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    NHL Playoff Odds

    Last Updated: 11/7/2014 at 9:48 AM ET
    The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats, to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. Each Stanley Cup bracket is played individually, with the team that wins the series in each unique instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

    The Boston Bruins, who won the President's Cup with the most points in the East, are the favorites to win the Cup at 25.3% and are followed by the Anaheim Ducks (13.2%) and Chicago Blackhawks (12.9%) out of the Western Conference. Chicago, a three seed in the new playoff format (that includes two pods of seeded teams in each conference, is the only team expected pull off a first round upset by seed (over second seeded St. Louis Blues, who faded down the stretch), though Tampa Bay vs. Montreal and San Jose vs. Los Angeles are likely to go the distance in the first round.

    NHL Stanley Cup Odds (based on 2014 NHL Playoffs played 50,000 times):

    Region Seed Team Conf Semifinals Conf Finals Stanley Cup Finals Champ.
    Eastern 1 Bos 80.5% 54.4% 40.3% 25.3%
    Eastern 4 Det 19.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6%
    Eastern 2 TB 57.8% 23.4% 8.5% 3.1%
    Eastern 3 Mon 42.2% 15.2% 5.0% 1.6%
    Eastern 1 Pit 64.5% 45.8% 20.4% 9.5%
    Eastern 4 Cls 35.5% 18.4% 6.3% 2.0%
    Eastern 2 NYR 62.9% 24.7% 12.7% 5.0%
    Eastern 3 Phi 37.1% 11.1% 4.2% 1.2%
    Region Seed Team Conf Semifinals Conf Finals Stanley Cup Finals Champ.
    Western 1 Anh 72.9% 36.9% 23.3% 13.2%
    Western 4 Dal 27.1% 7.1% 2.5% 0.8%
    Western 2 SJ 58.0% 34.2% 15.8% 8.1%
    Western 3 LA 42.0% 21.9% 8.8% 4.0%
    Western 1 Col 66.0% 32.3% 12.7% 5.6%
    Western 4 Min 34.0% 11.2% 2.8% 0.9%
    Western 2 StL 41.5% 20.9% 11.8% 6.1%
    Western 3 Chi 58.5% 35.7% 22.1% 12.9%

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    ResultsFinder Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the week of February 1st-7th, one could find that the NFL Lock of the Week in the Super Bowl (Denver +6) easily covered as the Broncos defeated the Panthers 24-10. All-time, in the NFL Playoffs, Locks of the Week are 20-5 (80% ATS). This includes Super Bowl against-the-spread picks, which are now 5-2 (71% ATS). All-time on the site, all against-the-spread NFL Playoff picks are now 46-20 (70% ATS).

    The Super Bowl was profitable in other ways as well. Not only did the UNDER (45.5) for the full game cover, the halftime side (Denver +4.5) and total (UNDER 23) did as well. And props were just as strong as all "normal" or better Super Bowl 50 player prop bets went 11-2 (85% props) to generate a return of +$592 for a normal $50 player using play value recommendations. Including all published props, game picks and halftime picks, all playable picks on the site for Super Bowl 50 went 38-11 (78%) and generated a profit of +$1,028 for a normal $50 player.

    Elsewhere in sports, all "normal" or better (greater than 57% confidence) NBA against-the-spread and over/under picks combined to go 8-3 (73% ATS and O/U) over the last week and all "normal" or better against-the-spread picks in college basketball went 10-5 (67% ATS) over the same stretch.

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