College Basketball Picks - Final Four

Last Updated: 3/26/2012 4:00 PM ET
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See live expected winning percentages and projected scores based on 50,000 simulations after each score and at each commercial break through the completion of the game. A money-line calculator is included to evaluate a team's likelihood of winning relative to odds. Calculating the projected score is also helpful for in-running, quarter-by-quarter and halftime ATS and O/U plays. Live, in-running results will be available for all three games during the Final Four and championship of the college basketball tournament.

Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
819 8:49 PMOHIO STATE Paul's Pick KANSAS -2.5 4.3 54.0 Calc --> Play
818 6:09 PMKENTUCKY LOUISVILLE -8.5 8.5 50.0 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
818 6:09 PMKentucky Louisville 70.2 61.7 74.3 Play
819 8:49 PMOhio State Kansas 71.7 67.4 62.4 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
818 6:09 PMLOUISVILLE vs KENTUCKY 138.5 131.9 Under 58.1 Calc --> Play
820 8:49 PMOHIO STATE vs KANSAS 136.5 139.1 Over 53.3 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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