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    MLB Picks - 6/16/2011

    Last Updated: 6/16/2011 10:37 AM ET
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    Money-line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) ML Pick Opponent SU% Proj. SU% Needed ML Calc Play More
    962 9:40 PM@Ari SF 61.6 57.3 -134 Calc --> Play More
    968 1:05 PM@NYY Tex 48.9 45.9 118 Calc --> Play More
    958 7:05 PM@Was StL 53.1 51.7 -107 Calc --> Play More
    973 7:10 PMBos @TB 49.8 48.3 107 Calc --> Play More
    971 3:35 PMKC @Oak 43.7 42.2 137 Calc --> Play More
    953 2:05 PMPit @Hou 51.4 50.7 -103 Calc --> Play More
    956 2:20 PM@ChC Mil 45.4 44.6 124 Calc --> Play More
    965 1:05 PMCle @Det 39.2 39.2 155 Calc --> Play More
    959 7:10 PMNYM @Atl 47.1 47.6 110 Calc --> Play More
    951 1:05 PMFla @Phi 32.7 33.3 200 Calc --> Play More
    969 1:10 PMCWS @Min 51.6 51.9 -108 Calc --> Play More
    963 12:37 PMBal @Tor 47.5 48.5 106 Calc --> Play More


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Matchup O/U Total Pick Pick% Proj. Pick% Need Odds Calc Play
    957 7:05 PMSTL @ WAS 8.5 8.9 Over 54.0 51.2 -105 Calc --> Play
    969 1:10 PMCWS @ MIN 8 8.5 Over 54.6 53.5 -115 Calc --> Play
    952 1:05 PMFLA @ PHI 8 7.7 Under 52.9 52.4 -110 Calc --> Play
    967 1:05 PMTEX @ NYY 9.5 9.5 Over 50.5 50.0 100 Calc --> Play
    965 1:05 PMCLE @ DET 8.5 8.6 Over 50.3 50.0 100 Calc --> Play
    962 9:40 PMSF @ ARI 8 7.8 Under 51.2 51.2 -105 Calc --> Play
    953 2:05 PMPIT @ HOU 8 8.0 Over 49.9 51.2 -105 Calc --> Play
    974 7:10 PMBOS @ TB 7.5 7.2 Under 52.8 53.5 -115 Calc --> Play
    972 3:35 PMKC @ OAK 7.5 7.4 Under 50.7 52.4 -110 Calc --> Play
    959 7:10 PMNYM @ ATL 7.5 7.8 Over 52.6 53.5 -115 Calc --> Play
    956 2:20 PMMIL @ CHC 8 7.8 Under 52.3 53.5 -115 Calc --> Play
    964 12:37 PMBAL @ TOR 9 8.9 Under 50.5 51.2 -105 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Runs For Runs Against Win% Play
    952 1:05 PM@ Phi Fla 4.6 3.1 67.3 Play
    962 9:40 PM@ Ari SF 4.4 3.4 61.6 Play
    966 1:05 PM@ Det Cle 4.8 3.8 60.8 Play
    972 3:35 PM@ Oak KC 3.9 3.4 56.3 Play
    955 2:20 PMMil @ ChC 4.1 3.7 54.6 Play
    958 7:05 PM@ Was StL 4.6 4.4 53.1 Play
    960 7:10 PM@ Atl NYM 4.0 3.8 52.9 Play
    964 12:37 PM@ Tor Bal 4.6 4.4 52.5 Play
    969 1:10 PMCWS @ Min 4.3 4.2 51.6 Play
    953 2:05 PMPit @ Hou 4.1 3.9 51.4 Play
    967 1:05 PMTex @ NYY 4.8 4.7 51.1 Play
    974 7:10 PM@ TB Bos 3.6 3.6 50.2 Play


    Run-Line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot RL Pick Opp. RL Margin RL% Proj. RL% Need Odds Calc Play
    962 @ARI SF -1.5 0.9 43.7 38.5 160 Calc --> Play
    958 @WAS STL 1.5 0.2 64.7 63.6 -175 Calc --> Play
    968 @NYY TEX 1.5 -0.1 60.3 59.2 -145 Calc --> Play
    953 PIT @HOU 1.5 0.1 68.9 68.8 -220 Calc --> Play
    973 BOS @TB 1.5 0.0 66.7 66.7 -200 Calc --> Play
    972 @OAK KC -1.5 0.5 39.0 40.0 150 Calc --> Play
    966 @DET CLE -1.5 1.0 43.2 44.4 125 Calc --> Play
    959 NYM @ATL 1.5 -0.2 64.8 66.7 -200 Calc --> Play
    956 @CHC MIL 1.5 -0.4 57.7 59.2 -145 Calc --> Play
    951 FLA @PHI 1.5 -1.5 50.2 52.4 -110 Calc --> Play
    969 CWS @MIN -1.5 0.2 40.0 40.8 145 Calc --> Play
    963 BAL @TOR 1.5 -0.2 65.1 66.7 -200 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Runs For, Runs Against and Total Runs are averages from 50,000 games played. The RL% is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted run line. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. With Money-Line plays, any game for which neither team wins enough to justify value is ignored. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on “Calc” and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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