New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    Buckeyes Soft Schedule (09/14/15)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    How would Ohio State fare against Alabama or USC's schedule?

    If you are not a fan of Ohio State or if you are Bret Bielema, you've probably noticed that the Buckeyes' schedule is easy.

    In fact, we ran the numbers and Urban Meyer's team has a 54 percent chance of going undefeated, up from 53 percent last week.

    Bielema, despite Arkansas' loss to Toledo, and others are correct – Ohio State has a soft schedule. The Buckeyes will only play one team (No. 10 Michigan State) currently ranked in the top 25 of our Power Rankings.

    How would the defending champions fare against a tougher schedule?

    To find out we simulated what would happen if Ohio State played the schedules of Alabama and USC.

    Ohio State vs. Alabama's Schedule

    The Crimson Tide will face six teams currently in the top 25 of our Power Rankings. Starting in October, Bama squares off against a top 25 opponent in four of five weeks. It would be five consecutive top 25 matchups but Nick Saban's crew gets an off week with a home game against Arkansas (No. 27).

    How would Ohio State perform against Bama's schedule? The Buckeyes would be favored in every game – that's no surprise. However, the chances of going undefeated are slim. Against an SEC schedule, Ohio State would have an 18.4 percent chance of running the table. To put that in perspective, Alabama has a 10.1 percent chance of winning all of its remaining games.

    Alabama's Schedule Ohio State's Win%
    vs. Wisconsin* 93.6%
    vs. Middle Tennessee 99.7%
    vs. Ole Miss 78.7%
    vs. UL Monroe 99.9%
    at Georgia 63.8%
    vs. Arkansas 94.0%
    at Texas A&M 75.1%
    vs. Tennessee 91.3%
    vs. LSU 83.2%
    at Mississippi State 90.6%
    vs. Charleston Southern 100.0%
    at Auburn 80.9%

    Ohio State vs. USC's Schedule

    USC has thumped two cupcakes to start the season but their serious competition is about to begin. Over the final ten games of the season, eight adversaries rank in the top 35 of our Power Rankings. For Ohio State, all of its remaining foes (except Michigan State) ranked outside the top 35.

    If the Buckeyes were to swap Indiana, Rutgers and the rest of its forgiving slate for USC's gauntlet, how would Ohio State do? Better than most.

    Against Pac-12 teams, Ohio State would be less likely to win all of its games but the Buckeyes would still have a 25.0 percent (1-in-4) chance to go 12-0. USC only has an 11.3 percent chance of surviving its schedule unblemished.

    Ohio State would live up to the hype, even if it played an SEC or Pac-12 schedule. The Buckeyes are just that good.

    Alabama's Schedule Ohio State's Win%
    vs. Arkansas State 99.9%
    vs. Idaho 99.9%
    vs. Stanford 94.1%
    at Arizona State 89.5%
    vs. Washington 99.2%
    at Notre Dame 73.9%
    vs. Utah 94.8%
    at Cal 87.5%
    vs. Arizona 96.0%
    at Colorado 94.9%
    at Oregon 66.0%
    vs. UCLA 81.4%

    Print This Article
    3 Up 3 Down (College Week 3)
    Notre Dame's QB Problem (09/13/15)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!





    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    03/13/2017 Highlight: Using our ResultsFinder tool, it's evident that the Predictalator is entering March Madness in incredible form. The Predictalator posted 59 "normal" or better plays in March (plays with greater than 57% confidence) and went a stellar 36-23 (61.0%) on those plays. An average $50 bettor would have profited $678 using our recommended wager sizes. After posting an outstanding 8-1 (88.9%) ATS record on "normal" or better sides in last year's NCAA Tournament, the Predictalator looks poised to produce more NCAA Tournament winners.

    NBA predictions continue to follow the same heat wave of college hoops, as all playable sides are 30-25 (54.5%) ATS in the month of March. More importantly, top plays continue to produce at a staggering clip, with all "normal" or better sides off to a solid 9-3 (75.0%) ATS mark in March, producing $284 in profits for an average $50 bettor.

    The Predictalator's NHL picks continue to cash in consistenly as "normal" or better ML and PL plays are an outstanding 32-18 (64.0%) on the season, amassing $507 in total profits. While the betting market has really tightened up with NHL in recent months, the Predictalator continues to find success and is now 449-367 (55.0%) on all playable ML and PL plays this season.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features



    College Basketball Picks - Friday Games
    The Predictalator has played all of Thursday's NCAA Tournament games 50,000 times to analyze chances of each team winning relative to the spread and over/under. See UNC vs. Butler and more.

    A.L. MVP & Cy Young Odds
    Frank Brank explores the odds for A.L. MVP and A.L. Cy Young Awards posted at and gives a breakdown of the top contenders.



    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by