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    NFL Playoff Odds

    Last Updated: 1/16/2017

    Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats, to play, one play at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any remaining level of the NFL Playoffs. Each entire NFL Playoffs is played individually, with the team that wins each game advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

    In the most likely Super Bowl, the New England Patriots win over the Atlanta Falcons by an average score of 30-27. The Patriots are 34.8% likely to win the Super Bowl, up just 0.3% from last week. New England and Atlanta combine for 61% of all championships.

    Check out these results for the rest of the 2017 NFL postseason simulated 50,000 times. Below, we talk about injury impacts and some interesting notes from the simulations.

    NFL Super Bowl Odds (based on 2017 NFL Playoffs played 50,000 times):

    Region Seed Team Super Bowl Champ.
    AFC 1 NE 62.3% 34.8%
    AFC 2 PIT 37.7% 18.9%
    Region Seed Team Super Bowl Champ.
    NFC 1 ATL 55.4% 26.2%
    NFC 2 GB 44.6% 20.1%

    Additional Notes

    • Led by the Patriots, the AFC is 53.7% likely to win the Super Bowl.
    • Most likely Super Bowl - Atlanta vs. New England - happens just 34.5% of the time.
    • Least likely Super Bowl - Green Bay vs. Pittsburgh - happens 16.8% of the time in 50,000 simulations.
    • Should the Steelers upset the Patriots this weekend, they will be approximately 50% to win against both the Falcons or Packers in the Super Bowl.
    • Average scores of our Super Bowl simulations show roughly 60 total points regardless of which teams are playing.
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    The Predictalator

    01/16/2017 Highlight: With March Madness slowing approaching, it's great to see the Predictalator having success on its top plays in college hoops. In the month of January, our simulations have produced 50 betting opportunites with a 60%+ confidence level, and those games have gone a whopping 32-18 (64.0%) ATS & O/U. An average $50 bettor would have earned $1,041 using our recommended wager sizes on those plays.


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