NFL Preview Pages:
Over/Under Win Total Picks
Projected Standings and Playoff Results
In-Depth Team Analysis
NFL Team Rankings
Fantasy Football Projections and Rankings
NEW NFL Playoff Probabilities
NEW for Football 2011
Play the Games
Buy Picks
The Predictalator has already played the 2011 NFL season 50,000 times before it's actually played. The Green Bay Packers repeat as Super Bowl champions, winning it all league-high 13.0% of the time. In the most likely Super Bowl, Green Bay defeats the San Diego Chargers 57.0% of the time and by an average score of 26-23. San Diego, the AFC's top-seed, wins the Super Bowl 10.5% of the time. The Philadelphia Eagles (10.3%), Pittsburgh Steelers (9.7%) and New England Patriots (9.4%) follow the Packers and Chargers in Super Bowl likelihood.
Read more about How This Works. Based on this analysis, we present projected standings, team stats and playoff results (below).
Projected Standings (based on 2011 NFL season played 50,000 times)
AFC East
| New England Patriots | 10.7 | 5.3 |
| New York Jets | 9.3 | 6.7 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7.3 | 8.7 |
| Buffalo Bills | 6.3 | 9.7 |
AFC North
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 11.1 | 4.9 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 9.9 | 6.1 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7.7 | 8.3 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5.9 | 10.1 |
AFC West
| San Diego Chargers | 11.1 | 4.9 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7.1 | 8.9 |
| Oakland Raiders | 6.0 | 10.0 |
| Denver Broncos | 5.5 | 10.5 |
AFC South
| Houston Texans | 9.3 | 6.7 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9.3 | 6.7 |
| Tennessee Titans | 6.4 | 9.6 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4.4 | 11.6 |
NFC East
| Philadelphia Eagles | 11.3 | 4.7 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9.1 | 6.9 |
| New York Giants | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Washington Redskins | 6.0 | 10.0 |
NFC North
| Green Bay Packers | 11.4 | 4.6 |
| Chicago Bears | 8.2 | 7.8 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| Detroit Lions | 7.9 | 8.1 |
NFC West
| Arizona Cardinals | 7.2 | 8.8 |
| St. Louis Rams | 6.8 | 9.2 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6.7 | 9.3 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5.8 | 10.2 |
NFC South
| New Orleans Saints | 10.1 | 5.9 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 9.4 | 6.6 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5.2 | 10.8 |
Projected Offensive Stats (based on 2011 NFL season played 50,000 times)
| New England Patriots | 448.0 | 1,864.0 | 16.7 | 4,243.2 | 37.3 | 13.0 |
| Houston Texans | 444.8 | 1,873.9 | 19.6 | 4,164.3 | 31.3 | 17.0 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 424.4 | 2,187.3 | 17.6 | 3,799.9 | 30.6 | 16.1 |
| San Diego Chargers | 423.7 | 1,713.8 | 16.6 | 4,212.6 | 31.6 | 16.2 |
| Green Bay Packers | 417.2 | 1,793.2 | 12.5 | 3,978.4 | 36.4 | 14.4 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 413.1 | 1,639.3 | 12.3 | 4,231.5 | 34.7 | 18.0 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 401.0 | 1,835.8 | 11.6 | 4,003.3 | 33.7 | 17.8 |
| New Orleans Saints | 392.0 | 1,556.2 | 11.9 | 4,238.6 | 33.1 | 19.6 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 391.8 | 1,819.4 | 15.7 | 3,711.2 | 28.8 | 17.4 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 377.0 | 1,739.9 | 16.6 | 3,764.2 | 24.3 | 15.0 |
| New York Giants | 370.7 | 2,085.7 | 17.4 | 3,362.1 | 25.6 | 17.4 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 357.6 | 2,165.5 | 13.2 | 2,992.5 | 28.1 | 14.0 |
| Oakland Raiders | 357.6 | 2,121.7 | 17.7 | 3,028.2 | 20.5 | 16.9 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 354.6 | 1,959.5 | 13.6 | 3,212.8 | 25.7 | 15.5 |
| Detroit Lions | 353.5 | 1,499.4 | 10.2 | 3,775.0 | 29.7 | 19.8 |
| New York Jets | 347.4 | 2,062.4 | 14.6 | 3,308.9 | 22.7 | 16.7 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 344.3 | 1,365.2 | 13.2 | 3,855.2 | 22.1 | 20.4 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 340.7 | 1,976.4 | 18.7 | 3,193.7 | 20.0 | 17.6 |
| St. Louis Rams | 339.1 | 1,675.7 | 10.9 | 3,222.4 | 25.1 | 16.1 |
| Denver Broncos | 332.3 | 1,733.4 | 14.7 | 3,447.1 | 22.8 | 17.7 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 331.4 | 1,774.3 | 11.9 | 3,465.0 | 24.4 | 17.2 |
| Cleveland Browns | 331.2 | 1,895.3 | 15.2 | 3,236.8 | 20.5 | 17.6 |
| Tennessee Titans | 331.0 | 1,975.6 | 13.7 | 3,015.4 | 22.2 | 18.9 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 331.0 | 1,535.2 | 11.2 | 3,497.7 | 24.3 | 18.0 |
| Chicago Bears | 322.3 | 1,677.4 | 11.5 | 3,289.3 | 24.1 | 19.5 |
| Washington Redskins | 320.7 | 1,637.6 | 11.8 | 3,345.8 | 21.9 | 20.1 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 318.5 | 1,581.6 | 15.4 | 3,427.2 | 18.7 | 19.5 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 308.6 | 2,152.9 | 13.8 | 2,840.3 | 20.6 | 20.2 |
| Miami Dolphins | 305.7 | 1,879.6 | 12.1 | 3,143.0 | 18.2 | 19.8 |
| Buffalo Bills | 303.9 | 1,801.1 | 8.5 | 3,144.8 | 25.5 | 20.6 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 274.5 | 1,678.1 | 9.6 | 2,976.4 | 19.1 | 20.5 |
| Carolina Panthers | 258.6 | 2,062.1 | 11.5 | 2,409.4 | 13.1 | 18.5 |
Projected Defensive Stats (based on 2011 NFL season played 50,000 times)
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 267.5 | 1,487.0 | 10.4 | 2,950.6 | 19.1 | 19.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 287.0 | 1,531.1 | 11.6 | 3,139.8 | 19.6 | 18.5 |
| Green Bay Packers | 289.3 | 1,839.5 | 11.6 | 2,889.2 | 20.7 | 20.4 |
| New York Jets | 299.9 | 1,723.7 | 11.6 | 3,087.7 | 22.0 | 17.4 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 299.9 | 1,818.3 | 11.3 | 2,974.8 | 21.8 | 20.5 |
| San Diego Chargers | 307.4 | 1,876.5 | 12.3 | 2,995.4 | 22.2 | 18.1 |
| New Orleans Saints | 316.0 | 1,753.9 | 12.3 | 3,186.2 | 22.7 | 16.6 |
| Chicago Bears | 316.5 | 1,646.1 | 12.4 | 3,345.4 | 23.1 | 19.0 |
| Miami Dolphins | 331.8 | 1,715.5 | 13.0 | 3,371.4 | 24.4 | 15.5 |
| Cleveland Browns | 339.8 | 1,836.7 | 13.5 | 3,352.9 | 23.2 | 18.6 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 339.9 | 1,823.6 | 12.9 | 3,501.0 | 24.7 | 19.2 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 340.1 | 1,670.9 | 12.3 | 3,461.6 | 25.5 | 17.1 |
| New England Patriots | 344.0 | 1,721.1 | 13.4 | 3,628.7 | 24.5 | 18.8 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 347.8 | 1,805.3 | 14.0 | 3,452.8 | 24.1 | 18.0 |
| New York Giants | 354.2 | 1,793.2 | 12.7 | 3,530.0 | 26.5 | 17.8 |
| Carolina Panthers | 354.9 | 1,707.5 | 13.1 | 3,645.9 | 26.6 | 19.5 |
| Detroit Lions | 356.6 | 1,806.5 | 13.7 | 3,409.8 | 26.2 | 16.9 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 358.3 | 1,809.0 | 13.8 | 3,575.4 | 25.6 | 19.9 |
| Buffalo Bills | 363.9 | 2,216.3 | 14.5 | 3,180.8 | 26.0 | 15.5 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 365.6 | 2,029.8 | 14.7 | 3,381.4 | 26.0 | 16.6 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 367.9 | 1,938.2 | 13.7 | 3,503.7 | 27.3 | 18.5 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 376.5 | 1,906.5 | 15.2 | 3,576.3 | 25.7 | 16.3 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 378.6 | 1,589.3 | 14.6 | 3,856.1 | 26.5 | 16.0 |
| St. Louis Rams | 383.0 | 1,811.0 | 14.7 | 3,728.8 | 27.2 | 16.8 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 390.1 | 1,878.0 | 15.4 | 3,759.8 | 28.2 | 16.6 |
| Tennessee Titans | 392.6 | 1,942.7 | 15.3 | 3,654.3 | 28.3 | 17.3 |
| Houston Texans | 393.5 | 1,875.9 | 15.4 | 3,803.9 | 27.5 | 17.9 |
| Washington Redskins | 393.8 | 1,927.1 | 15.5 | 3,788.5 | 28.0 | 17.6 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 401.9 | 1,774.1 | 15.2 | 3,889.2 | 28.5 | 16.9 |
| Denver Broncos | 428.4 | 2,075.8 | 16.7 | 3,827.8 | 31.0 | 14.9 |
| Oakland Raiders | 433.2 | 2,051.2 | 17.0 | 3,883.6 | 31.9 | 17.3 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 448.0 | 1,937.0 | 17.5 | 4,203.1 | 32.0 | 16.8 |
Based on the analysis, here is the projected NFL 2011 Playoff bracket. It should be noted however, that this exact bracket only occurred 301 of the 50,000 seasons played by the Predictalator (see new NFL Playoff Probabilities which are free and will be updated weekly:
AFC
Wild
Card Round
#6 Baltimore 21 @ #3 New England 27
#5 New York Jets 25 @ #4 Houston 22
Divisional Round
#3 New England 22 @ #2 Pittsburgh 23
#5 New York Jets 17 @ #1 San Diego 23
AFC Championship
#2 Pittsburgh 19 @ #1 San Diego 21
NFC
Wild
Card Round
#6 Dallas 23 @ #3 New Orleans 26
#5 Atlanta 27@ #4 Arizona 21
Divisional Round
#5 Atlanta 19 @ #1 Green Bay 27
#3 New Orleans 17 @ #2 Philadelphia 24
NFC Championship
#2 Philadelphia 21 @ #1 Green Bay 24
Super Bowl
Green Bay 26 over San Diego 23
To see projected stats and rankings for over 350 players, check out our Fantasy Football Preview.
NFL Preview Pages:
Over/Under Win Total Picks
Projected Standings and Playoff Results
In-Depth Team Analysis
NFL Team Rankings
Fantasy Football Projections and Rankings
NEW NFL Playoff Probabilities
NEW for Football 2011
Play the Games
Buy Picks