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    Miller Injury (08/20/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    How does Braxton Miller's injury impact the Big Ten race and what does a season in Columbus look like with a backup quarterback? Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.



    Ohio State quarterback Braxton Miller will not play this season after suffering another injury to his surgically repaired right shoulder.

    The loss of the Heisman hopeful will not just be felt in Columbus but throughout the Big Ten and across the country.

    "Ohio State was a major contender at 10-1 to win the National Championship and considering Braxton Miller was a frontrunner for the Heisman at 15-2, this injury has impacted their odds drastically going from 10-1 to 18-1 amidst the rumors of the injury and now are confirmed at 40-1. Michigan State and Wisconsin will now surpass them as favorites for the Big Ten and only time will tell if we are over-adjusting on the Buckeyes, even though they still have a fairly easy schedule," Kevin Bradley, Sports Book Manager for Bovada.lv.

    To gauge the impact of Braxton Miller's injury we simulated a full season with and without the two-time Big Ten MVP.

    With Miller, the Buckeyes were our most likely Big Ten champion and earned the fourth seed in the College Football Playoff scoring on average 44.1 points per game.

    With redshirt freshman J.T. Barrett under center, Ohio State averages 35.1 points per game and wins 9.2 games. Without Miller, the Buckeyes finish second in the Big Ten East behind Michigan State. Ohio State falls to 19th in our Power Rankings.

    To see how important the best quarterbacks in the country are to their respective college football teams, click here.

    Updated Big Ten Championship Odds

    Team Pre-Injury Post-Injury
    Wisconsin 9/2 2/1
    Michigan State 15/4 9/4
    Ohio State 10/11 11/4
    Nebraska 11/2 15/2
    Michigan 9/1 10/1
    Iowa 14/1 10/1
    Northwestern 40/1 33/1
    Maryland 100/1 50/1
    Minnesota 66/1 75/1
    Indiana 100/1 100/1
    Illinois 200/1 150/1
    Rutgers 200/1 300/1
    Purdue 300/1 300/1
    Penn State Not listed Not listed



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