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    NBA Picks - 03/15/12

    Last Updated: 3/15/2012 4:00 PM ET
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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    706 9:00 PM@DEN Upset Watch OKC 1.5 1.5 56.7 Calc --> Play
    707 9:00 PMMIN @UTA 2.5 -0.8 54.0 Calc --> Play
    710 10:30 PM@LAC PHO -7 7.6 51.5 Calc --> Play
    701 8:00 PMWAS @NO 3 -2.7 50.9 Calc --> Play
    703 8:30 PMCHA @DAL 13.5 -13.5 50.1 Calc --> Play

    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    704 8:30 PM@Dal Cha 99.2 85.7 86.5 Play
    710 10:30 PM@LAC Pho 102.6 95.0 72.3 Play
    702 8:00 PM@NO Was 94.6 91.9 59.1 Play
    706 9:00 PM@Den Upset Watch OKC 104.5 103.0 54.6 Play
    708 9:00 PM@Uta Min 99.1 98.3 52.5 Play

    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    702 8:00 PMWAS @ NO 193.5 186.5 Under 59.3 Calc --> Play
    708 9:00 PMMIN @ UTA 202.5 197.3 Under 56.3 Calc --> Play
    706 9:00 PMOKC @ DEN 212 207.5 Under 55.3 Calc --> Play
    704 8:30 PMCHA @ DAL 187.5 184.9 Under 53.4 Calc --> Play
    710 10:30 PMPHO @ LAC 198 197.6 Under 50.5 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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