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    College Basketball Picks - 03/03/15

    Last Updated: 3/3/2015 4:00 PM ET

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    If you are getting a different line than our projection or you are interested in teaser plays or other exotics that use different lines, we've got you covered. Simply access the Play Analyzer, which allows you to see picks at current consensus lines or input your own against-the-spread and over/under lines. Also, to know who we project to be OUT of each game, check out our injuries information. The Play Value ($) assumes a "normal" $50 play.

    AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
    Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc
    550 9:15 PM @CREIGHTON VILLANOVA 9.5 -1.3 61.9 $100
    522 7:00 PM @INDIANA IOWA -2.5 6.5 58.0 $59
    544 9:00 PM @KANSAS W. VA. -9.5 14.5 57.0 $48
    554 8:00 PM @UI-CHICAGO Upset Watch WRIGHT ST. 2 1.9 56.9 $47
    528 7:00 PM @MIAMI (OH) Upset Watch AKRON 3.5 0.6 55.8 $36
    519 7:00 PM GEORGETOWN @BUTLER 3.5 -1.0 55.7 $35
    530 7:00 PM @C. MICHIGAN TOLEDO -3.5 6.5 54.0 $17
    577 7:30 PM STETSON @N. FLA. 17.5 -14.3 53.9 $16
    516 7:00 PM @GA. TECH. UNC 5.5 -3.6 53.6 $13
    541 9:00 PM KENTUCKY @GEORGIA -10 12.3 53.6 $13
    514 7:00 PM @RUTGERS MARYLAND 8.5 -6.4 53.5 $12
    538 9:00 PM @NORTHWESTERN MICHIGAN -3 4.4 53.4 $11
    545 9:00 PM NC STATE @CLEMSON 0 0.8 52.7 $3
    524 7:00 PM @BALL STATE EASTERN MICHIGAN 2.5 -0.7 52.7 $3
    556 8:00 PM @NORTH DAKOTA NE-O 2.5 -0.4 52.5 $1
    579 7:00 PM LOYOLA (MD) @HOLY CROSS 5.5 -3.9 52.3 $0
    571 7:00 PM LIPSCOMB @NKU 8 -6.3 52.2 $0
    581 7:00 PM ARMY @NAVY 3.5 -1.9 52.1 $0
    534 7:00 PM @ALABAMA MISSISSIPPI -2 2.9 52.1 $0
    576 7:00 PM @FLA. GULF COAST JACKSONVILLE -12.5 13.8 51.9 $0
    539 9:00 PM AUBURN @MISSOURI 5 -4.3 51.5 $0
    535 8:00 PM W. MICHIGAN @N. ILLINOIS 2 -1.1 51.3 $0
    547 9:00 PM TEXAS A&M @FLORIDA 5 -4.7 50.7 $0
    526 7:00 PM @BUFFALO OHIO -14 14.5 50.6 $0
    574 7:00 PM @USC UPSTATE KENNESAW ST. -14.5 14.7 50.3 $0
    551 7:00 PM YOUNGSTOWN ST. @DETROIT 9 -8.8 50.2 $0
    531 7:00 PM KENT ST. @BOWLING GREEN 5.5 -5.4 50.1 $0
    517 7:00 PM RI @DAYTON 3.5 -3.5 50.1 $0


    STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
    544 9:00 PM @Kansas W. Va. 76.3 61.8 84.8
    541 9:00 PM Kentucky @Georgia 69.3 56.9 83.1
    526 7:00 PM @Buffalo Ohio 77.7 63.2 74.2
    574 7:00 PM @USC Upstate Kennesaw St. 71.4 56.6 73.6
    576 7:00 PM @Fla. Gulf Coast Jacksonville 70.2 56.4 73.6
    578 7:30 PM @N. Fla. Stetson 77.9 63.7 71.8
    513 7:00 PM Maryland @Rutgers 65.5 59.1 69.7
    552 7:00 PM @Detroit Youngstown St. 76.9 68.1 69.0
    522 7:00 PM @Indiana Iowa 76.7 70.1 66.8
    548 9:00 PM @Florida Texas A&M 63.7 59.0 65.1
    538 9:00 PM @Northwestern Michigan 63.0 58.6 64.0
    540 9:00 PM @Missouri Auburn 68.5 64.2 62.4
    530 7:00 PM @C. Michigan Toledo 73.9 67.5 61.4
    532 7:00 PM @Bowling Green Kent St. 61.3 55.9 61.3
    515 7:00 PM UNC @Ga. Tech. 68.4 64.8 60.6
    572 7:00 PM @NKU Lipscomb 73.5 67.2 60.4
    518 7:00 PM @Dayton RI 61.2 57.8 59.3
    534 7:00 PM @Alabama Mississippi 68.5 65.6 58.3
    580 7:00 PM @Holy Cross Loyola (MD) 63.3 59.4 57.2
    554 8:00 PM @UI-Chicago Upset Watch Wright St. 66.8 64.8 54.9
    549 9:15 PM Villanova @Creighton 69.3 67.9 54.1
    520 7:00 PM @Butler Georgetown 63.4 62.4 53.5
    582 7:00 PM @Navy Army 67.6 65.7 53.0
    545 9:00 PM NC State @Clemson 62.7 61.9 52.3
    536 8:00 PM @N. Illinois W. Michigan 62.9 61.8 51.9
    528 7:00 PM @Miami (OH) Upset Watch Akron 65.5 64.8 51.6
    523 7:00 PM Eastern Michigan @Ball State 63.0 62.4 51.2
    555 8:00 PM NE-O @North Dakota 72.4 72.0 50.7


    OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $ Calc
    514 7:00 PM MARYLAND @ RUTGERS 131.5 124.6 Under 58.6 $65
    556 8:00 PM NE-O @ NORTH DAKOTA 157.5 144.3 Under 58.2 $61
    536 8:00 PM W. MICHIGAN @ N. ILLINOIS 134 124.6 Under 57.3 $52
    518 7:00 PM RI @ DAYTON 125.5 119.0 Under 57.1 $50
    516 7:00 PM UNC @ GA. TECH. 138.5 133.2 Under 56.3 $41
    530 7:00 PM TOLEDO @ C. MICHIGAN 149.5 141.4 Under 55.8 $36
    538 9:00 PM MICHIGAN @ NORTHWESTERN 118 121.7 Over 55.1 $29
    552 7:00 PM YOUNGSTOWN ST. @ DETROIT 150.5 145.0 Under 55.0 $28
    546 9:00 PM NC STATE @ CLEMSON 121.5 124.6 Over 54.2 $19
    526 7:00 PM OHIO @ BUFFALO 146.5 140.9 Under 54.1 $18
    574 7:00 PM KENNESAW ST. @ USC UPSTATE 133.5 128.0 Under 53.9 $16
    520 7:00 PM GEORGETOWN @ BUTLER 128.5 125.8 Under 53.5 $12
    540 9:00 PM AUBURN @ MISSOURI 135.5 132.7 Under 53.5 $12
    550 9:15 PM VILLANOVA @ CREIGHTON 134.5 137.2 Over 53.3 $10
    534 7:00 PM MISSISSIPPI @ ALABAMA 131.5 134.1 Over 53.3 $10
    544 9:00 PM W. VA. @ KANSAS 140.5 138.1 Under 52.9 $5
    532 7:00 PM KENT ST. @ BOWLING GREEN 120.5 117.2 Under 52.8 $4
    528 7:00 PM AKRON @ MIAMI (OH) 133.5 130.3 Under 52.6 $2
    522 7:00 PM IOWA @ INDIANA 144.5 146.8 Over 52.6 $2
    524 7:00 PM EASTERN MICHIGAN @ BALL STATE 128.5 125.4 Under 52.5 $1
    578 7:30 PM STETSON @ N. FLA. 145 141.6 Under 52.2 $0
    576 7:00 PM JACKSONVILLE @ FLA. GULF COAST 129.5 126.6 Under 52.1 $0
    580 7:00 PM LOYOLA (MD) @ HOLY CROSS 125 122.7 Under 51.7 $0
    582 7:00 PM ARMY @ NAVY 135.5 133.3 Under 51.6 $0
    572 7:00 PM LIPSCOMB @ NKU 143 140.8 Under 51.5 $0
    554 8:00 PM WRIGHT ST. @ UI-CHICAGO 130.5 131.6 Over 51.1 $0
    542 9:00 PM KENTUCKY @ GEORGIA 126.5 126.2 Under 50.4 $0
    548 9:00 PM TEXAS A&M @ FLORIDA 122.5 122.7 Over 50.3 $0

    ADDITIONAL GAME INFORMATION
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Breakdown Analyze Live
    514 7:00 PM MARYLAND @ RUTGERS Breakdown Analyze
    516 7:00 PM UNC @ GA. TECH. Breakdown Analyze
    518 7:00 PM RI @ DAYTON Breakdown Analyze
    520 7:00 PM GEORGETOWN @ BUTLER Breakdown Analyze
    522 7:00 PM IOWA @ INDIANA Breakdown Analyze
    524 7:00 PM EASTERN MICHIGAN @ BALL STATE Breakdown Analyze
    526 7:00 PM OHIO @ BUFFALO Breakdown Analyze
    528 7:00 PM AKRON @ MIAMI (OH) Breakdown Analyze
    530 7:00 PM TOLEDO @ C. MICHIGAN Breakdown Analyze
    532 7:00 PM KENT ST. @ BOWLING GREEN Breakdown Analyze
    534 7:00 PM MISSISSIPPI @ ALABAMA Breakdown Analyze
    536 8:00 PM W. MICHIGAN @ N. ILLINOIS Breakdown Analyze
    538 9:00 PM MICHIGAN @ NORTHWESTERN Breakdown Analyze
    540 9:00 PM AUBURN @ MISSOURI Breakdown Analyze
    542 9:00 PM KENTUCKY @ GEORGIA Breakdown Analyze
    544 9:00 PM W. VA. @ KANSAS Breakdown Analyze
    546 9:00 PM NC STATE @ CLEMSON Breakdown Analyze
    548 9:00 PM TEXAS A&M @ FLORIDA Breakdown Analyze
    550 9:15 PM VILLANOVA @ CREIGHTON Breakdown Analyze
    552 7:00 PM YOUNGSTOWN ST. @ DETROIT Breakdown Analyze
    554 8:00 PM WRIGHT ST. @ UI-CHICAGO Breakdown Analyze
    556 8:00 PM NE-O @ NORTH DAKOTA Breakdown Analyze
    572 7:00 PM LIPSCOMB @ NKU Breakdown Analyze
    574 7:00 PM KENNESAW ST. @ USC UPSTATE Breakdown Analyze
    576 7:00 PM JACKSONVILLE @ FLA. GULF COAST Breakdown Analyze
    578 7:30 PM STETSON @ N. FLA. Breakdown Analyze
    580 7:00 PM LOYOLA (MD) @ HOLY CROSS Breakdown Analyze
    582 7:00 PM ARMY @ NAVY Breakdown Analyze

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 simulations. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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