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    NFL Picks - 10/9/2011

    Last Updated: 10/5/2011 at 8:00 PM ET
    NFL Picks Pages:
    October 9: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    October 10: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play
    415 1:00 PMCIN Paul's Pick Upset Watch Top ATS Play of the Day @ JAC 2.5 2.3 61.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    408 1:00 PM@MIN Paul's Pick ARI -2.5 7.0 61.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    410 1:00 PM@BUF Paul's Pick Upset Watch PHI 2.5 2.5 60.0 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    417 1:00 PMTEN Upset Watch @ PIT 3.5 0.9 60.0 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    422 4:05 PM@SF TB -3 5.9 57.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    423 4:15 PMNYJ @ NE 9 -7.1 55.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    427 8:20 PMGB @ ATL -5.5 7.1 54.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    406 1:00 PM@IND KC -2.5 3.9 53.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    411 1:00 PMOAK @ HOU 6 -4.5 53.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    426 4:15 PM@DEN SD 4 -2.7 53.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    414 1:00 PM@CAR NO 6.5 -5.2 53.0 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    419 1:00 PMSEA @ NYG 10 -9.5 51.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win% Boxscore Play
    420 1:00 PM@ NYG Sea 24.8 15.3 75.6 Boxscore Play
    424 4:15 PM@ NE NYJ 29.6 22.5 67.4 Boxscore Play
    408 1:00 PM@ Min Ari 27.3 20.3 67.1 Boxscore Play
    427 8:20 PMGB @ Atl 31.8 24.6 66.4 Boxscore Play
    422 4:05 PM@ SF TB 25.8 19.9 64.0 Boxscore Play
    413 1:00 PMNO @ Car 30.8 25.5 62.1 Boxscore Play
    412 1:00 PM@ Hou Oak 29.4 24.9 60.4 Boxscore Play
    406 1:00 PM@ Ind KC 22.1 18.1 60.0 Boxscore Play
    425 4:15 PMSD @ Den 25.8 23.2 56.5 Boxscore Play
    415 1:00 PMCin @ Jac 18.7 16.4 55.6 Boxscore Play
    410 1:00 PM@ Buf Phi 27.8 25.3 54.9 Boxscore Play
    417 1:00 PMTen @ Pit 19.1 18.2 51.4 Boxscore Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Boxscore Calc Play
    412 1:00 PMOAK @ HOU 48.5 54.3 Over 58.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    422 4:05 PMTB @ SF 41 45.7 Over 57.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    420 1:00 PMSEA @ NYG 43 40.0 Under 55.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    414 1:00 PMNO @ CAR 52.5 56.3 Over 55.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    410 1:00 PMPHI @ BUF 49.5 53.1 Over 55.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    426 4:15 PMSD @ DEN 46 49.0 Over 54.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    408 1:00 PMARI @ MIN 45 47.6 Over 54.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    418 1:00 PMTEN @ PIT 39.5 37.3 Under 54.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    416 1:00 PMCIN @ JAC 37 35.0 Under 54.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    424 4:15 PMNYJ @ NE 49.5 52.0 Over 53.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    428 8:20 PMGB @ ATL 54 56.4 Over 53.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play
    406 1:00 PMKC @ IND 38.5 40.2 Over 53.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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    NFL Picks Pages:
    October 9: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    October 10: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
    Buy Picks
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