MLB DFS Weekend Preview
As we all prepare for a weekend with Game 4 of the NBA Finals and Game 6 in the Stanley Cup Finals, there's still a full slate of DFS Baseball to prepare for. In order to help make your decisions a little easier and to point out some advantageous matchups, I'll be identifying some pitchers to stack against and hitters who have been hot lately and have favorable matchups for the weekend.
Pitchers to Stack Against
Friday – Bud Norris (RHP, Atlanta Braves) vs. Chicago Cubs
Norris is making just his second start since the beginning of May after being moved to the bullpen. In his first five starts of the season, Norris allowed 22 earned runs and failed to make it past the fifth inning all but one time. Since moving to the bullpen, he's been able to decrease his ERA to 5.28, which is still less than stellar, and only allowed one run in his previous start. Unfortunately for Norris, he runs into a Cubs lineup which features Fowler, Zobrist, Bryant, and Rizzo. Rizzo comes in hitting .429 in his last six games, followed by Bryant at .320. Also, if the Cubs are able to knock out Norris early in the game, they'll face a Braves bullpen who is bottom five in the league in bullpen ERA. Look for the Cubs' offense to have a big night Friday after a day off on Thursday.
Saturday – Kyle Gibson (RHP, Minnesota Twins) vs. Boston Red Sox
This choice also has a lot to do with the offense Gibson is facing, but he appears to be vulnerable in his first start off the DL after a poor start to the season. After four starts, Gibson sits at a 6.10 ERA and has walked more men than he's struck out. Like Norris, Gibson made it out of the fifth inning only one time this season, and he'll likely have a relatively short leash in his return from the disabled list. This also plays in Boston's favor, as the Twins have the fourth worst bullpen ERA at 4.42, and have allowed the second most home runs of any bullpen at 33. Look for Boston's offense to have a field day against Gibson and the Twins, as nearly every hitter boasts an average right around .300, with Bogaerts and Ortiz sitting on top at .340.
Sunday – Adam Morgan (LHP, Philadelphia Phillies) vs. Washington Nationals
Morgan has struggled in his sophomore campaign for the Phillies. In eight starts he's gone 1-5 with an ERA of 6.70, and has lost his last five decisions. Morgan faces the Nationals, whom he last faced at home just nine days ago, allowing six runs on nine hits, and two home runs in six innings of work. Morgan has also struggled more at home, allowing an opponent's average of .304 and having an ERA over seven. Look for the Nationals to hit Morgan hard again, especially Ben Revere who is hitting .400 against lefties, Jayson Werth at .362, Anthony Rendon at .350, and Wilson Ramos who homered off Morgan last outing and is hitting .324 against lefties this year.
Hitters to Target
Jung Ho Kang – (3B, Pittsburgh Pirates)
Kang is hitting .400 in his last seven games with an OBP of .520. He's hit two homers and is slugging .800 in that span as well. Kang faces Michael Wacha on Friday who he is 3-5 against with a double and a walk.
Wil Myers – (1B, San Diego Padres)
Myers has been scorching hot this past week. In just six games he's slugging over 1.000 with four homers and six RBIs. Myers is also hitting for average, standing at .458 over that stretch. Myers faces Jon Gray who he is 3-8 against with a homer and a double.
Brian McCann – (C, New York Yankees)
This choice is mainly off of McCann's matchup with Mike Pelfrey. McCann has faced Pelfrey 43 times, accumulating 20 hits, including eight doubles, two home runs, and 11 RBIs. McCann has also walked seven times against Pelfrey, leading to an OPS of 1.340.
Nolan Arenado – (3B, Colorado Rockies)
Arenado comes into the weekend hitting .357 in his last seven games, including a homer and seven RBIs. He'll face a young righty in Erik Johnson, who he is 1-3 against in his career. The game also takes place in Coors field where Arenado is hitting .327 on the year with an OPS of 1.096, including 10 homers in just 25 games.
Brett Gardner – (OF, New York Yankees)
Gardner has been one of the toughest outs in baseball over the last week, accumulating 15 hits in his last seven games. In this span, Gardner is hitting .566 and has nine runs scored along with two stolen bases. He faces off against Verlander, but has had success against him in his career with six hits in 23 at bats, including a home run and three walks.
Gregory Polanco – (OF, Pittsburgh Pirates)
Another Pirate lands on the list mainly due to his success against his opponent, Carlos Martinez. Polanco is 8-14 against the right-hander, including two doubles and a triple, as well as five walks. Polanco brings average, speed, and power to your lineup, and with his success against Martinez in the past, look for him to have a successful night once again.
Evan Longoria – (3B, Tampa Bay Rays)
Longoria is another player who has been seeing the ball very well as of late. He's hit four homers in his last five games, and has hit .350 over that span. He faces off against a struggling Dallas Kuechel, who he's hitting .333 against for his career. Look for him to stay hot through the weekend.
Jedd Gyorko – (2B, St. Louis Cardinals)
Gyorko isn't guaranteed a start on Sunday, but if Mike Matheny does his research, he'll make sure to include him somehow. Gyorko is facing Jonathan Niese, who he's 6-11 lifetime against including a pair of doubles and a home run. Gyorko has been a nice bench player for the Cardinals this year adding some pop, so look for him to get a hold of one Sunday evening against the lefty.
Wilson Ramos – (C, Washington Nationals)
Ramos has been hitting the ball exceptionally well lately, hitting .412 in his last five games with a homer and a pair of doubles. Ramos has also scorched his opponent, Adam Morgan, going 3-3 against him with a home run and four RBIs. As you can tell with Morgan making the stack-against list as well, Ramos is set up nicely to have a big day against the lefty.
|DFS Baseball Value Plays (6/15/16)|
|Top Fantasy Pitchers (05/31/16)|
The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.
Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.
03/27/2017 Highlight: With the start of MLB right around the corner, we can use our ResultsFinder tool to uncover some past success in baseball. April has historically been a great month for the Predictalator, as evidenced by last season's outstanding 41-22 (65.1%) record on all "normal" or better ML, RL, and O/U plays. A $50 bettor would have profited a whopping $1,002 using our recommended wager sizes in April. MLB season win totals have also been extremely fruitful in the history of this site, with the Predictalator producing an outstanding 54-19 (74.0%) record on all playable win totals.
March Madness is winding down and it was another solid month for the Predictalator. There were a total of 69 "normal" or better college hoops positions (sides and totals) in the month of March, and the Predictalator posted a strong 42-27 (60.9%) record, generating $704 in total profits. NBA has also followed suit with "normal" or better positions winning at a 58.1% clip since the beginning of February, and at a 57.9% clip for March.
NHL profits continue to roll right along as well, as the Predictalator has cashed in on nine of 12 "normal" or better positions in March. The Predictalator has now amassed an incredible 45-28 (61.6%) on all "normal" or better money lines, puck lines, and totals this season, totaling $499 in total profits for a ?$50 bettor.
Check out the Shop now to learn more.