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    Soccer Launches (08/06/15)

    By Paul Bessire CEO and GM @predictmachine
    The Predictalator is going international. Launching immediately, just in time for the beginning of most European leagues, we will now be simulating every scheduled game from six top soccer leagues across the world totally free with Live ScoreCaster technology.

    After every recorded play (penalty, throw-in, free kick, corner, goal, shot, substitution) during each match, we will simulate the rest of the game 50,000 times to determine the likelihood of a win, loss or draw for both teams as well as the projected final score. As part of a massive overhaul of our Live ScoreCaster pages, we have added far more context to the game for review during and after the match (more below).

    Here are the leagues we are covering for their upcoming seasons (technically starting tomorrow since there are no games today):
    • English Premier League
    • Spanish Primera Division
    • Italian Serie A
    • German Bundesliga
    • French La Ligue 1
    • USA Major League Soccer
    • World Cup (likely other International matches)

    Later this week, we will feature our full season (or rest of season in the case of the MLS) projections and Power Rankings for each of these leagues (which we will update periodically throughout the year). A picks product for full game projections is in the works/being tested for availability in the not-too-distant future.

    All games will be available in real-time from the Live ScoreCaster page or in the Live ScoreCaster App on iTunes or Google Play. With the additions of worldwide soccer and horse racing, this technology will cover over 50,000 sporting events (games, matches, races, etc.) every year from analytical, predictive and wagering perspectives with the ability to cover more than 100,000 by adding more soccer leagues and nations for horse racing (USA and Canada currently covered). And that is not even to mention the vast array of Daily Fantasy Leagues, Player Props, Futures, Season Win Totals and more that we cover.

    Other Live ScoreCaster Enhancements
    In addition to adding soccer to our sport offerings, Live ScoreCaster has been upgraded to include far more interesting information.

    First of all, it is already the only real-time win probability model that solely cares about the projected outcome of the game between the two teams involved. Rather than force this game to a similar, historical games model to project chances of either team winning given the situation (i.e. the traditional win probabilty model), our model is far more accurate and sophisticated in instantly simulating the rest of the game 50,000 times after every play in football, basketball, baseball and now, soccer.

    Along with our live, updating play-by-play, scores and projections, we have modified our Progress Bar and Game Breakdown sections as well as added Top Plays, Player Value, (for football and basketball) ATS and O/U charts and (for football) Drive Impact Charts.

    The ATS (against-the-spread) and O/U (over/under) charts project the likelihood throughout the game that the consensus spread or total are covered by either option. Previously, we have projected scores, margins and winning percentage for either team, but now you can follow just how likely a spread or total are to hit as the game unfolds (for in-game betting against changing lines, check out our halftime picks product or review the ML Calc).

    The Progress Bar under the live game chart flags major occurrences, including projected lead changes and significant swings.

    The Game Breakdown, which is designed to tell the game story as it happens, features the most notable plays of the game as they relate to straight-up, against-the-spread and over/under outcomes as well as the projected time one team was favored to win or cover.

    Check out the Top Plays to see the 5-10 most impactful plays ranked in order as they relate to the change from the previous play in straight-up, against-the-spread and over/under outcomes.

    The Player Value section includes an impact rating for every player recorded in the play-by-play. Value represents the net change in a team's chances of winning summed over the entire game from the plays in which the player made a contribution (as noted in the play-by-play feeds). For football, defenses are treated as one unit (so as not to punish the player who makes the tackle on a long gain).

    There is a wealth of (hopefully) fun, interesting and beneficial team, game and player information available for every game. Each week, on Mondays during the football season, we highlight some of the biggest and most notable plays and players in our GameChangers article. If you ever want to see anything more or different (including soccer leagues to add), please do not hesitate to Contact Us.

    NFL Preview Pages:

    Over/Under Win Total Picks
    Futures Picks
    Projected Scores (All 256 Regular Season Games)
    In-Depth Team Analysis
    NFL Team Rankings
    Fantasy Football Projections and Rankings
    Positional Cheat Sheets and Week-by-Week Fantasy Projections
    Fantasy Football Mock Draft Machine
    NEW Daily Fantasy Tools and Analysis
    Football Updates for 2015
    Soccer ("Football") Launches

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    In college football, "normal" or better totals are 58% all-time and have been profitable in five of the previous seven years. Meanwhile, our strongest ATS pick each week in college football is 69-40 (63% ATS) all-time. With college football season win totals being posted this week, we can also note that last season, playable win total picks in went 28-19 (60% O/U) to turn a profit of $899 for a normal $50 player using our play value recommendations.

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