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    College Basketball Picks - 12/17/14

    Last Updated: 12/17/2014 4:00 PM ET

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    AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
    Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc
    746 10:00 PM NORTHEASTERN CAL POLY -3 6.3 60.6 $86
    737 9:00 PM SAN DIEGO ST. Upset Watch @CINCINNATI 2.5 1.6 60.5 $85
    765 9:00 PM NEW MEXICO ST. @BAYLOR 13.5 -7.3 57.8 $57
    732 8:00 PM @NORTHWESTERN C. MICHIGAN -6.5 9.4 57.0 $48
    729 8:00 PM GEORGIA ST. @OLD DOMINION 3 0.0 57.0 $48
    756 8:00 PM @NE-O N. COLORADO -4 8.2 56.9 $47
    721 7:00 PM JAMES MAD Upset Watch @BALL STATE 1.5 2.4 56.8 $46
    763 7:00 PM UNC-A&T @OHIO STATE 33 -28.8 56.6 $44
    736 8:00 PM @TULSA MISSOURI ST. -8.5 11.2 56.2 $40
    743 10:30 PM PORTLAND @UNLV 5.5 -2.5 56.1 $39
    769 11:00 PM GRAMBLING ST. @WASHINGTON 35.5 -31.5 56.1 $39
    728 7:30 PM @UCF DETROIT 3 -1.0 55.5 $33
    752 8:00 PM @ILLINOIS ST. TENN-MARTIN -10 12.8 55.1 $29
    723 7:00 PM TENNESSEE @NC STATE 4.5 -2.1 54.8 $25
    761 7:00 PM HAMPTON @ILLINOIS 22.5 -18.8 54.7 $24
    754 8:00 PM @UW-GREEN BAY MOREHEAD ST. -10.5 12.5 54.1 $18
    749 7:00 PM MANHATTAN @PITTSBURGH 10.5 -8.5 54.0 $17
    767 9:00 PM WINTHROP @AUBURN 9 -7.1 52.8 $4
    725 7:00 PM ARKANSAS ST. @MISSISSIPPI ST. 12 -10.3 52.4 $0
    747 11:00 PM CS-NORTHRIDGE @OREGON 15.5 -13.6 52.2 $0
    742 9:00 PM @STANFORD LOYOLA M. -17 17.7 50.9 $0
    733 8:00 PM UI-CHICAGO @SMU 18.5 -17.9 50.8 $0
    740 9:00 PM @MICHIGAN ST. EASTERN MICHIGAN -13.5 14.0 50.7 $0


    STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
    770 11:00 PM @Washington Grambling St. 83.4 51.9 99.0
    764 7:00 PM @Ohio State UNC-A&T 77.7 48.9 98.9
    734 8:00 PM @SMU UI-Chicago 72.4 54.5 92.3
    762 7:00 PM @Illinois Hampton 79.0 60.2 91.3
    742 9:00 PM @Stanford Loyola M. 77.0 59.3 90.6
    740 9:00 PM @Michigan St. Eastern Michigan 71.6 57.6 85.6
    736 8:00 PM @Tulsa Missouri St. 66.7 55.5 81.9
    748 11:00 PM @Oregon CS-Northridge 80.4 66.8 81.7
    726 7:00 PM @Mississippi St. Arkansas St. 68.5 58.2 79.2
    754 8:00 PM @UW-Green Bay Morehead St. 71.0 58.5 78.2
    752 8:00 PM @Illinois St. Tenn-Martin 77.2 64.4 76.5
    732 8:00 PM @Northwestern C. Michigan 69.9 60.5 75.9
    750 7:00 PM @Pittsburgh Manhattan 67.0 58.5 74.2
    766 9:00 PM @Baylor New Mexico St. 71.6 64.2 70.4
    746 10:00 PM Northeastern Cal Poly 63.7 57.4 69.7
    768 9:00 PM @Auburn Winthrop 74.1 67.0 69.5
    756 8:00 PM @NE-O N. Colorado 80.3 72.1 62.6
    744 10:30 PM @UNLV Portland 63.5 60.9 58.7
    724 7:00 PM @NC State Tennessee 69.2 67.1 56.2
    737 9:00 PM San Diego St. Upset Watch @Cincinnati 57.3 55.8 55.2
    721 7:00 PM James Mad Upset Watch @Ball State 69.9 67.6 54.5
    727 7:30 PM Detroit @UCF 69.9 68.9 52.9
    730 8:00 PM @Old Dominion Georgia St. 67.0 67.1 50.1


    OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $ Calc
    770 11:00 PM GRAMBLING ST. @ WASHINGTON 128 135.3 Over 59.3 $73
    734 8:00 PM UI-CHICAGO @ SMU 133 126.9 Under 57.8 $57
    726 7:00 PM ARKANSAS ST. @ MISSISSIPPI ST. 122 126.7 Over 56.3 $41
    738 9:00 PM SAN DIEGO ST. @ CINCINNATI 109 113.1 Over 56.3 $41
    764 7:00 PM UNC-A&T @ OHIO STATE 131 126.6 Under 55.7 $35
    744 10:30 PM PORTLAND @ UNLV 128.5 124.4 Under 55.4 $32
    724 7:00 PM TENNESSEE @ NC STATE 132 136.2 Over 55.2 $30
    768 9:00 PM WINTHROP @ AUBURN 138 141.1 Over 53.7 $14
    740 9:00 PM EASTERN MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN ST. 131 129.2 Under 52.2 $0
    766 9:00 PM NEW MEXICO ST. @ BAYLOR 134 135.8 Over 52.2 $0
    742 9:00 PM LOYOLA M. @ STANFORD 137.5 136.3 Under 51.5 $0
    748 11:00 PM CS-NORTHRIDGE @ OREGON 146 147.3 Over 51.5 $0
    762 7:00 PM HAMPTON @ ILLINOIS 139.5 139.1 Under 50.4 $0

    ADDITIONAL GAME INFORMATION
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Breakdown Analyze Live
    722 7:00 PM JAMES MAD @ BALL STATE Breakdown Analyze
    724 7:00 PM TENNESSEE @ NC STATE Breakdown Analyze
    726 7:00 PM ARKANSAS ST. @ MISSISSIPPI ST. Breakdown Analyze
    728 7:30 PM DETROIT @ UCF Breakdown Analyze
    730 8:00 PM GEORGIA ST. @ OLD DOMINION Breakdown Analyze
    732 8:00 PM C. MICHIGAN @ NORTHWESTERN Breakdown Analyze
    734 8:00 PM UI-CHICAGO @ SMU Breakdown Analyze
    736 8:00 PM MISSOURI ST. @ TULSA Breakdown Analyze
    738 9:00 PM SAN DIEGO ST. @ CINCINNATI Breakdown Analyze
    740 9:00 PM EASTERN MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN ST. Breakdown Analyze
    742 9:00 PM LOYOLA M. @ STANFORD Breakdown Analyze
    744 10:30 PM PORTLAND @ UNLV Breakdown Analyze
    746 10:00 PM CAL POLY vs NORTHEASTERN Breakdown Analyze
    748 11:00 PM CS-NORTHRIDGE @ OREGON Breakdown Analyze
    750 7:00 PM MANHATTAN @ PITTSBURGH Breakdown Analyze
    752 8:00 PM TENN-MARTIN @ ILLINOIS ST. Breakdown Analyze
    754 8:00 PM MOREHEAD ST. @ UW-GREEN BAY Breakdown Analyze
    756 8:00 PM N. COLORADO @ NE-O Breakdown Analyze
    762 7:00 PM HAMPTON @ ILLINOIS Breakdown Analyze
    764 7:00 PM UNC-A&T @ OHIO STATE Breakdown Analyze
    766 9:00 PM NEW MEXICO ST. @ BAYLOR Breakdown Analyze
    768 9:00 PM WINTHROP @ AUBURN Breakdown Analyze
    770 11:00 PM GRAMBLING ST. @ WASHINGTON Breakdown Analyze

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 simulations. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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