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    MLB Picks - 9/13/2012

    Last Updated: 9/13/2012 10:30 AM ET
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    Money-line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) ML Pick Opponent SU% Proj. SU% Needed ML Calc Play More
    958 3:35 PM@LAA Oak 63.8 60.0 -150 Calc --> Play More
    962 7:10 PM@Bos NYY 47.5 42.6 135 Calc --> Play More
    952 8:05 PM@Hou Upset Watch Phi 50.1 45.5 120 Calc --> Play More
    953 10:10 PMStL @LAD 49.5 45.5 120 Calc --> Play More
    966 8:10 PM@CWS Det 46.2 44.4 125 Calc --> Play More
    959 7:07 PMSea @Tor 58.7 58.3 -140 Calc --> Play More
    963 8:05 PMCle @Tex 33.5 33.3 200 Calc --> Play More
    955 12:35 PMTB @Bal 47.7 47.6 110 Calc --> Play More
    968 8:10 PM@Min KC 50.8 51.2 -105 Calc --> Play More


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Matchup O/U Total Pick Pick% Proj. Pick% Need Odds Calc Play
    959 7:07 PMSEA @ TOR 7.5 8.8 Over 56.9 53.5 -115 Calc --> Play
    951 8:05 PMPHI @ HOU 8 8.6 Over 53.6 51.2 -105 Calc --> Play
    953 10:10 PMSTL @ LAD 7.5 8.3 Over 54.7 52.4 -110 Calc --> Play
    955 12:35 PMTB @ BAL 8 9.2 Over 56.3 54.5 -120 Calc --> Play
    965 8:10 PMDET @ CWS 7.5 7.8 Over 51.7 50.0 100 Calc --> Play
    957 3:35 PMOAK @ LAA 7.5 7.3 Over 48.7 48.8 105 Calc --> Play
    962 7:10 PMNYY @ BOS 9.5 9.5 Under 49.9 51.2 -105 Calc --> Play
    963 8:05 PMCLE @ TEX 10 10.5 Over 52.2 52.4 -110 Calc --> Play
    968 8:10 PMKC @ MIN 9 8.5 Under 52.3 53.5 -115 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Runs For Runs Against Win% Play
    964 8:05 PM@ Tex Cle 6.0 4.5 66.5 Play
    958 3:35 PM@ LAA Oak 4.2 3.1 63.8 Play
    959 7:07 PMSea @ Tor 4.8 4.1 58.7 Play
    965 8:10 PMDet @ CWS 4.0 3.7 53.8 Play
    961 7:10 PMNYY @ Bos 4.8 4.6 52.5 Play
    956 12:35 PM@ Bal TB 4.7 4.5 52.3 Play
    968 8:10 PM@ Min KC 4.3 4.2 50.8 Play
    954 10:10 PM@ LAD StL 4.2 4.1 50.5 Play
    952 8:05 PM@ Hou Upset Watch Phi 4.3 4.3 50.1 Play


    Run-Line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot RL Pick Opp. RL Margin RL% Proj. RL% Need Odds Calc Play
    958 @LAA OAK -1.5 1.2 46.1 39.2 155 Calc --> Play
    962 @BOS NYY 1.5 -0.2 58.4 54.5 -120 Calc --> Play
    952 @HOU PHI 1.5 0.0 61.5 59.2 -145 Calc --> Play
    953 STL @LAD 1.5 0.0 67.8 66.7 -200 Calc --> Play
    963 CLE @TEX 1.5 -1.4 52.4 51.2 -105 Calc --> Play
    966 @CWS DET 1.5 -0.3 57.8 58.3 -140 Calc --> Play
    955 TB @BAL 1.5 -0.2 65.9 67.7 -210 Calc --> Play
    959 SEA @TOR -1.5 0.7 47.5 47.6 110 Calc --> Play
    967 KC @MIN 1.5 0.0 67.0 68.3 -215 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Runs For, Runs Against and Total Runs are averages from 50,000 games played. The RL% is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted run line. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. With Money-Line plays, any game for which neither team wins enough to justify value is ignored. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on “Calc” and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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