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    BCS Odds (08/28/13)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    With the college football season set to kickoff, what can the BCS Championship Odds tell us about the upcoming season? Lines courtesy of Bovada.lv.


     
    College football starts Thursday and the BCS Championship Odds have been set. What exactly are they telling us?
     
    Past performance is no indication of future success but it does influence wagering.
     
    “We have seen increased action on the BCS Championship odds mainly on a few of the favorites including Alabama at 5/2 and Ohio State, who have dropped recently from 15/2 to 6/1. Those two teams have taken more volume than any other.”
     
    Kevin Bradley, Sports Book Manager, Bovada.lv
     
    Alabama is looking to three-peat and Ohio State is postseason eligible after going 12-0 last season.
     
    Georgia may be a thorn in the oddsmaker’s side.
     
    “Georgia, at 14-1, is the book’s biggest liability going into the season. There is no question we will be paying close attention to their first two games against two Top 10 opponents in Clemson and South Carolina.”
     
    Kevin Bradley, Sports Book Manager, Bovada.lv
     
    Texas or Ohio State would also be losers for Bovada.lv.
     
    Alabama – According to the odds, Alabama is twice as likely to win the BCS title as any other program. The Crimson Tide has a 28.6% chance, per the odds.
     
    Number of teams with greater than 1% chance of winning the championship?
     
    According to the odds, 23 teams have at least 1.5% chance of winning it all in 2013.
     
    Conference with the best odds to win the title?
     
    The SEC of course, according to the odds the SEC has a 58.3% chance of making it eight in a row.
     
    BCS Championship Odds, lines courtesy of Bovada.lv

    Team Odds
    Alabama     5/2
    Ohio State       6/1
    Oregon                9/1
    Georgia          14/1
    Louisville     14/1
    Texas A&M     14/1
    Stanford    18/1
    LSU      18/1
    Clemson    20/1
    Texas     20/1
    South Carolina  22/1
    Florida State   22/1
    Florida  25/1
    Miami  33/1
    Michigan  33/1
    Nebraska      40/1
    Oklahoma  40/1
    Oklahoma State   40/1
    USC   40/1
    Notre Dame   50/1
    UCLA 50/1
    TCU   66/1
    Wisconsin  66/1
    Boise State  100/1
    Michigan State  100/1
    Oregon State    100/1
    North Carolina   125/1
    Mississippi    125/1
    Auburn  150/1
    Kansas State   150/1
    Rutgers   150/1
    Virginia Tech 150/1
    Washington   150/1
    Northwestern  150/1
    BYU   200/1
    California    200/1
    Arkansas  250/1
    Arizona   250/1
    Cincinnati    250/1
    Georgia Tech  250/1
    Mississippi State 250/1
    Missouri  250/1
    Pittsburgh    300/1
    Tennessee    300/1
    West Virginia    300/1
    Boston College   500/1
    Iowa     500/1
    South Florida    500/1

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