YPA TDs INTS
1 Robert Griffin III 510.8 305.3 59.8% 3,951.5 7.7 25.2 18.1
2 Andrew Luck 510.8 306.5 60.0% 3,785.1 7.4 26.9 20.7
3 Brandon Weeden 552.5 327.1 59.2% 3,818.4 6.9 24.2 22.4
4 Kirk Cousins 502.3 282.9 56.3% 3,462.2 6.9 21.0 21.1
5 Russell Wilson 481.7 261.4 54.3% 3,048.2 6.3 21.9 16.6
6 Kellen Moore 504.6 279.7 55.4% 3,124.1 6.2 23.2 17.7
7 Nick Foles 565.7 325.5 57.5% 3,633.8 6.4 20.9 22.9
8 Case Keenum 537.0 290.3 54.1% 3,334.2 6.2 21.7 18.0
9 Ryan Tannehill 499.5 276.4 55.3% 3,192.3 6.4 19.9 21.6
10 Brock Osweiler 520.3 284.2 54.6% 3,362.3 6.5 19.2 20.8
11 Chandler Harnish 476.2 242.7 51.0% 2,819.0 5.9 18.2 17.0
12 GJ Kinne 501.3 262.0 52.3% 3,020.8 6.0 20.3 20.2
13 Darron Thomas 473.9 243.2 51.3% 2,816.3 5.9 22.0 17.4
14 Austin Davis 507.8 259.9 51.2% 2,893.5 5.7 18.6 18.3
15 Ryan Lindley 511.2 244.9 47.9% 2,756.6 5.4 16.8 18.7
16 B.J. Coleman 491.6 246.9 50.2% 2,629.0 5.3 15.6 20.6
17 Patrick Witt 504.0 253.3 50.3% 2,685.1 5.3 15.9 22.4
18 Aaron Corp 484.4 248.2 51.2% 2,571.1 5.3 14.8 20.1

2012 NFL Quarterback Rush Projections

Rank Player Rushes Yards YPC
1 Robert Griffin III 86.0 370.4 4.3
2 Andrew Luck 37.6 176.0 4.7
3 Brandon Weeden 24.6 -38.0 -1.5
4 Kirk Cousins 31.4 14.1 0.4
5 Russell Wilson 55.8 222.6 4.0
6 Kellen Moore 25.3 -10.2 -0.4
7 Nick Foles 32.7 -19.8 -0.6
8 Case Keenum 36.2 87.3 2.4
9 Ryan Tannehill 35.8 174.1 4.9
10 Brock Osweiler 45.4 90.4 2.0
11 Chandler Harnish 87.9 527.6 6.0
12 GJ Kinne 67.8 229.7 3.4
13 Darron Thomas 42.7 206.9 4.8
14 Austin Davis 56.6 191.2 3.4
15 Ryan Lindley 24.7 -17.1 -0.7
16 B.J. Coleman 32.8 34.6 1.1
17 Patrick Witt 35.9 -0.6 -0.2
18 Aaron Corp 37.2 29.8 0.8

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

2012 NFL Running Back Projections

Rank Player Rushes Rush Yds YPC Fumbles Rec. Rec. Yds TDs
1 Trent Richardson 279.3 1,342.3 4.8 2.9 34.4 301.2 14.7
2 Chris Polk 275.2 997.6 3.6 1.5 34.9 269.0 10.3
3 Cyrus Gray 209.5 812.2 3.9 2.0 39.4 240.2 9.8
4 Vick Ballard 203.2 944.4 4.6 3.2 25.0 170.3 9.3
5 Robert Turbin 214.7 760.7 3.5 1.9 23.6 198.9 9.9
6 Lamar Miller 226.2 956.3 4.2 2.0 14.1 59.2 8.6
7 LaMichael James 213.0 911.7 4.3 3.2 23.5 192.7 9.1
8 Doug Martin 215.0 705.9 3.3 2.8 30.1 208.1 11.3
9 Terrance Ganaway 195.3 823.4 4.2 2.7 11.8 51.3 9.4
10 David Wilson 222.0 999.9 4.5 4.7 24.2 121.2 8.2
11 Isaiah Pead 202.8 716.1 3.5 3.9 38.9 250.6 8.6
12 Bernard Pierce 253.2 781.8 3.1 2.5 10.7 57.3 11.3
13 Ronnie Hillman 235.4 726.3 3.1 3.9 25.3 194.4 9.1
14 Chris Rainey 124.9 536.9 4.3 4.0 34.8 311.2 5.0

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

2012 NFL Wide Receiver Projections

Rank Player Recs. Rec. Yds YPR TDs
1 Justin Blackmon 77.6 1,006.3 13.0 9.2
2 Michael Floyd 71.4 899.2 12.6 7.0
3 Kendall Wright 70.2 937.6 13.3 6.1
4 BJ Cunningham 56.1 783.1 14.0 5.8
5 Marvin McNutt 50.4 700.5 13.9 5.6
6 Stephen Hill 43.0 764.6 17.8 5.0
7 Chris Givens 51.4 689.0 13.4 4.5
8 Alshon Jeffery 47.3 664.9 14.0 5.1
9 Jeff Fuller 52.0 633.0 12.2 5.0
10 Ryan Broyles 59.2 686.3 11.6 4.1
11 James Rodgers 50.2 590.2 11.8 3.5
12 T.Y. Hilton 47.4 611.8 12.9 3.5
13 Jordan White 59.5 679.4 11.4 3.4
14 Eric Page 60.4 605.0 10.0 2.8
15 Keshawn Martin 45.1 564.1 12.5 3.2
16 Joe Adams 45.0 577.1 12.8 3.6
17 Pat Edwards 47.3 634.9 13.4 4.4
18 Nick Toon 44.9 568.3 12.7 4.2
19 Jarius Wright 42.8 599.1 14.0 4.6
20 AJ Jenkins 48.9 540.8 11.1 3.8
21 Dwight Jones 48.0 596.3 12.4 3.9
22 TJ Graham 34.9 473.8 13.6 3.7
23 Rueben Randle 38.1 547.0 14.4 4.2
24 Chris Owusu 39.9 494.1 12.4 3.1
25 LaVon Brazill 44.4 554.7 12.5 3.4
26 Marquiz Maze 40.5 493.8 12.2 2.2
27 Rishard Matthews 47.8 580.9 12.2 2.5
28 Mahamed Sanu 52.8 542.1 10.3 2.1
29 Juron Criner 44.0 507.7 11.5 3.9
30 Josh Cooper 45.6 491.4 10.8 2.2
31 Gerell Robinson 40.9 553.0 13.5 2.7
32 Marvin Jones 41.7 522.6 12.5 2.5
33 Jermain Kearse 36.6 474.6 13.0 3.9
34 Derek Moye 35.5 480.8 13.6 2.9
35 Junior Hemingway 30.3 468.6 15.4 3.1
36 Devier Posey 34.4 425.1 12.4 3.5
37 Brian Quick 38.2 484.2 12.7 3.3
38 Jarrett Boykin 38.1 465.6 12.2 2.6
39 Danny Coale 36.2 466.8 12.9 1.7
40 Greg Childs 32.4 402.9 12.4 2.3
41 Darius Hanks 29.3 357.3 12.2 2.0
42 Tommy Streeter 27.0 349.3 12.9 2.8
43 Jerrell Jackson 26.9 320.1 11.9 1.7
44 Kashif Moore 27.9 327.7 11.7 2.0
45 Devon Wylie 27.0 297.6 11.0 1.3

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

2012 NFL Tight End Projections

Rank Player Recs. Rec. Yds YPR TDs
1 Orson Charles 45.4 563.1 12.4 5.2
2 Coby Fleener 34.9 503.0 14.4 6.6
3 Dwayne Allen 42.1 467.6 11.1 5.5
4 Ladarius Green 42.0 477.3 11.4 5.4
5 Nick Provo 43.6 450.6 10.3 4.9
6 Michael Egnew 46.1 467.3 10.1 3.8
7 Brad Smelley 32.0 345.2 10.8 3.5
8 George Bryan 31.6 322.5 10.2 3.7
9 David Paulson 27.4 340.6 12.4 4.0
10 Brian Linthicum 28.5 321.1 11.3 2.0
11 Kevin Koger 23.3 261.3 11.2 3.3
12 James Hanna 23.6 288.7 12.2 2.7
13 Evan Rodriguez 25.9 286.6 11.0 2.3
14 Anthony Miller 22.7 248.5 11.0 2.5
15 Deangelo Peterson 15.4 176.2 11.5 1.4
16 Adam Nissley 16.0 169.5 10.6 1.2
17 Adrien Robinson 10.9 134.4 12.4 1.8
18 Chase Ford 9.6 99.6 10.4 1.1
19 Beau Reliford 8.9 91.1 10.2 0.6

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

2012 NFL Defensive Tackle Projections

Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL FF Blocked Kicks
1 Kendall Reyes 27.7 3.9 9.4 0.5 0.0
2 Devon Still 30.5 3.6 9.7 0.7 0.0
3 Michael Brockers 35.5 1.8 6.4 0.8 0.6
4 Jerel Worthy 24.4 3.6 7.8 0.3 1.0
5 Derek Wolfe 31.5 4.9 8.9 1.2 0.0
6 Fletcher Cox 31.4 3.4 8.2 0.8 1.0
7 Chas Alecxih 27.0 4.0 7.8 1.2 0.1
8 Jaye Howard 35.8 3.4 5.0 0.1 0.0
9 Mike Daniels 28.9 4.6 6.2 0.3 0.0
10 Josh Chapman 25.5 1.2 3.9 0.0 0.0
11 Billy Winn 22.5 3.0 6.2 0.8 0.0
12 Brett Roy 27.1 4.4 7.0 0.4 0.0
13 Mike Martin 32.5 2.6 4.5 0.2 0.0
14 Akiem Hicks 35.4 3.6 4.9 1.3 0.0
15 Ronnie Cameron 32.0 3.0 6.7 1.2 0.0
16 Travain Robertson 26.5 1.7 4.4 0.2 0.4
17 Markus Kuhn 18.7 2.6 4.6 0.4 0.4
18 Kheeston Randall 19.7 1.0 3.8 0.0 0.2
19 DaJohn Harris 16.6 1.6 4.6 0.2 0.0
20 Tydreke Powell 28.3 1.0 2.8 0.5 0.0
21 DeAngelo Tyson 15.8 1.1 2.5 0.1 0.1
22 Brandon Thompson 19.2 1.3 3.4 0.4 0.1
23 Nicolas Jean-Baptise 17.2 1.8 3.3 0.1 0.4
24 Alameda Ta'amu 15.7 1.8 3.3 0.1 0.0
25 Hebron Fangupo 14.9 0.2 3.3 0.0 0.0
26 Dontari Poe 17.6 1.0 4.2 0.6 0.0
27 Vaughn Meatoga 16.9 1.6 2.0 0.4 0.0
28 Marcus Forston 10.8 2.2 2.7 1.4 0.0

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

2012 NFL Defensive End Projections

Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL
1 Vinny Curry 49.5 7.0 9.4
2 Nick Perry 40.7 7.7 9.7
3 Quinton Coples 39.7 6.8 6.4
4 Jared Crick 41.1 7.6 7.8
5 Andre Branch 47.2 6.0 8.9
6 Malik Jackson 53.9 4.1 8.2
7 Frank Alexander 37.8 6.0 7.8
8 Chandler Jones 56.3 5.3 5.0
9 Jake Bequette 27.6 8.1 6.2
10 Cordarro Law 38.2 5.9 3.9
11 Jacquies Smith 43.6 4.9 6.2
12 Julian Miller 38.9 6.0 7.0
13 Grant Hunter 19.3 4.1 4.5
14 Tyrone Crawford 28.5 6.1 4.9
15 Ryan Van Bergen 33.6 4.3 6.7
16 Scott Solomon 39.7 5.4 4.4
17 Logan Harrell 38.4 4.0 4.6
18 Trevor Guyton 28.7 4.1 3.8
19 Derrick Shelby 36.9 3.6 4.6
20 Justin Francis 34.7 3.7 2.8
21 Jack Crawford 25.8 4.7 2.5
22 Cam Johnson 24.9 4.1 3.4
23 Billy Winn 26.2 4.1 3.3
24 Olivier Vernon 30.5 4.4 3.3
25 Donte Paige-Moss 23.5 3.9 3.3
26 Ernest Owusu 19.4 2.8 4.2
27 Taylor Thompson 23.5 3.6 2.0

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

2012 NFL Outside Linebacker Projections

Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL
1 Courtney Upshaw 47.9 7.4 12.1
2 Melvin Ingram 41.9 8.1 10.4
3 Bruce Irvin 39.4 8.7 13.8
4 Danny Trevathan 95.5 2.6 6.5
5 Lavonte David 85.4 4.8 6.6
6 Terrell Manning 65.5 4.6 9.4
7 Ronnell Lewis 56.6 4.9 9.7
8 Emmanuel Acho 74.1 3.1 8.0
9 Jonathan Massaquoi 40.8 7.8 8.0
10 Whitney Mercilus 30.8 7.5 12.4
11 Sean Spence 77.9 3.6 8.2
12 Zach Brown 85.1 2.7 7.2
13 Miles Burris 49.8 5.7 9.7
15 Ryan Davis 33.1 4.7 9.7
16 Shea McClellin 36.9 6.2 7.7
17 Travis Lewis 84.1 2.5 2.6
18 Brandon Lindsey 37.0 6.7 7.0
19 Nigel Bradham 66.8 2.5 5.2
20 Kyle Wilber 47.8 4.3 6.4
21 Keenan Robinson 67.5 1.8 4.7
23 Adrian Robinson 31.9 5.0 7.1
24 Darius Fleming 38.6 4.2 4.3
25 Josh Kaddu 35.3 4.0 5.4
26 Tyler Nielsen 63.0 0.8 2.3
27 Demario Davis 45.9 2.1 5.3
28 Tank Carder 50.1 1.7 3.0

See: QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections, Safety Projections,

2012 NFL Inside Linebackers Projections

Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL INT
1 Luke Kuechly 152.1 1.4 4.8 2.3
2 Jerry Franklin 106.1 1.8 4.0 0.9
3 Bobby Wagner 107.3 1.9 3.4 1.2
4 Mychal Kendricks 87.4 3.0 5.4 1.5
5 Shawn Loiseau 106.3 2.9 3.4 0.4
6 Dont'a Hightower 89.1 2.7 4.7 1.0
7 Audie Cole 84.1 3.4 4.9 0.5
8 Vontaze Burfict 73.6 3.0 2.7 0.9
9 D.J. Holt 71.8 1.4 4.0 0.5
10 Caleb McSurdy 78.5 1.5 2.4 1.0
11 Najee Goode 60.5 2.6 5.0 0.9
12 James-Michael Johnson 69.7 1.5 1.8 0.8
13 Ryan Baker 60.4 1.8 1.4 0.5
14 Chris Galippo 47.8 1.2 1.6 1.3

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

2012 NFL Cornerback Projections

Rank Player Tackles INTs TFL Sacks PBU
1 Casey Hayward 64.9 6.6 3.6 0.1 13.7
2 Jamell Fleming 67.6 4.1 2.4 0.1 10.5
3 Morris Claiborne 50.0 3.8 0.7 0.1 5.3
4 Stephon Gilmore 57.4 3.7 2.6 1.7 8.8
5 Josh Robinson 55.2 5.4 0.3 0.0 13.6
6 Dre Kirkpatrick 35.0 2.4 2.2 0.0 7.4
7 Brandon Boykin 51.4 3.3 4.4 0.1 8.5
8 Jayron Hosley 50.2 4.6 0.7 0.2 11.3
9 Leonard Johnson 72.5 2.8 1.4 0.0 8.1
10 Keith Tandy 59.7 4.5 1.2 0.1 9.5
11 Terrence Frederick 57.6 3.5 3.8 1.7 9.4
12 Cameron Chism 59.4 3.3 3.3 0.5 7.1
13 Trevin Wade 55.7 4.0 0.6 0.1 9.2
14 Mike Harris 57.1 3.1 2.6 0.5 8.7
15 Antonio Fenelus 49.0 3.3 1.1 0.1 6.6
16 Chase Minnifield 45.6 3.7 2.8 0.7 8.3
17 Charles Brown 55.5 3.1 2.8 0.1 7.7
18 Coryell Judie 47.2 2.7 1.2 0.9 8.1
19 Trumaine Johnson 56.6 4.1 0.1 0.1 9.4
20 Dwight Bentley 62.4 2.8 2.2 0.2 6.5
21 Shaun Prater 55.1 1.8 0.6 0.5 4.6
22 Omar Bolden 42.4 2.3 0.8 0.0 7.6
23 Josh Norman 56.5 3.6 1.1 0.0 8.8
24 Conroy Black 37.0 3.2 0.2 0.3 6.4
25 Alfonzo Dennard 37.6 2.2 0.3 0.1 6.8
26 Ron Brooks 28.7 1.8 2.8 1.9 4.0
27 Cliff Harris 23.0 4.8 0.5 0.1 11.2
28 Donnie Fletcher 41.0 2.7 0.4 0.1 5.9
29 Janoris Jenkins 49.6 2.1 2.0 0.2 4.5
30 Coty Sensabaugh 35.4 2.7 0.4 0.1 7.7
31 Asa Jackson 58.7 2.8 0.4 0.1 6.9
32 Ryan Steed 42.2 4.0 0.1 0.1 8.7
33 Antwuan Reed 28.5 1.6 0.7 0.0 4.9

See: How We Do This, QB Projections, RB Projections, WR Projections, TE Projections, DT Projections, DE Projections, OLB Projections, ILB Projections, CB Projections and Safety Projections

2012 Safety Projections

Rank Player Tackles INTs TFL Sacks PBU
1 Harrison Smith 97.1 3.0 2.6 0.5 9.4
2 Winston Guy 97.7 1.9 6.2 0.9 3.8
3 Markelle Martin 72.0 3.1 2.2 0.1 10.3
4 Mark Barron 71.1 2.6 2.7 1.1 5.3
5 Robert Blanton 68.4 2.8 3.9 0.7 6.8
6 Antonio Allen 94.9 2.5 4.7 0.9 4.1
7 Tavon Wilson 77.5 2.2 3.0 0.5 6.4
8 Aaron Henry 62.5 3.2 1.5 1.0 6.6
9 Trent Robinson 76.9 2.9 0.9 0.1 5.5
10 Eddie Pleasant 59.2 3.2 1.8 1.3 7.5
11 Charles Mitchell 85.5 1.0 3.0 0.5 2.9
12 DeQuan Menzie 45.6 3.0 2.7 1.6 9.2
13 Brandon Taylor 65.7 1.9 3.2 0.3 4.3
14 Sean Richardson 72.1 1.3 3.6 1.2 3.4
15 Sean Cattouse 70.0 1.9 1.6 0.6 4.7
16 Delano Howell 71.5 2.0 0.6 0.2 5.5
17 Johnny Thomas 55.8 2.5 0.1 0.1 5.3
18 Phillip Thomas 72.8 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.3
19 D'Anton Lynn 50.0 2.4 0.9 0.1 6.9
20 Duke Ihenacho 70.7 2.2 2.2 0.1 6.1
21 George Iloka 59.0 1.0 1.9 0.1 3.0
22 Justin Bethel 74.9 2.4 1.8 0.5 4.1
23 Tony Dye 58.8 0.4 0.9 0.1 1.7
24 Kelcie McCray 55.7 2.7 0.9 0.1 5.1
25 Janzen Jackson 43.8 2.6 1.1 0.3 5.2
26 Corey White 51.7 2.5 1.4 0.0 4.2
27 Brandon Hardin 45.9 0.8 0.7 0.4 3.3
28 Christian Thompson 54.1 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.2

Key

  • Wins: Team Wins while Quarterback was Starter
  • Att: Pass Attempts
  • Comp: Pass Completions
  • Comp%: Pass Completions/Pass Attempts
  • YPA: Pass Yards Per Attempt
  • YPC: Yards Per Carry
  • Recs: Receptions
  • YPR: Yards Per Reception
  • Touches: Receptions, Rushes, Kick Returns and Punt Returns Combined
  • All-Purpose Yds: Yards from Touches
  • TFL: Tackles For Loss
  • FF: Forced Fumbles
  • PBU: Passes Broken Up

 

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