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    NHL Playoff Odds

    Last Updated: 4/10/2012 at 1:00 PM ET
    NHL Stanley Cup Odds Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
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    The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats, to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. Each Stanley Cup bracket is played individually, with the team that wins the series in each unique instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

    In the most likely Stanley Cup Finals, the Boston Bruins (18.1% overall to win Cup) win over the St. Louis Blues (11.2%) in a matchup between two number two seeds. The Pittsburgh Penguins, the East's fourth seed, have a 16.6% chance to win it all. The New Jersey Devils, a six seed in the East and the Detroit Red Wings a five seed in the West, are the only teams projected to win (more often than not) their first round series in upsets (over the Florida Panthers and Nashville Predators respectively). While the Chicago Blackhawks vs. Phoenix Coyotes series is the closest in the first round (Coyotes win 51.0% of the time), the most important first round series may be between in-state rivals Pittsburgh and the Philadelphia Flyers. The winner of that series goes on to win the Stanley Cup 23.9% of the time (the most of any series - by far). In total, the Eastern Conference has a 55.7% chance to win the title.

    NHL Stanley Cup Odds (based on 2012 NHL Playoffs played 50,000 times):
    RegionSeedTeamConf SemifinalsConf FinalsStanley Cup FinalsChamp.
    Eastern1NYR62.0%29.0%14.2%7.4%
    Eastern8Ott38.0%13.7%5.3%2.1%
    Eastern4Pit59.5%45.0%26.1%16.6%
    Eastern5Phi40.6%27.6%13.8%7.3%
    Eastern3Fla40.2%9.6%2.7%0.8%
    Eastern6NJ59.8%17.8%6.3%2.6%
    Eastern2Bos77.1%49.0%28.9%18.1%
    Eastern7Was22.9%8.3%2.6%0.8%
    RegionSeedTeamConf SemifinalsConf FinalsStanley Cup FinalsChamp.
    Western1Van62.7%34.6%21.2%10.8%
    Western8LA37.3%16.1%7.5%2.6%
    Western4Nsh47.2%26.0%11.5%4.6%
    Western5Det52.8%31.4%15.2%6.8%
    Western3Pho51.0%22.3%8.9%3.3%
    Western6Chi49.0%20.3%7.9%2.9%
    Western2StL65.0%35.4%21.9%11.2%
    Western7SJ35.0%13.9%5.9%2.1%
    NHL Stanley Cup Odds Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
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    12/15/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of December 8th - 14th one could find that all Week 15 playable against-the-spread NFL picks went 8-4 (67% ATS), highlighted by the Lock of the Week, the Denver Broncos (-4 @ San Diego), covering by more than a touchdown.

    All playable NFL ATS and O/U picks in the last three weeks are a combined 45-22 (67% ATS and O/U). And over the last nine weeks, all playable against-the-spread picks have been .500 or better each week and are 65-37 (64% ATS) overall. This mirrors last season when all playable NFL ATS picks in the second half of the season finished 71-41 (63% ATS), culminating in a 9-1-1 (90% ATS) playoff record.

    With bowls starting at the end of this week, it's important to note that highlighted, "normal" or better bowls picks for the 2013-14 season went 14-9 (61% ATS and O/U). Playable college football bowl totals are also 48-35 (58% O/U) since the site launched.

    NFL and College Basketball halftime plays continue to provided great value. All normal or better against-the-spread plays in these sports combined to go 37-28 (57% ATS). And, lastly, "normal" or better NHL plays went 20-13 (61% ML, O/U and PL), the eighth week in the last nine that has been profitable for hockey.

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