For the 2011 MLB regular season beginning March 31st, PredictionMachine.com will play every game of every day 50,000 times to provide money-line, run-line and over/under picks. Predictalator output comes complete with a Play Value Calculator, Play Value Key and Parlay Calculator for optimal bankroll management. Since this is our first season projecting daily MLB games, we would like to introduce the MLB picks and new features that accompany it to all for free, while also working out any potential issues that arise with the new product. The trial period will take place from 3/31 - 4/9. All subscribers also get access to the Customizable Predictalator for every team and game.
The Predictalator has played every 2011 MLB game 50,000 times before it's actually played. Based on that analysis, we present projected standings as well as the highest and lowest win totals for each team in the 50,000 seasons that were played. We also assess the likelihood that any team makes the playoffs (as a division or wild card winner) and then what teams do when they get there. And we have added Futures Odds, which is the likelihood of any team coming in Over or Under the current Win Total Lines courtesy of Bodog.
Please note that all percentages are rounded to the tenth of a percent. A team listed as having a 0.0% chance of something still can do it. To round to 0.1%, a team must achieve the goal 255 times in the 50,000 seasons played.
For the rest of our MLB 2011 Preview, please see our Power Rankings, Fantasy Rankings and Division-by-division Breakdowns.
Projected Standings (based on 2011 MLB season played 50,000 times)
AL East
| Boston Red Sox | 94.9 | 67.1 | 110 | 84 |
| New York Yankees | 89.7 | 72.3 | 104 | 78 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 81.4 | 80.6 | 103 | 68 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 76.3 | 85.7 | 89 | 62 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 74.1 | 87.9 | 90 | 59 |
AL Central
| Chicago White Sox | 90.3 | 71.7 | 105 | 73 |
| Minnesota Twins | 86.8 | 75.2 | 106 | 73 |
| Detroit Tigers | 79.6 | 82.4 | 100 | 68 |
| Cleveland Indians | 73.9 | 88.1 | 89 | 58 |
| Kansas City Royals | 72.4 | 89.6 | 88 | 57 |
AL West
| Texas Rangers | 88.2 | 73.8 | 106 | 75 |
| Oakland Athletics | 80.4 | 81.6 | 99 | 67 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 78.1 | 83.9 | 99 | 64 |
| Seattle Mariners | 70.2 | 91.8 | 92 | 53 |
NL East
| Philadelphia Phillies | 95.8 | 66.2 | 116 | 84 |
| Atlanta Braves | 87.8 | 74.2 | 103 | 76 |
| Florida Marlins | 78.7 | 83.3 | 95 | 63 |
| New York Mets | 78.6 | 83.4 | 93 | 65 |
| Washington Nationals | 71.5 | 90.5 | 87 | 57 |
NL Central
| Cincinnati Reds | 84.6 | 77.4 | 99 | 70 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 83.8 | 78.2 | 100 | 71 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 83.7 | 78.3 | 98 | 71 |
| Chicago Cubs | 82.9 | 79.1 | 97 | 69 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 69.8 | 92.2 | 83 | 53 |
| Houston Astros | 68.5 | 93.5 | 81 | 53 |
NL West
| San Francisco Giants | 89.4 | 72.6 | 105 | 75 |
| Colorado Rockies | 89.1 | 72.9 | 103 | 75 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 84.5 | 77.5 | 103 | 71 |
| San Diego Padres | 75.2 | 86.8 | 91 | 60 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 69.8 | 92.2 | 83 | 54 |
Playoff Probabilities (based on 2011 MLB season played 50,000 times)
| Philadelphia Phillies | 65.0% | 14.5% | 35.8% | 21.5% |
| Boston Red Sox | 53.8% | 22.2% | 34.2% | 19.7% |
| New York Yankees | 41.0% | 26.3% | 23.5% | 12.7% |
| San Francisco Giants | 46.8% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 9.6% |
| Chicago White Sox | 47.5% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 9.3% |
| Texas Rangers | 56.2% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 5.4% |
| Colorado Rockies | 34.0% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| Atlanta Braves | 24.9% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Cincinnati Reds | 32.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 26.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Minnesota Twins | 38.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Oakland Athletics | 31.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 17.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 22.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Florida Marlins | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Chicago Cubs | 18.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Detroit Tigers | 13.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Los Angeles Angels | 10.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Seattle Mariners | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| New York Mets | 1.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cleveland Indians | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Washington Nationals | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Houston Astros | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| San Diego Padres | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Total Wins Picks (based on every 2011 MLB game played 50,000 times)
| Chicago White Sox | 84.5 | 90.3 | Over | 60.8% | Calc --> |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 74 | 69.8 | Under | 60.6% | Calc --> |
| Los Angeles Angels | 82.5 | 78.1 | Under | 59.6% | Calc --> |
| Detroit Tigers | 83.5 | 79.6 | Under | 58.5% | Calc --> |
| Florida Marlins | 82.5 | 78.7 | Under | 58.3% | Calc --> |
| Colorado Rockies | 84.5 | 89.1 | Over | 58.2% | Calc --> |
| Houston Astros | 71.5 | 68.5 | Under | 58.0% | Calc --> |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 85 | 81.4 | Under | 57.7% | Calc --> |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 77 | 74.1 | Under | 56.8% | Calc --> |
| Kansas City Royals | 70 | 72.4 | Over | 56.2% | Calc --> |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 67.5 | 69.8 | Over | 56.0% | Calc --> |
| Baltimore Orioles | 74 | 76.3 | Over | 55.5% | Calc --> |
| Texas Rangers | 85.5 | 88.2 | Over | 55.4% | Calc --> |
| New York Yankees | 92.5 | 89.7 | Under | 55.3% | Calc --> |
| Oakland Athletics | 82.5 | 80.4 | Under | 54.4% | Calc --> |
| Minnesota Twins | 85 | 86.8 | Over | 53.7% | Calc --> |
| Cincinnati Reds | 83 | 84.6 | Over | 53.5% | Calc --> |
| Seattle Mariners | 71.5 | 70.2 | Under | 53.3% | Calc --> |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 97.5 | 95.8 | Under | 52.8% | Calc --> |
| San Francisco Giants | 87.5 | 89.4 | Over | 52.7% | Calc --> |
| Boston Red Sox | 96.5 | 94.9 | Under | 52.7% | Calc --> |
| Cleveland Indians | 73 | 73.9 | Over | 52.3% | Calc --> |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 83.5 | 84.5 | Over | 52.2% | Calc --> |
| San Diego Padres | 75.5 | 75.2 | Under | 51.9% | Calc --> |
| Chicago Cubs | 82 | 82.9 | Over | 51.8% | Calc --> |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 84.5 | 83.7 | Under | 51.8% | Calc --> |
| Atlanta Braves | 87 | 87.8 | Over | 51.5% | Calc --> |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 84.5 | 83.8 | Under | 51.4% | Calc --> |
| New York Mets | 78 | 78.6 | Over | 51.3% | Calc --> |
| Washington Nationals | 71.5 | 71.5 | Over | 50.0% | Calc --> |
For the 2011 MLB regular season beginning March 31st, PredictionMachine.com will play every game of every day 50,000 times to provide money-line, run-line and over/under picks. Predictalator output comes complete with a Play Value Calculator, Play Value Key and Parlay Calculator for optimal bankroll management. Since this is our first season projecting daily MLB games, we would like to introduce the MLB picks and new features that accompany it to all for free, while also working out any potential issues that arise with the new product. The trial period will take place from 3/31 - 4/9. All subscribers also get access to the Customizable Predictalator for every team and game.
For the rest of our MLB 2011 Preview, please see our Power Rankings, Fantasy Rankings and Division-by-division Breakdowns.