NBA Picks - 01/28/13

Last Updated: 1/28/2013 4:00 PM ET

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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
713 9:00 PM HOU @UTA 3.5 -1.6 54.5 Calc --> Play
704 7:00 PM @WAS SAC -7.5 9.2 54.0 Calc --> Play
707 7:30 PM ORL @BKN 9.5 -7.9 54.0 Calc --> Play
710 8:00 PM @CHI CHA -12 13.5 54.0 Calc --> Play
711 9:00 PM IND @DEN 5.5 -4.1 53.7 Calc --> Play
705 7:00 PM MEM @PHI -1.5 1.6 50.4 Calc --> Play
702 7:00 PM @TOR GS 1.5 -1.4 50.2 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
710 8:00 PM @Chi Cha 101.1 87.6 86.8 Play
704 7:00 PM @Was Sac 103.5 94.3 76.0 Play
708 7:30 PM @Bkn Orl 100.0 92.1 73.7 Play
712 9:00 PM @Den Ind 96.0 91.9 63.4 Play
705 7:00 PM Mem @Phi 90.9 89.3 55.7 Play
714 9:00 PM @Uta Hou 102.6 101.0 54.9 Play
701 7:00 PM GS @Tor 99.8 98.4 54.3 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
712 9:00 PM IND @ DEN 194 187.9 Under 58.0 Calc --> Play
704 7:00 PM SAC @ WAS 202.5 197.8 Under 55.6 Calc --> Play
714 9:00 PM HOU @ UTA 207 203.6 Under 54.2 Calc --> Play
702 7:00 PM GS @ TOR 201.5 198.1 Under 54.1 Calc --> Play
706 7:00 PM MEM @ PHI 177.5 180.3 Over 53.9 Calc --> Play
708 7:30 PM ORL @ BKN 195 192.1 Under 53.7 Calc --> Play
710 8:00 PM CHA @ CHI 186 188.8 Over 53.7 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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