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    Soccer Power Rankings (02/09/16)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    Soccer Power Rankings and Full Season Projections.



    A quick look at the update our Power Rankings and full season projections for the top five European soccer leagues.

    English Premier League

    There is an unfamiliar look to this season's Premier League table. Leicester City sits atop traditional contenders with a five-point lead. Maybe it is time to start believing in Leicester. The Foxes just passed their greatest test beating Manchester City 3-1 on the road. Claudio Ranieri's team is projected to win its first Premier League title even though the club is outside the top five in the Power Rankings.

    In Premier League history, 13 teams have had a five-point lead after 25 games and ten of them won it. That is great news for anyone that backed Leicester at 5000/1 in the preseason.

    Power Rankings

    Rank Team
    1 Man City
    2 Tottenham
    3 Arsenal
    4 Man United
    5 Chelsea
    6 Southampton
    7 Leicester
    8 Everton
    9 Liverpool
    10 West Ham
    11 Stoke
    12 Crystal Palace
    13 Swansea
    14 West Bromwich
    15 Newcastle
    16 Sunderland
    17 Aston Villa
    18 Watford
    19 Bournemouth
    20 Norwich

    Full Season Projections

    Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
    Leicester 21.7 5.8 10.6 75.7
    Man City 21.7 8.1 7.2 72.3
    Arsenal 21.2 8.4 8.4 72.0
    Tottenham 19.9 6.5 11.7 71.4
    Man United 18.0 9.3 10.7 64.7
    Southampton 16.0 12.0 10.0 58.0
    West Ham 15.4 10.8 11.8 58.0
    Everton 14.2 9.5 13.4 56.0
    Liverpool 14.3 11.9 10.8 53.7
    Chelsea 13.6 12.6 11.9 52.7
    Stoke 14.1 14.8 9.0 51.3
    Crystal Palace 13.8 16.2 7.9 49.3
    Watford 12.4 17.4 8.3 45.5
    West Bromwich 11.2 16.0 10.8 44.4
    Swansea 10.1 16.0 11.9 42.2
    Newcastle 10.0 18.4 8.6 38.6
    Bournemouth 9.3 19.5 9.2 37.1
    Sunderland 8.4 21.7 7.9 33.1
    Norwich 8.3 22.8 6.9 31.8
    Aston Villa 6.0 22.0 10.0 28.0

    French La Ligue 1



    Paris Saint-Germain has a record unbeaten streak of 34 matches. PSG has 15 straight wins across all competitions. The French champions have a monster 24 point lead at the top of the La Ligue table. There is no stopping PSG as they run away with another league title.

    Power Rankings

    Rank Team
    1 Paris St.-Germain
    2 Ol. Lyon
    3 Ol. Marseille
    4 Monaco
    5 Rennes
    6 St. Etienne
    7 Nice
    8 Lorient
    9 Nantes
    10 Reims
    11 Bordeaux
    12 Bastia
    13 Montpellier
    14 Caen
    15 Lille
    16 Guingamp
    17 Toulouse
    18 Angers
    19 GFCO Ajaccio
    20 Troyes

    Full Season Projections

    Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
    Paris St.-Germain 32.2 1.0 4.8 101.4
    Monaco 17.9 8.2 11.9 65.6
    St. Etienne 18.8 13.2 6.0 62.4
    Nice 17.6 12.4 9.0 61.8
    Ol. Lyon 17.2 12.1 8.7 60.3
    Ol. Marseille 15.0 10.1 12.9 57.9
    Rennes 13.9 10.2 13.9 55.6
    Nantes 13.9 12.6 12.5 54.2
    Lorient 13.3 11.9 12.7 52.6
    Caen 15.5 16.6 5.9 52.4
    Bordeaux 13.1 13.1 11.8 51.1
    Angers 13.4 15.1 9.4 49.6
    Bastia 13.6 16.9 7.5 48.3
    Reims 11.7 15.3 11.0 46.1
    Lille 10.0 12.7 15.3 45.3
    Guingamp 11.6 16.5 9.9 44.7
    Montpellier 11.6 18.5 7.9 42.7
    Toulouse 8.4 17.7 11.9 37.1
    GFCO Ajaccio 8.4 18.6 11.0 36.2
    Troyes 2.2 26.3 9.5 16.1

    German Bundesliga



    The league season is more than half way over and one thing is becoming very clear Bayern Munich, even with the announcement of manager Pep Guardiola's departure for Man City, is likely to win a record fourth straight Bundesliga title. Bayern has failed to win in just three league matches this season. An eight point advantage over second place Dortmund is expected to double by season's end.

    Power Rankings

    Rank Team
    1 B. Munich
    2 Dortmund
    3 Leverkusen
    4 M'gladbach
    5 Wolfsburg
    6 Hertha
    7 Schalke 04
    8 Stuttgart
    9 Mainz 05
    10 E. Frankfurt
    11 Augsburg
    12 Hoffenheim
    13 Cologne
    14 Hamburg
    15 Bremen
    16 Hannover
    17 Ingolstadt
    18 Darmstadt

    Full Season Projections

    Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
    B. Munich 28.8 1.7 3.5 89.9
    Dortmund 22.9 5.8 5.2 73.9
    Leverkusen 17.1 9.1 7.9 59.2
    Hertha 16.6 9.5 7.9 57.7
    M'gladbach 17.4 12 4.6 56.8
    Schalke 04 15.8 12.1 6.1 53.5
    Wolfsburg 13.8 11.5 8.8 50.2
    Mainz 05 14.0 14.1 6 48.0
    Stuttgart 12.4 16.1 5.6 42.8
    Cologne 10.5 12.4 11.1 42.6
    E. Frankfurt 10.5 14.9 8.6 40.1
    Hamburg 10.5 15.5 8.1 39.6
    Augsburg 9.5 15.2 9.4 37.9
    Bremen 10.1 17.3 6.6 36.9
    Ingolstadt 8.8 18 7.1 33.5
    Darmstadt 7.9 18.4 7.7 31.4
    Hoffenheim 6.7 16.1 11.2 31.3
    Hannover 7.8 21.3 4.8 28.2

    Italian Serie A



    There is a Serie A title showdown set for Saturday as table-topping Napoli will host Juventus. The Azzurri have a two point lead over the reigning champions. Juve started slow but has since won 14 consecutive league games (the first time the club has accomplished that feat).

    Napoli has the advantage at home and has a 67.8 percent chance to win or draw against Juventus. Nonetheless, Juve is No. 1 in the Power Rankings and still the most likely champion regardless of Saturday's outcome.

    Power Rankings

    Rank Team
    1 Juventus
    2 Napoli
    3 Roma
    4 Fiorentina
    5 Lazio
    6 Inter
    7 Milan
    8 Genoa
    9 Sampdoria
    10 Turin
    11 Palermo
    12 Sassuolo
    13 Empoli
    14 Verona
    15 Udinese
    16 Atalanta
    17 Chievo
    18 Bologna
    19 Carpi
    20 Frosinone

    Full Season Projections

    Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
    Juventus 22.5 7.9 7.6 75.1
    Fiorentina 20.8 10.4 6.8 69.2
    Roma 19.9 8.7 9.4 69.1
    Napoli 19.9 10.0 8.1 67.8
    Inter 20.1 10.8 7.1 67.4
    Lazio 19.7 11.5 6.8 65.9
    Turin 17.8 11.7 8.5 61.9
    Milan 17.9 12.9 7.2 60.9
    Sampdoria 17.1 12.1 8.7 60.0
    Sassuolo 16.6 12.2 9.2 59.0
    Palermo 16.8 13.0 8.2 58.6
    Genoa 17.1 13.7 7.2 58.5
    Empoli 13.1 16.4 8.5 47.8
    Verona 11.6 16.5 10.0 44.8
    Udinese 11.8 18.4 7.8 43.2
    Chievo 10.2 19.2 8.6 39.2
    Atalanta 9.1 19.2 9.7 37.0
    Bologna 7.2 25.1 5.8 27.4
    Carpi 6.5 25.3 6.2 25.7
    Frosinone 5.9 26.7 5.4 23.1

    Spanish Primera Division



    Barcelona is now unbeaten in 28 games, which ties a club record. The European Champions have a three point lead at the top of La Liga. Barca has won ten consecutive matches across all competitions and has wins over second place Atletico and third place Real.

    Power Rankings

    Rank Team
    1 Real Madrid
    2 Barcelona
    3 At. Madrid
    4 Villarreal
    5 FC Sevilla
    6 At. Bilbao
    7 Valencia
    8 Real Sociedad
    9 Celta Vigo
    10 Malaga
    11 Deportivo
    12 Eibar
    13 Getafe
    14 Espanyol
    15 Vallecano
    16 Granada
    17 Levante
    18 Las Palmas
    19 Gijon
    20 Betis

    Full Season Projections

    Team Proj. Wins Proj. Losses Proj. Draws Proj. Points
    Barcelona 29.5 3.4 5.1 93.6
    Real Madrid 26.3 4.8 6.9 85.8
    At. Madrid 25.7 6.4 6.0 83.1
    Villarreal 20.4 8.3 9.3 70.5
    FC Sevilla 17.7 10.5 9.8 62.9
    At. Bilbao 17.8 12.2 8.1 61.5
    Celta Vigo 15.9 13.9 8.2 55.9
    Malaga 14.7 13.8 9.5 53.6
    Eibar 14.4 14.4 9.1 52.3
    Deportivo 11.7 10.1 16.2 51.3
    Real Sociedad 12.7 16.2 9.2 47.3
    Valencia 11.1 13.2 13.7 47.0
    Getafe 12.0 17.7 8.3 44.3
    Espanyol 10.9 19.7 7.4 40.1
    Vallecano 10.1 19.8 8.1 38.4
    Granada 9.6 20.4 8.0 36.8
    Betis 8.7 20.1 9.2 35.3
    Gijon 8.6 23.0 6.4 32.2
    Levante 7.4 22.3 8.3 30.5
    Las Palmas 7.4 22.5 8.1 30.3


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