For the NBA Playoffs beginning April 17th, PredictionMachine.com will also play every game 50,000 times to provide straight-up, against-the-spread and over/under picks. In the NCAA Tournament, the Predictalator accurately picked 77% of all 64 games straight-up and 60% against-the-spread. The NBA Playoffs picks package includes pick confidence for all games accompanied by our Play Value Key and Calculator for just $149.95.
The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats from the last 30 games (weighted slightly more towards recent games), to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NCAA tournament. Each tournament is played individually, with the team that wins the game in that instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.
See the most-likely Predictalated Bracket and Paul Bessire's Bracket Analysis.
Bracket Odds (based on 2010 NCAA Tournament played 50,000 times):
| Midwest | 1 | Kansas | 100.0% | 77.4% | 57.7% | 36.7% | 24.4% | 15.7% |
| Midwest | 16 | Lehigh | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Midwest | 8 | UNLV | 50.4% | 13.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Midwest | 9 | Northern Iowa | 49.6% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Midwest | 5 | Michigan St. | 92.1% | 38.5% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Midwest | 12 | New Mexico St | 7.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Midwest | 4 | Maryland | 72.4% | 59.4% | 27.9% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Midwest | 13 | Houston | 27.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Midwest | 6 | Tennessee | 57.4% | 12.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Midwest | 11 | SDSU | 42.6% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Midwest | 3 | Georgetown | 82.6% | 73.9% | 42.8% | 19.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Midwest | 14 | Ohio | 17.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Midwest | 7 | Oklahoma St. | 40.5% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Midwest | 10 | Georgia Tech | 59.5% | 25.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Midwest | 2 | Ohio St. | 99.9% | 68.1% | 45.6% | 27.0% | 16.6% | 9.9% |
| Midwest | 15 | UCSB | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| West | 1 | Syracuse | 97.6% | 62.8% | 45.6% | 32.5% | 18.7% | 10.6% |
| West | 16 | Vermont | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| West | 8 | Gonzaga | 48.5% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| West | 9 | Florida St. | 51.5% | 18.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| West | 5 | Butler | 58.9% | 32.5% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| West | 12 | UTEP | 41.1% | 9.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| West | 4 | Vanderbilt | 61.4% | 50.7% | 25.6% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| West | 13 | Murray St. | 38.6% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| West | 6 | Xavier | 74.2% | 50.3% | 24.8% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| West | 11 | Minnesota | 25.8% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| West | 3 | Pittsburgh | 79.6% | 46.4% | 19.7% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| West | 14 | Oakland | 20.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| West | 7 | BYU | 54.1% | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| West | 10 | Florida | 45.9% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| West | 2 | Kansas St. | 100.0% | 65.6% | 42.9% | 23.4% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| West | 15 | North Texas | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| East | 1 | Kentucky | 95.5% | 78.4% | 48.8% | 28.2% | 15.8% | 8.0% |
| East | 16 | ETSU | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| East | 8 | Texas | 47.6% | 10.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| East | 9 | Wake Forest | 52.4% | 11.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| East | 5 | Temple | 66.6% | 26.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| East | 12 | Cornell | 33.4% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| East | 4 | Wisconsin | 81.0% | 69.8% | 40.3% | 21.7% | 11.1% | 5.3% |
| East | 13 | Wofford | 19.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| East | 6 | Marquette | 55.7% | 45.1% | 40.2% | 21.0% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| East | 11 | Washington | 44.3% | 22.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| East | 3 | New Mexico | 70.6% | 20.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| East | 14 | Montana | 29.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| East | 7 | Clemson | 44.6% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| East | 10 | Missouri | 55.4% | 28.1% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| East | 2 | West Virginia | 100.0% | 60.5% | 37.0% | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| East | 15 | Morgan St. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| South | 1 | Duke | 100.0% | 64.8% | 47.0% | 30.1% | 18.1% | 10.2% |
| South | 16 | Ark-PB/Winth. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| South | 8 | Cal | 59.3% | 24.0% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| South | 9 | Louisville | 40.7% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| South | 5 | Texas A&M | 71.7% | 59.3% | 37.1% | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| South | 12 | Utah St. | 28.3% | 5.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| South | 4 | Purdue | 50.0% | 20.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| South | 13 | Siena | 50.0% | 15.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| South | 6 | Notre Dame | 35.0% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| South | 11 | Old Dominion | 65.0% | 18.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| South | 3 | Baylor | 78.1% | 70.1% | 61.0% | 36.1% | 20.1% | 10.4% |
| South | 14 | Sam Houston St. | 21.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| South | 7 | Richmond | 51.0% | 28.8% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| South | 10 | St. Mary's | 49.0% | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| South | 2 | Villanova | 92.3% | 47.5% | 18.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| South | 15 | Robert Morris | 7.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |