NBA Picks - 04/09/12

Last Updated: 4/9/2012 4:00 PM ET
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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
516 9:00 PM@MIN Upset Watch PHO 2.5 2.7 61.3 Calc --> Play
503 7:00 PMDET @ORL 7 -5.1 55.1 Calc --> Play
508 8:00 PM@NO LAL 3.5 -1.6 55.0 Calc --> Play
505 7:00 PMWAS Upset Watch @CHA 1.5 0.5 54.8 Calc --> Play
512 8:00 PM@MIL OKC 3 -1.0 54.5 Calc --> Play
517 9:00 PMSA @UTA 1.5 -0.3 52.8 Calc --> Play
509 8:00 PMLAC @MEM 4 -3.1 52.3 Calc --> Play
514 9:00 PM@DEN GS -9 9.8 51.8 Calc --> Play
501 7:00 PMTOR @IND 10 -9.8 50.6 Calc --> Play
520 10:00 PM@POR HOU -3 3.1 50.3 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
502 7:00 PM@Ind Tor 99.8 90.0 79.4 Play
514 9:00 PM@Den GS 109.3 99.6 76.9 Play
504 7:00 PM@Orl Det 96.4 91.3 66.6 Play
510 8:00 PM@Mem LAC 96.7 93.6 60.4 Play
520 10:00 PM@Por Hou 100.5 97.3 59.8 Play
516 9:00 PM@Min Upset Watch Pho 101.4 98.7 58.0 Play
507 8:00 PMLAL @NO 94.6 93.0 55.4 Play
511 8:00 PMOKC @Mil 101.4 100.4 53.1 Play
505 7:00 PMWas Upset Watch @Cha 96.0 95.5 51.6 Play
518 9:00 PM@Uta SA 102.4 102.1 51.0 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
512 8:00 PMOKC @ MIL 210.5 201.8 Under 60.3 Calc --> Play
516 9:00 PMPHO @ MIN 209 200.2 Under 60.3 Calc --> Play
506 7:00 PMWAS @ CHA 197 191.5 Under 57.1 Calc --> Play
510 8:00 PMLAC @ MEM 186 190.3 Over 55.8 Calc --> Play
504 7:00 PMDET @ ORL 183.5 187.7 Over 55.8 Calc --> Play
518 9:00 PMSA @ UTA 208.5 204.5 Under 55.0 Calc --> Play
514 9:00 PMGS @ DEN 211 208.9 Under 52.5 Calc --> Play
502 7:00 PMTOR @ IND 188 189.8 Over 52.4 Calc --> Play
520 10:00 PMHOU @ POR 196 197.8 Over 52.3 Calc --> Play
508 8:00 PMLAL @ NO 186.5 187.6 Over 51.5 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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