New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    Sweet Bracket Odds (03/24/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    After a thrilling first weekend, which teams odds to win March Madness improved the most heading into the Sweet 16?


     
    There were 13 upsets (by seed) in the opening weekend of the NCAA Tournament. Gone from the field are Wichita State, Duke, Kansas, Villanova, Syracuse, and Creighton. With so many of the favorites to reach the Final Four no longer dancing, how does this impact the remaining team’s odds to win the National Championship?
     
    To see odds for each team to reach the Final Four and win the title, check out our updated Bracket Odds.
     
    Contenders
     
    Florida
    The Gators are in the Sweet 16 for the fourth consecutive season. The South Region broke about as well as you could hope if you are a Florida fan. Little stands in the way of a Final Four appearance with the exodus of Kansas and Syracuse (both top 20 programs in our Power Rankings).
     
    Odds to win the title before the Tournament: 10.8%
    Odds to win the title in the Sweet 16: 19.5%
     
    Louisville
    The Cardinals were under-seeded and got one of the most difficult draws being placed in the Midwest. But with Wichita State and Duke both watching from home, the Group of Death does not seem so scary.
     
    Odds to win the title before the Tournament: 8.8%
    Odds to win the title in the Sweet 16: 19.4%
     
    Sleepers
     
    Baylor
    The Bears were one of the best three point shooting teams in the country, connecting on nearly 42% of their attempts from behind the arc. Baylor is a frightening team when they get it going from long range – just ask Creighton.
     
    Odds to win the title before the Tournament: 1.1%
    Odds to win the title in the Sweet 16: 4.6%
     
    Kentucky
    The Wildcats ended Wichita States perfect season and if Kentucky didn’t have to face Louisville in the Sweet 16, their odds to win it all would be greatly improved. Still, Kentucky is now more than twice as likely to win it all than before the tournament started.
     
    Odds to win the title before the Tournament: 0.9%
    Odds to win the title in the Sweet 16: 2.0%
     
    Cinderellas
     
    Stanford
    There were 22 teams that had at least a 1% chance of winning the tournament before the madness started but the Cardinal were not one of those teams. Two upsets later and Stanford is in the Sweet Sixteen.
     
    Odds to win the title before the Tournament: 0.3%
    Odds to win the title in the Sweet 16: 1.2%
     
    Tennessee
    The Vols are now the third team to play in the First Four to reach the Sweet 16. Tennessee is a balanced team that is playing their best basketball of the season.
     
    Odds to win the title before the Tournament: 0.7%
    Odds to win the title in the Sweet 16: 1.6%
     
    Dayton
    The Flyers started the madness upsetting Ohio State in the first game of the tournament. Dayton isn’t going to win it all but no one expected them to reach the Sweet 16 either.
     
    Odds to win the title before the Tournament: 0.2%
    Odds to win the title in the Sweet 16: 0.8%
     
    Below are the changes in odds for each team to win the NCAA Tournament.

    Team Original Odds Updated Odds Diff.
     Florida 10.8% 19.5% 8.7%
     Louisville 8.8% 19.4% 10.6%
     Michigan St. 8.9% 14.0% 5.1%
     Michigan 5.5% 8.5% 3.0%
     UCLA 2.2% 6.0% 3.8%
     Virginia 7.7% 5.8% -1.9%
     Arizona 3.9% 5.7% 1.8%
     Wisconsin 3.5% 5.2% 1.7%
     Baylor 1.1% 4.6% 3.5%
     Iowa St. 1.7% 2.8% 1.1%
     Kentucky 0.9% 2.0% 1.1%
     Tennessee 0.7% 1.6% 0.9%
     San Diego St. 1.3% 1.6% 0.3%
     UCONN 0.8% 1.4% 0.6%
     Stanford 0.3% 1.2% 0.9%
     Dayton 0.2% 0.8% 0.6%


    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Sweet 16 Odds (03/25/14)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    GameChangers (03/23/14)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    9/5/2016 Highlight: With Week 1 in the NFL beginning Thursday, it's worth noting that Playable against-the-spread picks in the NFL last regular season went 110-85 (56% ATS), the fourth time in the last six seasons that the Predictalator picked every NFL game at a greater than 56% rate against-the-spread. Also, NFL Playoff picks are 44-20 (69% ATS) all-time on the site.

    Week 1 in College Football is complete as the OVER (57) in the Florida State vs. Ole Miss game covered easily to make totals with 60%+ confidence 5-0 (100% O/U) for the week. Such picks generated a profit of +$386 for a normal $50 player using play value recommendations. Highlighted, "normal" or better against-the-spread plays were profitable for Week 1 as well at 4-3 (57% ATS).

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    NFL Picks - Week 3
    The Predictalator has played each of this week's NFL games 50,000 times. See the Bears at Cowboys and more.

    NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 3 - Fantasy Football
    Mark Dankenbring breaks down the best DFS value plays for Week 3 in the NFL.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com